Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Davis Schneider's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.
| Market | BTB | Without the matchup | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ hit | 50.9% | 48.0% | +2.9 |
| 2+ total bases | 32.0% | 28.9% | +3.1 |
| Home run | 14.9% | 12.1% | +2.8 |
Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.
Pitch by pitch
Davis Schneider against each of Nick Lodolo's pitches| His pitch | Usage | Velo | Movement | His wOBA | League | His whiff% | League | Sample | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 28% | 93.7 | +16″ / +9″ | .363 | .367 | 14.5% | 12.6% | 4 | Little history vs this shape |
| Sinker | 27% | 93.5 | +19″ / +4″ | .369 | .373 | 12.5% | 10.8% | 2 | Little history vs this shape |
| Curveball | 24% | 82.5 | -5″ / -1″ | .304 | .309 | 34.5% | 30.1% | 4 | Little history vs this shape |
| Changeup | 22% | 87.7 | +17″ / +1″ | .315 | .319 | 31.4% | 28.4% | 3 | Little history vs this shape |
Statcast
opens on left-handers, the hand he faces tonightNo pitch-level data for this hitter in the current window.
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
Two strikes
| Pitch | Overall | 2 strikes | Whiff% | Put-away | League put-away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 28% | 33% | 15.9% | 12.5% | 18.6% |
| Curveball | 24% | 30% | 39.5% | 23.5% | 21.2% |
| Sinker | 27% | 23% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 17.7% |
| Changeup | 22% | 15% | 17.2% | 12.2% | 18.3% |
| With two strikes | Him | League |
|---|---|---|
| K% | 45.9% | 41.5% |
| Whiff% | 22.7% | 21.6% |
| Contact% | 77.3% | 78.4% |
| Chase% | 37.0% | 39.9% |
| wOBA | .236 | .245 |
| Whiff vs his put-away shapes | 19.4% | 18.5% |
The hitter
season-level talent readAgainst left-handers, last 90 days
20 PATalent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.
| Date | Pitches | K% | Whiff% | Hard-hit% | wOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19 | 90 | 3% | 3% | 35% | .309 |
| Sep 14 | 104 | 15% | 7% | 30% | .285 |
| Sep 8 | 97 | 26% | 11% | 17% | .441 |
Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.
2 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight
Strikeout rate against left-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.5%. Red strikes out more, blue less.