MLBengine v14
← LAA at SEA, Sep 25, 2026
9:10 PM CT · T-Mobile Park · lineup confirmed
Hitter · SEA · batting 7Jhonny Pereda
Bats rightTalent grade AvgBalancedNormal
.339wOBA vs LHP.332xwOBA vs his mix3.5expected PA
Starter · LAAReid Detmers
Throws leftBTB Stuff 105Stable
6.2projected K30%K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Reid Detmers's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 47% usage, 94.0 mph, +8.9″ arm side, +16.9″ rise. Jhonny Pereda: wOBA .346 vs league .344 (about even).Fastball 47%Slider: 35% usage, 85.8 mph, -3.4″ arm side, -4.7″ rise. Jhonny Pereda: wOBA .297 vs league .295 (about even).Slider 35%Curveball: 12% usage, 72.2 mph, -11.6″ arm side, -14.6″ rise. Jhonny Pereda: wOBA .313 vs league .310 (about even).Curveball 12%Changeup: 7% usage, 84.0 mph, +10.9″ arm side, +11.3″ rise. Jhonny Pereda: wOBA .300 vs league .298 (about even).Changeup 7%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Jhonny Pereda's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Jhonny Pereda's last 16 balls in playHit (7)Out (9)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 93.0 mph at -26°Out: 91.4 mph at 19°Double: 95.4 mph at 23°Single: 81.6 mph at 23°Out: 100.4 mph at 3°Out: 102.1 mph at -1°Single: 98.0 mph at 14°Out: 84.2 mph at 68°Single: 93.2 mph at -9°Single: 102.8 mph at 12°Single: 97.4 mph at 11°Out: 62.8 mph at -64°Single: 77.5 mph at 21°Out: 95.0 mph at -8°Out: 96.4 mph at -7°Out: 84.8 mph at -38°
50% hit 95+ mph44% in the sweet spot44% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit54.6%56.3%-1.6
2+ total bases27.2%27.9%-0.8
Home run7.8%7.0%+0.8
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
-0.9
Pitch mix
+0.3
Bullpen
+0.2
Park
-1.2
2+ total bases
Starter
-0.2
Pitch mix
+0.2
Bullpen
+0.2
Park
-1.0
Home run
Starter
+0.7
Pitch mix
+0.1
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-0.0

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Jhonny Pereda hits
Jhonny Pereda · hot and cold vs LHP
xwOBA .290 shrunk (raw .860 on 1 PA) · league .243 · 4 pitches seen.290xwOBA .286 shrunk (raw .172 on 1 PA) · league .296 · 6 pitches seen.286xwOBA .254 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .254 · 1 pitches seenxwOBA .314 shrunk (raw .338 on 3 PA) · league .308 · 5 pitches seen.314xwOBA .331 shrunk (raw .007 on 2 PA) · league .385 · 7 pitches seen.331xwOBA .340 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .340 · 4 pitches seenxwOBA .325 shrunk (raw .947 on 1 PA) · league .273 · 2 pitches seen.325xwOBA .397 shrunk (raw .584 on 3 PA) · league .350 · 7 pitches seen.397xwOBA .289 shrunk (raw .168 on 1 PA) · league .299 · 1 pitches seen.289xwOBA .279 shrunk (raw .000 on 1 PA) · league .302 · 5 pitches seen.279xwOBA .319 shrunk (raw .000 on 1 PA) · league .346 · 10 pitches seen.319xwOBA .325 shrunk (raw .468 on 3 PA) · league .289 · 20 pitches seen.325xwOBA .270 shrunk (raw .349 on 2 PA) · league .257 · 10 pitches seen.270
vs LHP · 82 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 0% of 2 swings · league 19%0%Whiff 40% of 5 swings · league 21%40%Whiff – of 0 swings · league 23%Whiff 20% of 5 swings · league 9%20%Whiff 20% of 5 swings · league 10%20%Whiff 25% of 4 swings · league 11%25%Whiff 0% of 2 swings · league 17%0%Whiff 20% of 5 swings · league 14%20%Whiff 0% of 1 swings · league 16%0%Whiff 33% of 3 swings · league 25%33%Whiff 33% of 3 swings · league 29%33%Whiff 17% of 6 swings · league 48%17%Whiff 0% of 1 swings · league 34%0%
vs LHP · 82 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 50% of 4 pitches · league 63%50%Swings at 83% of 6 pitches · league 71%83%Swings at 0% of 1 pitches · league 64%0%Swings at 100% of 5 pitches · league 67%100%Swings at 71% of 7 pitches · league 76%71%Swings at 100% of 4 pitches · league 72%100%Swings at 100% of 2 pitches · league 59%100%Swings at 71% of 7 pitches · league 68%71%Swings at 100% of 1 pitches · league 66%100%Swings at 60% of 5 pitches · league 30%60%Swings at 30% of 10 pitches · league 26%30%Swings at 30% of 20 pitches · league 31%30%Swings at 10% of 10 pitches · league 41%10%
vs LHP · 82 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

