MLBengine v14
← LAD at SF, Sep 25, 2026
9:15 PM CT · Oracle Park · lineup confirmed
Hitter · LAD · batting 6Teoscar Hernández
Bats rightTalent grade CBalancedNormal
.284wOBA vs RHP.286xwOBA vs his mix3.6expected PA
Starter · SFYunior Marte
Throws rightBTB Stuff 78Trending Down
3.9projected K13%K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Yunior Marte's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 45% usage, 93.3 mph, +8.4″ arm side, +14.8″ rise. Teoscar Hernández: wOBA .351 vs league .365 (about even).Fastball 45%Slider: 42% usage, 85.3 mph, -1.8″ arm side, +0.4″ rise. Teoscar Hernández: wOBA .294 vs league .307 (about even).Slider 42%Splitter: 13% usage, 82.8 mph, +7.1″ arm side, +3.3″ rise. Teoscar Hernández: wOBA .275 vs league .289 (about even).Splitter 13%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Teoscar Hernández's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Teoscar Hernández's last 40 balls in playHit (20)Out (20)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 94.6 mph at 1°Home run: 109.2 mph at 27°Out: 85.8 mph at 59°Single: 72.1 mph at 10°Single: 104.0 mph at 11°Single: 96.8 mph at -2°Out: 61.0 mph at 49°Single: 83.3 mph at 4°Out: 93.5 mph at 37°Single: 95.3 mph at 6°Single: 100.3 mph at -2°Out: 80.6 mph at 48°Single: 106.3 mph at 12°Out: 63.0 mph at -53°Out: 99.1 mph at -9°Single: 89.0 mph at 14°Single: 107.5 mph at 13°Out: 64.8 mph at -21°Out: 70.6 mph at -17°Out: 75.3 mph at -2°Single: 95.3 mph at -2°Out: 97.0 mph at 41°Out: 86.7 mph at 5°Out: 80.6 mph at 58°Home run: 109.3 mph at 21°Out: 82.2 mph at 25°Home run: 104.2 mph at 25°Out: 104.1 mph at -21°Out: 106.9 mph at -2°Out: 103.0 mph at -2°Out: 85.1 mph at 31°Out: 99.3 mph at 39°Out: 81.5 mph at 73°Single: 76.2 mph at 21°Single: 79.5 mph at 11°Single: 78.4 mph at 19°Triple: 93.0 mph at 17°Single: 98.4 mph at -11°Home run: 112.6 mph at 23°Single: 108.7 mph at 8°
48% hit 95+ mph40% in the sweet spot50% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit61.9%61.9%-0.0
2+ total bases33.9%35.2%-1.2
Home run10.8%13.1%-2.4
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+1.3
Pitch mix
-0.2
Bullpen
+0.2
Park
-1.3
2+ total bases
Starter
+0.7
Pitch mix
-0.2
Bullpen
+0.2
Park
-1.9
Home run
Starter
-0.2
Pitch mix
-0.1
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-2.1

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Teoscar Hernández hits
Teoscar Hernández · hot and cold vs RHP
xwOBA .397 shrunk (raw .642 on 6 PA) · league .274 · 25 pitches seen.397xwOBA .317 shrunk (raw .335 on 7 PA) · league .307 · 31 pitches seen.317xwOBA .339 shrunk (raw .453 on 8 PA) · league .263 · 19 pitches seen.339xwOBA .430 shrunk (raw .511 on 13 PA) · league .342 · 40 pitches seen.430xwOBA .352 shrunk (raw .325 on 15 PA) · league .386 · 48 pitches seen.352xwOBA .228 shrunk (raw .127 on 11 PA) · league .321 · 40 pitches seen.228xwOBA .310 shrunk (raw .312 on 9 PA) · league .308 · 22 pitches seen.310xwOBA .345 shrunk (raw .340 on 16 PA) · league .351 · 39 pitches seen.345xwOBA .241 shrunk (raw .193 on 13 PA) · league .292 · 40 pitches seen.241xwOBA .287 shrunk (raw .219 on 16 PA) · league .377 · 81 pitches seen.287xwOBA .231 shrunk (raw .197 on 15 PA) · league .274 · 47 pitches seen.231xwOBA .299 shrunk (raw .347 on 9 PA) · league .263 · 47 pitches seen.299xwOBA .211 shrunk (raw .192 on 41 PA) · league .274 · 231 pitches seen.211
vs RHP · 710 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 21% of 19 swings · league 22%21%Whiff 13% of 24 swings · league 20%13%Whiff 42% of 12 swings · league 19%42%Whiff 10% of 29 swings · league 10%10%Whiff 6% of 32 swings · league 9%6%Whiff 21% of 24 swings · league 11%21%Whiff 23% of 13 swings · league 14%23%Whiff 21% of 29 swings · league 13%21%Whiff 42% of 19 swings · league 17%42%Whiff 27% of 33 swings · league 28%27%Whiff 45% of 20 swings · league 24%45%Whiff 24% of 25 swings · league 32%24%Whiff 70% of 73 swings · league 49%70%
vs RHP · 710 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 76% of 25 pitches · league 62%76%Swings at 77% of 31 pitches · league 72%77%Swings at 63% of 19 pitches · league 66%63%Swings at 73% of 40 pitches · league 70%73%Swings at 67% of 48 pitches · league 76%67%Swings at 60% of 40 pitches · league 70%60%Swings at 59% of 22 pitches · league 65%59%Swings at 74% of 39 pitches · league 68%74%Swings at 48% of 40 pitches · league 60%48%Swings at 41% of 81 pitches · league 24%41%Swings at 43% of 47 pitches · league 34%43%Swings at 53% of 47 pitches · league 40%53%Swings at 32% of 231 pitches · league 32%32%
vs RHP · 710 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

