MLBengine v14
← NYM at WSH, Sep 25, 2026
5:45 PM CT · Nationals Park · lineup confirmed
Hitter · WSH · batting 7Daylen Lile
Bats leftTalent grade BPowerCold
.299wOBA vs LHP.276xwOBA vs his mix3.5expected PA
Starter · NYMJefry Yan
Throws leftBTB Stuff 122Stable
2.6projected K29%K%1.0trips vs this hitter
Jefry Yan's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Sinker: 44% usage, 97.6 mph, +14.6″ arm side, +11.5″ rise. Daylen Lile: wOBA .322 vs league .325 (about even).Sinker 44%Fastball: 26% usage, 97.5 mph, +4.1″ arm side, +17.2″ rise. Daylen Lile: wOBA .321 vs league .324 (about even).Fastball 26%Slider: 21% usage, 86.4 mph, -4.6″ arm side, -3.2″ rise. Daylen Lile: wOBA .266 vs league .269 (about even).Slider 21%Changeup: 9% usage, 89.5 mph, +13.1″ arm side, +7.1″ rise. Daylen Lile: wOBA .308 vs league .311 (about even).Changeup 9%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Daylen Lile's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Daylen Lile's last 40 balls in playHit (10)Out (30)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 97.5 mph at 46°Single: 102.7 mph at -11°Single: 106.2 mph at 10°Out: 100.1 mph at 37°Out: 91.7 mph at 40°Out: 82.6 mph at 22°Out: 98.9 mph at 30°Out: 83.9 mph at -15°Out: 92.8 mph at 54°Out: 70.9 mph at 52°Out: 72.3 mph at -12°Double: 83.2 mph at 18°Out: 102.8 mph at 21°Single: 103.7 mph at 12°Out: 69.0 mph at 50°Out: 94.0 mph at -1°Home run: 103.3 mph at 27°Out: 94.7 mph at 20°Out: 91.2 mph at 45°Out: 68.0 mph at -3°Out: 77.7 mph at 48°Out: 86.8 mph at 36°Out: 64.6 mph at 58°Single: 49.8 mph at -63°Out: 74.2 mph at 39°Single: 104.7 mph at 14°Home run: 101.3 mph at 27°Out: 78.9 mph at 40°Triple: 105.0 mph at 23°Single: 102.6 mph at 13°Out: 80.4 mph at -4°Out: 89.8 mph at -32°Out: 86.6 mph at 31°Out: 86.2 mph at 61°Out: 93.1 mph at 45°Out: 102.5 mph at 31°Out: 70.1 mph at -12°Out: 105.1 mph at -10°Out: 96.0 mph at 60°Out: 61.9 mph at 0°
38% hit 95+ mph35% in the sweet spot25% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit62.4%63.2%-0.7
2+ total bases38.9%39.6%-0.7
Home run13.9%14.5%-0.6
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
-1.1
Pitch mix
-0.2
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
+0.5
2+ total bases
Starter
-1.1
Pitch mix
-0.2
Bullpen
0.0
Park
+0.6
Home run
Starter
-0.9
Pitch mix
-0.1
Bullpen
-0.1
Park
+0.4

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Daylen Lile hits
Daylen Lile · hot and cold vs LHP
xwOBA .221 shrunk (raw .087 on 2 PA) · league .243 · 8 pitches seen.221xwOBA .297 shrunk (raw .300 on 3 PA) · league .296 · 11 pitches seen.297xwOBA .276 shrunk (raw .538 on 1 PA) · league .254 · 8 pitches seen.276xwOBA .341 shrunk (raw .439 on 4 PA) · league .308 · 11 pitches seen.341xwOBA .389 shrunk (raw .394 on 10 PA) · league .385 · 22 pitches seen.389xwOBA .349 shrunk (raw .368 on 6 PA) · league .340 · 13 pitches seen.349xwOBA .272 shrunk (raw .268 on 3 PA) · league .273 · 19 pitches seen.272xwOBA .363 shrunk (raw .381 on 9 PA) · league .350 · 21 pitches seen.363xwOBA .279 shrunk (raw .219 on 4 PA) · league .299 · 8 pitches seen.279xwOBA .253 shrunk (raw .106 on 4 PA) · league .302 · 23 pitches seen.253xwOBA .311 shrunk (raw .205 on 4 PA) · league .346 · 28 pitches seen.311xwOBA .193 shrunk (raw .136 on 20 PA) · league .289 · 73 pitches seen.193xwOBA .237 shrunk (raw .000 on 1 PA) · league .257 · 17 pitches seen.237
vs LHP · 262 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 0% of 5 swings · league 19%0%Whiff 38% of 8 swings · league 21%38%Whiff 25% of 4 swings · league 23%25%Whiff 0% of 6 swings · league 9%0%Whiff 6% of 17 swings · league 10%6%Whiff 0% of 11 swings · league 11%0%Whiff 31% of 13 swings · league 17%31%Whiff 25% of 16 swings · league 14%25%Whiff 0% of 6 swings · league 16%0%Whiff 67% of 6 swings · league 25%67%Whiff 27% of 11 swings · league 29%27%Whiff 51% of 35 swings · league 48%51%Whiff 39% of 13 swings · league 34%39%
vs LHP · 262 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 63% of 8 pitches · league 63%63%Swings at 73% of 11 pitches · league 71%73%Swings at 50% of 8 pitches · league 64%50%Swings at 55% of 11 pitches · league 67%55%Swings at 77% of 22 pitches · league 76%77%Swings at 85% of 13 pitches · league 72%85%Swings at 68% of 19 pitches · league 59%68%Swings at 76% of 21 pitches · league 68%76%Swings at 75% of 8 pitches · league 66%75%Swings at 26% of 23 pitches · league 30%26%Swings at 39% of 28 pitches · league 26%39%Swings at 48% of 73 pitches · league 31%48%Swings at 77% of 17 pitches · league 41%77%
vs LHP · 262 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

