MLBengine v14
← COL at CWS, Sep 25, 2026
6:40 PM CT · Rate Field · lineup confirmed
Hitter · COL · batting 8Zac Veen
Bats leftTalent grade FBalancedNormal
.368wOBA vs RHP.308xwOBA vs his mix3.4expected PA
Starter · CWSSean Burke
Throws rightBTB Stuff 110Trending Down
5.7projected K27%K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Sean Burke's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 37% usage, 95.1 mph, +3.8″ arm side, +18.2″ rise. Zac Veen: wOBA .345 vs league .337 (about even).Fastball 37%Curveball: 19% usage, 78.5 mph, -6.2″ arm side, -14.6″ rise. Zac Veen: wOBA .318 vs league .309 (about even).Curveball 19%Slider: 16% usage, 86.1 mph, -5.6″ arm side, +2.3″ rise. Zac Veen: wOBA .340 vs league .332 (about even).Slider 16%Cutter: 15% usage, 89.5 mph, -4.1″ arm side, +8.3″ rise. Zac Veen: wOBA .361 vs league .353 (about even).Cutter 15%Sinker: 12% usage, 95.0 mph, +12.5″ arm side, +14.2″ rise. Zac Veen: wOBA .358 vs league .350 (about even).Sinker 12%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Zac Veen's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Zac Veen's last 40 balls in playHit (16)Out (24)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 93.9 mph at 1°Out: 93.2 mph at -24°Home run: 97.1 mph at 30°Double: 93.2 mph at 17°Out: 75.9 mph at 30°Out: 95.3 mph at 61°Out: 93.0 mph at 58°Single: 71.7 mph at 30°Out: 95.9 mph at 34°Out: 73.8 mph at 13°Out: 72.6 mph at 44°Single: 106.8 mph at 13°Out: 95.7 mph at 54°Out: 84.6 mph at 20°Single: 39.3 mph at -68°Out: 74.2 mph at 5°Single: 105.9 mph at 7°Single: 89.2 mph at 19°Out: 20.7 mph at -49°Out: 52.7 mph at 1°Out: 17.1 mph at 34°Double: 104.6 mph at 18°Triple: 102.9 mph at 23°Out: 84.8 mph at 57°Single: 98.5 mph at -3°Single: 100.3 mph at -11°Out: 90.0 mph at 44°Out: 93.8 mph at 38°Out: 101.0 mph at -1°Out: 66.1 mph at -12°Single: 71.6 mph at 15°Double: 111.2 mph at 10°Out: 78.3 mph at 47°Single: 67.0 mph at -14°Out: 44.1 mph at -76°Out: 71.8 mph at -11°Home run: 111.3 mph at 32°Out: 72.7 mph at 31°Home run: 104.7 mph at 26°Out: 100.8 mph at 53°
38% hit 95+ mph38% in the sweet spot40% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit47.8%49.9%-2.1
2+ total bases25.2%26.5%-1.3
Home run9.6%9.7%-0.1
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
-1.7
Pitch mix
-0.0
Bullpen
-0.2
Park
-0.2
2+ total bases
Starter
-0.9
Pitch mix
-0.0
Bullpen
-0.2
Park
-0.2
Home run
Starter
+0.2
Pitch mix
-0.0
Bullpen
-0.2
Park
-0.1

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Zac Veen hits
Zac Veen · hot and cold vs RHP
xwOBA .232 shrunk (raw .105 on 4 PA) · league .274 · 12 pitches seen.232xwOBA .311 shrunk (raw .334 on 2 PA) · league .307 · 14 pitches seen.311xwOBA .247 shrunk (raw .149 on 2 PA) · league .263 · 7 pitches seen.247xwOBA .341 shrunk (raw .340 on 6 PA) · league .342 · 13 pitches seen.341xwOBA .332 shrunk (raw .010 on 2 PA) · league .386 · 8 pitches seen.332xwOBA .371 shrunk (raw .519 on 4 PA) · league .321 · 8 pitches seen.371xwOBA .364 shrunk (raw .588 on 3 PA) · league .308 · 10 pitches seen.364xwOBA .319 shrunk (raw .263 on 7 PA) · league .351 · 11 pitches seen.319xwOBA .371 shrunk (raw .529 on 6 PA) · league .292 · 12 pitches seen.371xwOBA .365 shrunk (raw .351 on 10 PA) · league .377 · 51 pitches seen.365xwOBA .240 shrunk (raw .137 on 4 PA) · league .274 · 34 pitches seen.240xwOBA .245 shrunk (raw .210 on 6 PA) · league .263 · 30 pitches seen.245xwOBA .268 shrunk (raw .262 on 12 PA) · league .274 · 55 pitches seen.268
vs RHP · 265 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 75% of 8 swings · league 22%75%Whiff 18% of 11 swings · league 20%18%Whiff 17% of 6 swings · league 19%17%Whiff 36% of 11 swings · league 10%36%Whiff 29% of 7 swings · league 9%29%Whiff 0% of 7 swings · league 11%0%Whiff 43% of 7 swings · league 14%43%Whiff 11% of 9 swings · league 13%11%Whiff 9% of 11 swings · league 17%9%Whiff 80% of 10 swings · league 28%80%Whiff 44% of 18 swings · league 24%44%Whiff 31% of 13 swings · league 32%31%Whiff 50% of 30 swings · league 49%50%
vs RHP · 265 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 67% of 12 pitches · league 62%67%Swings at 79% of 14 pitches · league 72%79%Swings at 86% of 7 pitches · league 66%86%Swings at 85% of 13 pitches · league 70%85%Swings at 88% of 8 pitches · league 76%88%Swings at 88% of 8 pitches · league 70%88%Swings at 70% of 10 pitches · league 65%70%Swings at 82% of 11 pitches · league 68%82%Swings at 92% of 12 pitches · league 60%92%Swings at 20% of 51 pitches · league 24%20%Swings at 53% of 34 pitches · league 34%53%Swings at 43% of 30 pitches · league 40%43%Swings at 55% of 55 pitches · league 32%55%
vs RHP · 265 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

