MLBengine v14
← LAD at SF, Sep 27, 2026
2:05 PM CT · Oracle Park · lineup projected
Hitter · SF · batting 1Jonah Cox
Bats rightTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix4.0expected PA
Starter · LADTBD
Stable
4.4projected K–K%2.7trips vs this hitter
Jonah Cox's last 40 balls in playHit (14)Out (26)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 45.3 mph at -4°Out: 74.2 mph at -23°Out: 77.9 mph at 3°Out: 80.6 mph at 40°Out: 94.6 mph at 52°Out: 88.4 mph at 24°Out: 102.5 mph at 9°Double: 103.9 mph at 13°Out: 91.6 mph at 19°Out: 41.5 mph at -4°Out: 52.7 mph at -49°Single: 102.4 mph at 8°Single: 100.4 mph at 6°Single: 95.6 mph at 12°Single: 75.1 mph at 19°Out: 82.4 mph at 23°Single: 50.1 mph at -30°Single: 94.9 mph at 13°Out: 94.9 mph at 19°Single: 49.4 mph at -45°Out: 74.6 mph at -4°Single: 98.3 mph at 14°Out: 78.5 mph at 29°Out: 61.1 mph at 4°Out: 18.5 mph at -56°Out: 83.1 mph at -14°Single: 34.1 mph at -21°Single: 94.4 mph at 15°Out: 87.6 mph at -9°Out: 99.5 mph at -9°Single: 86.9 mph at -20°Out: 46.2 mph at -59°Out: 95.6 mph at -4°Out: 37.1 mph at -37°Out: 95.1 mph at 56°Out: 81.9 mph at 32°Single: 81.9 mph at -28°Out: 21.0 mph at -15°Single: 103.3 mph at -4°Out: 97.0 mph at 20°
28% hit 95+ mph38% in the sweet spot35% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit55.3%56.7%-1.4
2+ total bases28.2%30.0%-1.8
Home run7.8%9.5%-1.7
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.3
Park
-1.1
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.3
Park
-1.5
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.1
Park
-1.6

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Jonah Cox hits
Jonah Cox · hot and cold vs RHP
xwOBA .235 shrunk (raw .183 on 9 PA) · league .274 · 19 pitches seen.235xwOBA .323 shrunk (raw .351 on 7 PA) · league .307 · 14 pitches seen.323xwOBA .244 shrunk (raw .014 on 1 PA) · league .263 · 11 pitches seen.244xwOBA .291 shrunk (raw .085 on 3 PA) · league .342 · 11 pitches seen.291xwOBA .491 shrunk (raw .808 on 4 PA) · league .386 · 16 pitches seen.491xwOBA .238 shrunk (raw .072 on 6 PA) · league .321 · 15 pitches seen.238xwOBA .308 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .308 · 5 pitches seenxwOBA .387 shrunk (raw .495 on 4 PA) · league .351 · 9 pitches seen.387xwOBA .285 shrunk (raw .267 on 5 PA) · league .292 · 16 pitches seen.285xwOBA .338 shrunk (raw .102 on 2 PA) · league .377 · 17 pitches seen.338xwOBA .206 shrunk (raw .000 on 4 PA) · league .274 · 34 pitches seen.206xwOBA .266 shrunk (raw .275 on 4 PA) · league .263 · 12 pitches seen.266xwOBA .215 shrunk (raw .165 on 14 PA) · league .274 · 68 pitches seen.215
vs RHP · 247 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 29% of 17 swings · league 22%29%Whiff 25% of 12 swings · league 20%25%Whiff 40% of 5 swings · league 19%40%Whiff 22% of 9 swings · league 10%22%Whiff 15% of 13 swings · league 9%15%Whiff 31% of 13 swings · league 11%31%Whiff 0% of 2 swings · league 14%0%Whiff 0% of 5 swings · league 13%0%Whiff 22% of 9 swings · league 17%22%Whiff 29% of 7 swings · league 28%29%Whiff 50% of 8 swings · league 24%50%Whiff 17% of 6 swings · league 32%17%Whiff 55% of 20 swings · league 49%55%
vs RHP · 247 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 90% of 19 pitches · league 62%90%Swings at 86% of 14 pitches · league 72%86%Swings at 46% of 11 pitches · league 66%46%Swings at 82% of 11 pitches · league 70%82%Swings at 81% of 16 pitches · league 76%81%Swings at 87% of 15 pitches · league 70%87%Swings at 40% of 5 pitches · league 65%40%Swings at 56% of 9 pitches · league 68%56%Swings at 56% of 16 pitches · league 60%56%Swings at 41% of 17 pitches · league 24%41%Swings at 24% of 34 pitches · league 34%24%Swings at 50% of 12 pitches · league 40%50%Swings at 29% of 68 pitches · league 32%29%
vs RHP · 247 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Jonah Cox · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G312.091.167.182.162.23658.3%8.3%51.7%96.6103.90.0%50.0%100.0%
Last 15 G1334.300.323.333.342.31738.2%2.9%33.8%77.7103.90.0%31.6%52.6%
Last 30 G2462.291.328.309.319.25330.6%4.8%29.6%75.0103.90.0%25.6%33.3%
90 days2866.271.306.288.299.23734.8%4.5%30.2%75.0103.90.0%25.6%33.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 39 balls in play
Ground 59%Line drive 23%Fly ball 13%Pop-up 5%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G39.000.222.000.156.20822.2%22.2%37.5%74.594.60.0%0.0%0.0%
Last 15 G1231.115.233.115.190.24735.5%12.9%36.7%75.7100.40.0%18.8%18.8%
Last 30 G2353.244.346.467.359.34034.0%13.2%34.7%85.7104.110.7%50.0%42.9%
90 days3071.226.304.419.346.30738.0%9.9%34.0%85.6104.110.8%45.9%40.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 37 balls in play
Ground 54%Line drive 16%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 5%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G521.056.190.111.160.22442.9%14.3%46.7%84.3103.90.0%22.2%44.4%
Last 15 G1565.214.279.232.269.28336.9%7.7%35.2%76.8103.90.0%25.7%37.1%
Last 30 G30115.270.336.380.338.29432.2%8.7%31.9%79.5104.14.5%35.8%37.3%
90 days39137.248.305.355.323.27436.5%7.3%32.2%80.2104.15.3%35.5%36.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 76 balls in play
Ground 57%Line drive 20%Fly ball 18%Pop-up 5%
Jonah Cox · percentile ranksvs 228 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating8Bottom tier
Last 100 pitches0trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.295 / .258running 38 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases2/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25LHPFastball97.945.3-4.185Out
Sep 25LHPChangeup89.674.2-23.046Out
Sep 23LHPCurveball84.677.93.220Out
Sep 23LHPCurveball84.680.640.021Out
Sep 23LHPChangeup85.794.652.008Out
Sep 22RHPCutter88.688.424.173Out
Sep 22RHPFastball94.6102.59.684Force out
Sep 21RHPFastball94.3103.913.875Double
Sep 20RHPSlider87.991.619.403Out
Sep 19LHPFastball95.641.5-4–Sac bunt
Sep 18RHPSinker92.952.7-49–Sac bunt
Sep 18RHPFastball95.7102.48.608Single
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25400002
Sep 23400010
Sep 22500012
Sep 21412003
Sep 20400012
Sep 19400003
Sep 18411002
Sep 16533011
Sep 15511002
Sep 14411002

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–

Against right-handers, last 90 days

0 PA
wOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces

Starter not announced.

The rest of the gameLAD @ SF →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Jonah Cox: every projection we've made →