Brett Harris vs TBD, Sep 27, 2026

← LAD at SF, Sep 27, 2026

2:05 PM CT · Oracle Park · lineup projected

Hitter · SF · batting 2Brett Harris

Bats rightTalent grade ——Normal

–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix3.9expected PA

Starter · LADTBD

Stable

4.4projected K–K%2.3trips vs this hitter

1+ hit-1.3 pts matchup

2+ total bases-1.6 pts matchup

Home run-1.3 pts matchup

Brett Harris's last 22 balls in playHit (6)Out (16)Barrel zone

41% hit 95+ mph45% in the sweet spot27% fell for hits

Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
Market	BTB	Without the matchup	Matchup
1+ hit	52.9%	54.2%	-1.3
2+ total bases	27.2%	28.8%	-1.6
Home run	5.8%	7.1%	-1.3

What moves the number

1+ hit

Starter

0.0

Pitch mix

0.0

Bullpen

-0.4

Park

-0.9

2+ total bases

Starter

0.0

Pitch mix

0.0

Bullpen

-0.3

Park

-1.2

Home run

Starter

0.0

Pitch mix

0.0

Bullpen

-0.1

Park

-1.2

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Brett Harris hits

Brett Harris · hot and cold vs RHP

vs RHP · 69 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight

Brett Harris · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games

vs RHPvs LHPAll

Window	G	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	xwOBA	K%	BB%	Whiff%	Avg EV	Max EV	Barrel%	Hard-hit%	Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G	4	8	.286	.375	.286	.312	.248	50.0%	12.5%	23.1%	81.8	91.5	0.0%	0.0%	66.7%
Last 15 G	10	18	.125	.222	.125	.188	.204	44.4%	5.6%	26.9%	83.8	97.1	0.0%	28.6%	57.1%
Last 30 G	10	18	.125	.222	.125	.188	.204	44.4%	5.6%	26.9%	83.8	97.1	0.0%	28.6%	57.1%
90 days	10	18	.125	.222	.125	.188	.204	44.4%	5.6%	26.9%	83.8	97.1	0.0%	28.6%	57.1%

Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 7 balls in play

Ground 43%Line drive 14%Fly ball 43%Pop-up 0%

Window	G	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	xwOBA	K%	BB%	Whiff%	Avg EV	Max EV	Barrel%	Hard-hit%	Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G	4	9	.000	.111	.000	.078	.314	44.4%	11.1%	38.1%	95.8	103.6	0.0%	75.0%	75.0%
Last 15 G	11	23	.200	.273	.300	.268	.300	26.1%	4.3%	28.6%	89.1	103.6	6.7%	46.7%	40.0%
Last 30 G	11	23	.200	.273	.300	.268	.300	26.1%	4.3%	28.6%	89.1	103.6	6.7%	46.7%	40.0%
90 days	11	23	.200	.273	.300	.268	.300	26.1%	4.3%	28.6%	89.1	103.6	6.7%	46.7%	40.0%

Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 15 balls in play

Ground 53%Line drive 40%Fly ball 0%Pop-up 7%

Window	G	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	xwOBA	K%	BB%	Whiff%	Avg EV	Max EV	Barrel%	Hard-hit%	Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G	5	17	.133	.235	.133	.188	.283	47.1%	11.8%	32.4%	89.8	103.6	0.0%	42.9%	71.4%
Last 15 G	13	41	.167	.250	.222	.233	.258	34.1%	4.9%	27.9%	87.4	103.6	4.5%	40.9%	45.5%
Last 30 G	13	41	.167	.250	.222	.233	.258	34.1%	4.9%	27.9%	87.4	103.6	4.5%	40.9%	45.5%
90 days	13	41	.167	.250	.222	.233	.258	34.1%	4.9%	27.9%	87.4	103.6	4.5%	40.9%	45.5%

Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 22 balls in play

Ground 50%Line drive 32%Fly ball 14%Pop-up 5%

FormNormal

Contact rating–percentile of xwOBA

Last 100 pitches–

wOBA / xwOBA.224 / .261running 37 points behind his contact

Last 12 games, oldest to newest

Hit5/12

2+ total bases3/12

Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
Date	Pitcher	Pitch	Velo	EV	LA	xwOBA	Result
Sep 25	LHP	Fastball	98.3	102.0	20	.642	Out
Sep 25	LHP	Fastball	97.7	99.2	15	.701	Out
Sep 23	LHP	Slider	90.2	78.2	-39	.076	Out
Sep 21	RHP	Cutter	90.8	86.2	28	.087	Out
Sep 21	RHP	Fastball	95.6	91.5	0	.301	Single
Sep 21	RHP	Cutter	91.7	67.7	26	.900	Single
Sep 20	LHP	Fastball	94.4	103.6	14	.711	Out
Sep 19	LHP	Slider	88.5	91.2	-17	.109	Out
Sep 19	LHP	Fastball	95.8	91.9	24	.183	Double
Sep 18	RHP	Sinker	95.9	70.7	-3	.055	Out
Sep 18	LHP	Slider	86.1	98.5	-11	.199	Single
Sep 16	LHP	Changeup	85.7	89.2	7	.519	Single

Total bases, last 10 games★ home run

014

215

116

118

219

020

221

022

023

025

Last 10 games.
Date	PA	H	TB	BB	K
Sep 25	4	0	0	0	2
Sep 23	3	0	0	0	2
Sep 22	2	0	0	1	1
Sep 21	4	2	2	0	1
Sep 20	4	0	0	1	2
Sep 19	3	1	2	0	1
Sep 18	4	1	1	0	2
Sep 16	4	1	1	0	1
Sep 15	2	1	2	0	1
Sep 14	3	0	0	0	0

The hitter

season-level talent read

Talent grade—— type

wOBA–

K%–

BB%–

Whiff%–

Barrel%–

Hard-hit%–

Avg EV–

Against right-handers, last 90 days

0 PA

wOBA–

xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his

RV/100–

Hard-hit%–

K%–

BB%–

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces

Starter not announced.

The rest of the gameLAD @ SF →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Brett Harris: every projection we've made →