Hitter · LAD · batting 1Shohei Ohtani
Bats leftTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix4.0expected PA
1+ hit-1.8 pts matchup
2+ total bases-2.7 pts matchup
Home run-3.3 pts matchup
53% hit 95+ mph38% in the sweet spot28% fell for hits
| Market | BTB | Without the matchup | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ hit | 63.1% | 64.9% | -1.8 |
| 2+ total bases | 42.3% | 45.0% | -2.7 |
| Home run | 19.7% | 23.0% | -3.3 |
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen+0.2
Park-1.9
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen+0.2
Park-2.9
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen+0.2
Park-3.5
Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.
Zone battle
where he pitches, where Shohei Ohtani hitsShohei Ohtani · hot and cold vs RHP
better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.
Statcast
opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonightShohei Ohtani · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 17 | .118 | .118 | .176 | .126 | .271 | 58.8% | 0.0% | 43.6% | 99.9 | 106.8 | 57.1% | 85.7% | 42.9% |
| Last 15 G | 14 | 50 | .163 | .280 | .233 | .245 | .336 | 36.0% | 14.0% | 34.3% | 93.3 | 112.9 | 20.0% | 52.0% | 40.0% |
| Last 30 G | 26 | 88 | .228 | .307 | .443 | .329 | .353 | 31.8% | 10.2% | 32.1% | 93.6 | 112.9 | 16.0% | 50.0% | 42.0% |
| 90 days | 50 | 159 | .234 | .321 | .426 | .338 | .368 | 27.7% | 11.3% | 34.0% | 93.5 | 112.9 | 14.7% | 52.6% | 40.0% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 95 balls in play
Ground 44%Line drive 21%Fly ball 28%Pop-up 6%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 4 | 7 | .333 | .714 | .333 | .529 | .486 | 28.6% | 42.9% | 54.5% | 99.0 | 99.0 | 0.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Last 15 G | 12 | 20 | .133 | .350 | .200 | .282 | .334 | 35.0% | 15.0% | 37.1% | 89.6 | 107.5 | 0.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Last 30 G | 24 | 48 | .195 | .312 | .415 | .339 | .369 | 29.2% | 10.4% | 34.1% | 91.3 | 111.7 | 14.8% | 48.1% | 33.3% |
| 90 days | 44 | 103 | .275 | .350 | .571 | .403 | .415 | 25.2% | 8.7% | 34.4% | 90.8 | 112.6 | 16.9% | 46.2% | 38.5% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 65 balls in play
Ground 46%Line drive 25%Fly ball 26%Pop-up 3%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 24 | .150 | .292 | .200 | .244 | .334 | 50.0% | 12.5% | 46.0% | 99.8 | 106.8 | 50.0% | 87.5% | 50.0% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 70 | .155 | .300 | .224 | .256 | .335 | 35.7% | 14.3% | 35.0% | 92.4 | 112.9 | 15.2% | 51.5% | 42.4% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 136 | .217 | .309 | .433 | .333 | .359 | 30.9% | 10.3% | 32.7% | 92.8 | 112.9 | 15.6% | 49.4% | 39.0% |
| 90 days | 58 | 262 | .250 | .332 | .483 | .364 | .387 | 26.7% | 10.3% | 34.1% | 92.4 | 112.9 | 15.6% | 50.0% | 39.4% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 160 balls in play
Ground 45%Line drive 23%Fly ball 28%Pop-up 5%
xwOBA96.387
Avg EV9592.4
Max EV88112.9
Barrel%9815.6%
Hard-hit%9250.0%
Sweet-spot%8139.4%
K%1926.7%
BB%7010.3%
Whiff%234.1%
Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.
FormNormal
Contact rating96Top tier
Last 100 pitches62trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.359 / .385running 27 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit6/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run0/12
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
Recent contact
| Date | Pitcher | Pitch | Velo | EV | LA | xwOBA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | RHP | Slider | 85.3 | 99.3 | 6 | .549 | Out |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Curveball | 80.7 | 98.2 | 29 | .654 | Out |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Fastball | 94.3 | 98.6 | 16 | .623 | Single |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Fastball | 102.6 | 106.8 | 18 | .761 | Double |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Fastball | 95.6 | 103.9 | 37 | 1.034 | Out |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Fastball | 99.0 | 103.4 | 36 | .959 | Out |
| Sep 23 | LHP | Slider | 88.0 | 99.0 | 8 | .580 | Single |
| Sep 7 | RHP | Fastball | 98.6 | 89.2 | 38 | .022 | Out |
| Sep 1 | RHP | Changeup | 87.1 | 78.0 | 25 | .582 | Single |
| Sep 1 | RHP | Changeup | 88.5 | 60.6 | -40 | .117 | Out |
| Aug 30 | LHP | Changeup | 90.5 | 95.8 | 11 | .804 | Out |
| Aug 30 | RHP | Slider | 86.2 | 84.0 | -5 | .189 | Out |
Total bases, last 10 games★ home run
| Date | PA | H | TB | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Sep 24 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 23 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Sep 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Sep 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Sep 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Aug 30 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Aug 29 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Aug 28 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Aug 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
The hitter
season-level talent readTalent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–
Against right-handers, last 90 days
0 PAwOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–
Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.
The starter he faces
Starter not announced.
The rest of the gameLAD @ SF →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Shohei Ohtani: every projection we've made →