← LAD at SF, Sep 27, 2026
2:05 PM CT · Oracle Park · lineup projected
Hitter · LAD · batting 6Teoscar Hernández
Bats rightTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix3.6expected PA
Starter · SFTBD
Stable
4.4projected K–K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Teoscar Hernández's last 40 balls in playHit (20)Out (20)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 94.6 mph at 1°Home run: 109.2 mph at 27°Out: 85.8 mph at 59°Single: 72.1 mph at 10°Single: 104.0 mph at 11°Single: 96.8 mph at -2°Out: 61.0 mph at 49°Single: 83.3 mph at 4°Out: 93.5 mph at 37°Single: 95.3 mph at 6°Single: 100.3 mph at -2°Out: 80.6 mph at 48°Single: 106.3 mph at 12°Out: 63.0 mph at -53°Out: 99.1 mph at -9°Single: 89.0 mph at 14°Single: 107.5 mph at 13°Out: 64.8 mph at -21°Out: 70.6 mph at -17°Out: 75.3 mph at -2°Single: 95.3 mph at -2°Out: 97.0 mph at 41°Out: 86.7 mph at 5°Out: 80.6 mph at 58°Home run: 109.3 mph at 21°Out: 82.2 mph at 25°Home run: 104.2 mph at 25°Out: 104.1 mph at -21°Out: 106.9 mph at -2°Out: 103.0 mph at -2°Out: 85.1 mph at 31°Out: 99.3 mph at 39°Out: 81.5 mph at 73°Single: 76.2 mph at 21°Single: 79.5 mph at 11°Single: 78.4 mph at 19°Triple: 93.0 mph at 17°Single: 98.4 mph at -11°Home run: 112.6 mph at 23°Single: 108.7 mph at 8°
48% hit 95+ mph40% in the sweet spot50% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit59.3%60.6%-1.3
2+ total bases33.4%35.4%-1.9
Home run11.5%13.7%-2.2
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.2
Park
-1.4
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-2.1
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-2.3

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Teoscar Hernández hits
Teoscar Hernández · hot and cold vs RHP
xwOBA .397 shrunk (raw .642 on 6 PA) · league .274 · 25 pitches seen.397xwOBA .317 shrunk (raw .335 on 7 PA) · league .307 · 31 pitches seen.317xwOBA .339 shrunk (raw .453 on 8 PA) · league .263 · 19 pitches seen.339xwOBA .430 shrunk (raw .511 on 13 PA) · league .342 · 40 pitches seen.430xwOBA .352 shrunk (raw .325 on 15 PA) · league .386 · 48 pitches seen.352xwOBA .228 shrunk (raw .127 on 11 PA) · league .321 · 40 pitches seen.228xwOBA .310 shrunk (raw .312 on 9 PA) · league .308 · 22 pitches seen.310xwOBA .345 shrunk (raw .340 on 16 PA) · league .351 · 39 pitches seen.345xwOBA .241 shrunk (raw .193 on 13 PA) · league .292 · 40 pitches seen.241xwOBA .287 shrunk (raw .219 on 16 PA) · league .377 · 81 pitches seen.287xwOBA .231 shrunk (raw .197 on 15 PA) · league .274 · 47 pitches seen.231xwOBA .299 shrunk (raw .347 on 9 PA) · league .263 · 47 pitches seen.299xwOBA .211 shrunk (raw .192 on 41 PA) · league .274 · 231 pitches seen.211
vs RHP · 710 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 21% of 19 swings · league 22%21%Whiff 13% of 24 swings · league 20%13%Whiff 42% of 12 swings · league 19%42%Whiff 10% of 29 swings · league 10%10%Whiff 6% of 32 swings · league 9%6%Whiff 21% of 24 swings · league 11%21%Whiff 23% of 13 swings · league 14%23%Whiff 21% of 29 swings · league 13%21%Whiff 42% of 19 swings · league 17%42%Whiff 27% of 33 swings · league 28%27%Whiff 45% of 20 swings · league 24%45%Whiff 24% of 25 swings · league 32%24%Whiff 70% of 73 swings · league 49%70%
vs RHP · 710 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 76% of 25 pitches · league 62%76%Swings at 77% of 31 pitches · league 72%77%Swings at 63% of 19 pitches · league 66%63%Swings at 73% of 40 pitches · league 70%73%Swings at 67% of 48 pitches · league 76%67%Swings at 60% of 40 pitches · league 70%60%Swings at 59% of 22 pitches · league 65%59%Swings at 74% of 39 pitches · league 68%74%Swings at 48% of 40 pitches · league 60%48%Swings at 41% of 81 pitches · league 24%41%Swings at 43% of 47 pitches · league 34%43%Swings at 53% of 47 pitches · league 40%53%Swings at 32% of 231 pitches · league 32%32%
vs RHP · 710 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Teoscar Hernández · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G512.364.417.636.450.36633.3%0.0%26.7%89.9109.214.3%42.9%14.3%
Last 15 G1540.278.350.444.350.32830.0%7.5%31.6%90.3109.38.3%50.0%29.2%
Last 30 G2979.278.342.375.334.30332.9%6.3%32.3%89.5110.14.3%45.7%30.4%
90 days68179.220.285.323.279.28531.3%7.3%32.4%89.3110.15.6%43.5%29.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 108 balls in play
Ground 46%Line drive 17%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 12%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G48.375.375.375.338.21237.5%0.0%33.3%89.4104.00.0%40.0%40.0%
Last 15 G1023.400.478.650.483.40826.1%13.0%34.9%89.0107.57.1%35.7%50.0%
Last 30 G2148.400.500.725.519.50220.8%16.7%32.9%93.9112.623.3%53.3%53.3%
90 days47102.341.402.593.434.41021.6%9.8%32.0%92.5112.614.3%47.1%38.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 70 balls in play
Ground 37%Line drive 23%Fly ball 34%Pop-up 6%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G520.368.400.526.405.30435.0%0.0%29.4%89.7109.28.3%41.7%25.0%
Last 15 G1563.321.397.518.398.35728.6%9.5%32.8%89.8109.37.9%44.7%36.8%
Last 30 G30127.321.402.500.403.37728.3%10.2%32.5%91.3112.611.8%48.7%39.5%
90 days72281.263.327.420.335.33027.8%8.2%32.2%90.6112.69.0%44.9%33.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 178 balls in play
Ground 43%Line drive 19%Fly ball 29%Pop-up 10%
Teoscar Hernández · percentile ranksvs 228 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating66Above average
Last 100 pitches32trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.337 / .333results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit9/12
2+ total bases6/12
Home run3/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25RHPSplitter81.994.61.419Out
Sep 25RHPFastball90.4109.2272.030Home run
Sep 25RHPFastball94.685.859.023Out
Sep 23LHPSinker93.772.110.237Single
Sep 23LHPFastball94.2104.011.911Single
Sep 23LHPFastball92.696.8-2.413Single
Sep 22RHPChangeup90.661.049.080Out
Sep 22RHPSlider88.983.34.280Single
Sep 22LHPChangeup89.693.537.111Out
Sep 20RHPSlider89.695.36.484Single
Sep 20RHPSinker97.5100.3-2.343Single
Sep 20LHPChangeup86.280.648.026Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25414101
Sep 24400003
Sep 23433001
Sep 22411001
Sep 20422001
Sep 19511002
Sep 18522001
Sep 17511011
Sep 16500012
Sep 15414111

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–

Against right-handers, last 90 days

0 PA
wOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces

Starter not announced.

The rest of the gameLAD @ SF →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Teoscar Hernández: every projection we've made →