Zac Veen against each of Sean Burke's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball37%95.1+4″ / +18″.345.33732.1%18.0%18About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Curveball19%78.5-6″ / -15″.318.30937.6%27.7%2Little history vs this shape
Slider16%86.1-6″ / +2″.340.33236.0%26.4%10About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Cutter15%89.5-4″ / +8″.361.35335.9%21.1%16About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Sinker12%95.0+13″ / +14″.358.35031.4%17.7%17About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Zac Veen · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G513.250.308.583.442.25330.8%7.7%19.2%89.297.10.0%25.0%50.0%
Last 15 G1533.200.273.333.298.25836.4%9.1%29.2%86.9106.80.0%33.3%44.4%
Last 30 G3058.255.345.412.351.27236.2%10.3%34.9%88.2111.23.3%40.0%40.0%
90 days3368.250.338.483.368.30536.8%10.3%37.2%88.7111.38.6%42.9%42.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 35 balls in play
Ground 31%Line drive 26%Fly ball 29%Pop-up 14%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G11.000.000.000.000.000100.0%0.0%100.0%–––––
Last 15 G77.200.200.200.540.40857.1%0.0%38.5%25.739.30.0%0.0%0.0%
Last 30 G1111.111.111.111.300.24854.5%0.0%30.0%42.290.00.0%0.0%0.0%
90 days1111.111.111.111.300.24854.5%0.0%30.0%42.290.00.0%0.0%0.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 5 balls in play
Ground 60%Line drive 0%Fly ball 40%Pop-up 0%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G514.231.286.538.411.23535.7%7.1%25.0%89.297.10.0%25.0%50.0%
Last 15 G1540.200.263.314.330.27840.0%7.5%30.6%78.2106.80.0%28.6%38.1%
Last 30 G3069.233.313.367.344.26939.1%8.7%34.2%81.6111.22.9%34.3%34.3%
90 days3379.232.312.435.360.29939.2%8.9%36.3%82.9111.37.5%37.5%37.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 40 balls in play
Ground 35%Line drive 23%Fly ball 30%Pop-up 13%
Zac Veen · percentile ranksvs 210 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating33Below average
Last 100 pitches28steady
wOBA / xwOBA.342 / .299running 43 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit6/12
2+ total bases1/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25RHPCurveball76.393.91.419Out
Sep 25RHPSlider88.393.2-24.091Out
Sep 24RHPCutter95.497.130.461Home run
Sep 24RHPCutter88.993.217.683Double
Sep 23RHPCutter90.475.930.237Out
Sep 22RHPFastball94.295.361.014Error
Sep 22RHPFastball98.593.058.019Out
Sep 19RHPCutter95.971.730.669Single
Sep 17RHPChangeup91.895.934.252Out
Sep 15RHPFastball94.073.813.337Out
Sep 15RHPSinker93.472.644.201Out
Sep 15RHPSlider87.1106.813.863Single
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25300001
Sep 24226100
Sep 23200001
Sep 22300001
Sep 19411012
Sep 17400003
Sep 15411001
Sep 13300001
Sep 11211000
Sep 10200011

Two strikes

Sean Burke CWS · RHPwith two strikes
Sean Burke with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Fastball37%50%17.4%18.8%18.0%
Curveball19%19%28.6%20.7%20.0%
Slider16%14%25.5%23.4%21.1%
Sinker12%10%7.1%11.4%17.0%
Cutter15%8%37.5%27.0%17.9%
Zac Veen bats Lwith two strikes, vs this hand
Zac Veen with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. Misses his two-strike stuff more than most
With two strikesHimLeague
K%49.1%41.0%
Whiff%29.1%21.3%
Contact%70.9%78.7%
Chase%37.9%39.6%
wOBA.257.245
Whiff vs his put-away shapes28.5%20.8%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.300
K%30.9%
BB%7.8%
Whiff%13.5%
Barrel%4.2%
Hard-hit%22.2%
Avg EV86.1

Against right-handers, last 90 days

65 PA
wOBA.368
xwOBA vs this mix.308against pitches like his
RV/1000.87
Hard-hit%23.5%
K%33.9%
BB%8.7%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Sean BurkeRHP · CWS vs COL
5.7projected strikeouts · likely 3 to 9 · 23.1 batters over 5.4 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 18.5%19%≤34 strikeouts: 14.8%15%45 strikeouts: 16.7%17%56 strikeouts: 15.8%16%67 strikeouts: 12.9%13%78 strikeouts: 9.1%9%89+ strikeouts: 12.2%12%9+book 5.5
Over 5.5: 50% (red bars) · under: 50%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%27.2%
BB%9.3%
Whiff%12.1%
Velo89.6
BTB Stuff110
Location100
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff
Fastball37%12995.112.4%
Curveball19%9078.411.7%
Slider16%9786.016.6%
Cutter16%12189.613.2%
Sinker12%8394.95.0%
Changeup1%8386.112.5%
Other0%––0.0%
Last 3 startsTrending Down
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 199819%8%31%.281
Sep 149419%11%29%.312
Sep 110427%10%18%.184

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Sean Burke CWS · RHPvsCOL lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

3 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.5%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameCOL @ CWS →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Zac Veen: every projection we've made →