Jhonny Pereda against each of Reid Detmers's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball47%94.0+9″ / +17″.346.34421.3%18.4%6Little history vs this shape
Slider35%85.8-3″ / -5″.297.29530.5%33.4%2Little history vs this shape
Curveball12%72.2-12″ / -15″.313.31025.5%28.1%1Little history vs this shape
Changeup7%84.0+11″ / +11″.300.29830.2%31.9%3Little history vs this shape
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on left-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Jhonny Pereda · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G512.444.500.556.446.41325.0%16.7%24.2%93.4102.80.0%57.1%71.4%
Last 15 G819.375.421.438.376.37026.3%10.5%21.4%92.1102.80.0%58.3%58.3%
Last 30 G819.375.421.438.376.37026.3%10.5%21.4%92.1102.80.0%58.3%58.3%
90 days819.375.421.438.376.37026.3%10.5%21.4%92.1102.80.0%58.3%58.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 12 balls in play
Ground 33%Line drive 58%Fly ball 0%Pop-up 8%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G46.250.500.250.383.33616.7%33.3%37.5%96.1102.10.0%33.3%0.0%
Last 15 G810.250.400.250.356.34430.0%20.0%40.0%87.8102.10.0%25.0%0.0%
Last 30 G810.250.400.250.356.34430.0%20.0%40.0%87.8102.10.0%25.0%0.0%
90 days810.250.400.250.356.34430.0%20.0%40.0%87.8102.10.0%25.0%0.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 4 balls in play
Ground 100%Line drive 0%Fly ball 0%Pop-up 0%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G518.385.500.462.425.38722.2%22.2%26.8%94.2102.80.0%50.0%50.0%
Last 15 G1029.333.414.375.370.36227.6%13.8%26.3%91.0102.80.0%50.0%43.8%
Last 30 G1029.333.414.375.370.36227.6%13.8%26.3%91.0102.80.0%50.0%43.8%
90 days1029.333.414.375.370.36227.6%13.8%26.3%91.0102.80.0%50.0%43.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 16 balls in play
Ground 50%Line drive 44%Fly ball 0%Pop-up 6%
FormNormal
Contact rating–percentile of xwOBA
Last 100 pitches–
wOBA / xwOBA.387 / .389results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit6/9
2+ total bases2/9
Home run0/9

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25RHPFastball95.393.0-26.061Out
Sep 13LHPSlider75.591.419.471Sac fly
Sep 13LHPSlider72.895.423.234Double
Sep 13LHPFastball94.381.623.513Single
Sep 6LHPChangeup88.2100.43.501Out
Sep 6RHPSlider85.1102.1-1.428Out
Sep 2LHPFastball92.298.014.873Single
Sep 2LHPChangeup82.484.268.015Out
Sep 2RHPSinker97.693.2-9.128Single
Aug 26LHPSweeper84.7102.812.947Single
Aug 20LHPChangeup86.997.411.838Single
Aug 14RHPSlider88.162.8-64.187Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25400012
Sep 13423010
Sep 6300001
Sep 2422010
Aug 26311011
Aug 20311002
Aug 18111000
Aug 14100000
Aug 13311001
Aug 6300001

Two strikes

Reid Detmers LAA · LHPwith two strikes
Reid Detmers with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Fastball47%46%14.5%18.8%18.6%
Slider35%41%39.3%28.1%21.6%
Curveball12%7%23.1%21.2%21.2%
Changeup7%5%18.2%9.1%18.3%
Jhonny Pereda bats Rwith two strikes, vs this hand
Jhonny Pereda with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. Little two-strike history vs these shapes
With two strikesHimLeague
K%41.9%41.5%
Whiff%22.2%21.6%
Contact%77.8%78.4%
Chase%39.9%39.9%
wOBA.244.245
Whiff vs his put-away shapes25.8%25.1%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeAvgBalanced type
wOBA.320
K%24.6%
BB%9.4%
Whiff%10.6%
Barrel%3.5%
Hard-hit%27.6%
Avg EV88.6

Against left-handers, last 90 days

17 PA
wOBA.339
xwOBA vs this mix.332against pitches like his
RV/1000.31
Hard-hit%29.9%
K%23.2%
BB%9.4%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Reid DetmersLHP · LAA vs SEA
6.2projected strikeouts · likely 3 to 10 · 23.0 batters over 5.4 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 13.4%13%≤34 strikeouts: 12.3%12%45 strikeouts: 15.4%15%56 strikeouts: 15.9%16%67 strikeouts: 14.1%14%78 strikeouts: 11.0%11%89+ strikeouts: 17.9%18%9+book 6.5
Over 6.5: 43% (red bars) · under: 57%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%29.8%
BB%5.4%
Whiff%13.4%
Velo87.9
BTB Stuff105
Location112
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff
Fastball47%10694.08.6%
Slider35%11585.818.5%
Curveball12%8672.211.2%
Changeup7%7584.024.5%
Last 3 startsStable
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 198124%14%29%.360
Sep 149532%14%32%.338
Sep 811243%12%5%.110

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Reid Detmers LAA · LHPvsSEA lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

2 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against left-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.5%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameLAA @ SEA →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Jhonny Pereda: every projection we've made →