Teoscar Hernández against each of Yunior Marte's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball45%93.3+8″ / +15″.351.36520.8%15.3%29About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Slider42%85.3-2″ / +0″.294.30741.2%30.8%30About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Splitter13%82.8+7″ / +3″.275.28947.0%38.5%5Little history vs this shape
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Teoscar Hernández · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G512.364.417.636.450.36633.3%0.0%26.7%89.9109.214.3%42.9%14.3%
Last 15 G1540.278.350.444.350.32830.0%7.5%31.6%90.3109.38.3%50.0%29.2%
Last 30 G2979.278.342.375.334.30332.9%6.3%32.3%89.5110.14.3%45.7%30.4%
90 days68179.220.285.323.279.28531.3%7.3%32.4%89.3110.15.6%43.5%29.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 108 balls in play
Ground 46%Line drive 17%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 12%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G48.375.375.375.338.21237.5%0.0%33.3%89.4104.00.0%40.0%40.0%
Last 15 G1023.400.478.650.483.40826.1%13.0%34.9%89.0107.57.1%35.7%50.0%
Last 30 G2148.400.500.725.519.50220.8%16.7%32.9%93.9112.623.3%53.3%53.3%
90 days47102.341.402.593.434.41021.6%9.8%32.0%92.5112.614.3%47.1%38.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 70 balls in play
Ground 37%Line drive 23%Fly ball 34%Pop-up 6%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G520.368.400.526.405.30435.0%0.0%29.4%89.7109.28.3%41.7%25.0%
Last 15 G1563.321.397.518.398.35728.6%9.5%32.8%89.8109.37.9%44.7%36.8%
Last 30 G30127.321.402.500.403.37728.3%10.2%32.5%91.3112.611.8%48.7%39.5%
90 days72281.263.327.420.335.33027.8%8.2%32.2%90.6112.69.0%44.9%33.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 178 balls in play
Ground 43%Line drive 19%Fly ball 29%Pop-up 10%
Teoscar Hernández · percentile ranksvs 210 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating62Average
Last 100 pitches1trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.334 / .329results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases5/12
Home run2/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25RHPSplitter81.994.61.419Out
Sep 25RHPFastball90.4109.2272.030Home run
Sep 25RHPFastball94.685.859.023Out
Sep 23LHPSinker93.772.110.237Single
Sep 23LHPFastball94.2104.011.911Single
Sep 23LHPFastball92.696.8-2.413Single
Sep 22RHPChangeup90.661.049.080Out
Sep 22RHPSlider88.983.34.280Single
Sep 22LHPChangeup89.693.537.111Out
Sep 20RHPSlider89.695.36.484Single
Sep 20RHPSinker97.5100.3-2.343Single
Sep 20LHPChangeup86.280.648.026Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25414101
Sep 24400003
Sep 23433001
Sep 22411001
Sep 20422001
Sep 19511002
Sep 18522001
Sep 17511011
Sep 16500012
Sep 15414111

Two strikes

Yunior Marte SF · RHPwith two strikes
Yunior Marte with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Slider42%44%21.1%16.1%21.1%
Fastball45%37%7.1%19.2%18.0%
Splitter13%20%14.3%7.1%19.0%
Teoscar Hernández bats Rwith two strikes, vs this hand
Teoscar Hernández with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. Little two-strike history vs these shapes
With two strikesHimLeague
K%47.0%42.4%
Whiff%28.5%22.2%
Contact%71.5%77.8%
Chase%43.3%39.9%
wOBA.223.237
Whiff vs his put-away shapes30.5%24.0%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeCBalanced type
wOBA.328
K%27.2%
BB%7.8%
Whiff%15.1%
Barrel%5.9%
Hard-hit%28.7%
Avg EV90.3

Against right-handers, last 90 days

175 PA
wOBA.284
xwOBA vs this mix.286against pitches like his
RV/100-0.58
Hard-hit%26.5%
K%30.2%
BB%8.3%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Yunior MarteRHP · SF vs LAD
3.9projected strikeouts · likely 2 to 7 · 22.7 batters over 5.2 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 45.3%45%≤34 strikeouts: 19.4%19%45 strikeouts: 15.2%15%56 strikeouts: 9.9%10%67 strikeouts: 5.5%5%78 strikeouts: 2.8%3%89+ strikeouts: 1.9%2%9+book 3.5
Over 3.5: 55% (red bars) · under: 45%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%13.3%
BB%10.8%
Whiff%8.0%
Velo88.5
BTB Stuff78
Location101
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff
Fastball45%5893.22.1%
Slider42%9085.213.0%
Splitter13%11382.712.5%
Last 3 startsTrending Down
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 19978%5%33%.477
Sep 117720%12%20%.240
Sep 46210%7%57%.343

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Yunior Marte SF · RHPvsLAD lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

2 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.5%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameLAD @ SF →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Teoscar Hernández: every projection we've made →