Daylen Lile against each of Jefry Yan's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Sinker44%97.6+15″ / +12″.322.32515.5%12.7%14About league average vs these
Fastball26%97.5+4″ / +17″.321.32431.1%26.3%10About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Slider21%86.4-5″ / -3″.266.26937.9%33.4%15About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Changeup9%89.5+13″ / +7″.308.31129.5%23.9%8About league average vs these
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on left-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Daylen Lile · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G47.500.429.667.436.45528.6%0.0%26.7%98.5103.70.0%80.0%60.0%
Last 15 G1218.250.222.312.219.33722.2%0.0%23.5%90.2103.77.1%42.9%50.0%
Last 30 G2030.308.300.462.352.32523.3%3.3%27.1%89.1103.74.8%42.9%57.1%
90 days4173.221.233.368.298.26230.1%1.4%28.5%90.1109.86.4%44.7%48.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 47 balls in play
Ground 30%Line drive 30%Fly ball 32%Pop-up 9%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G510.100.100.100.090.2720.0%0.0%16.7%86.6106.210.0%30.0%30.0%
Last 15 G1537.171.216.400.286.27821.6%5.4%23.6%87.2106.214.8%33.3%25.9%
Last 30 G3088.256.341.615.417.41817.0%11.4%17.3%90.3107.017.5%44.4%36.5%
90 days74222.252.306.505.352.37219.8%6.8%19.8%90.2107.914.8%43.2%40.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 162 balls in play
Ground 28%Line drive 22%Fly ball 41%Pop-up 9%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G517.250.235.312.232.34711.8%0.0%21.2%90.6106.26.7%46.7%40.0%
Last 15 G1555.196.218.373.264.29721.8%3.6%23.6%88.3106.212.2%36.6%34.1%
Last 30 G30118.269.331.577.400.39418.6%9.3%19.7%90.0107.014.3%44.0%41.7%
90 days76295.245.288.471.339.34522.4%5.4%21.9%90.2109.812.9%43.5%42.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 209 balls in play
Ground 29%Line drive 24%Fly ball 39%Pop-up 9%
Daylen Lile · percentile ranksvs 210 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormCold
Contact rating81Excellent
Last 100 pitches98trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.334 / .353running 19 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit5/12
2+ total bases5/12
Home run2/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25RHPCutter81.997.546.041Out
Sep 25LHPSinker96.8102.7-11.270Single
Sep 25RHPChangeup85.6106.210.867Single
Sep 25LHPSweeper82.7100.137.390Sac fly
Sep 23RHPSlider82.791.740.019Out
Sep 22RHPChangeup87.382.622.553Out
Sep 22RHPChangeup88.298.930.828Out
Sep 22RHPChangeup88.883.9-15.088Out
Sep 21RHPFastball95.492.854.003Out
Sep 21RHPChangeup86.670.952.144Out
Sep 21RHPChangeup90.972.3-12.046Out
Sep 20LHPCurveball75.683.218.903Double
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25422000
Sep 23100000
Sep 22400001
Sep 21400001
Sep 20423000
Sep 19614103
Sep 18500010
Sep 16422000
Sep 15114100
Sep 13424001

Two strikes

Jefry Yan NYM · LHPwith two strikes
Jefry Yan with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Slider21%40%42.1%27.8%21.6%
Fastball26%22%25.0%30.0%18.6%
Sinker44%22%9.1%10.0%17.7%
Changeup9%17%66.7%46.7%18.3%
Daylen Lile bats Lwith two strikes, vs this hand
Daylen Lile with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. Misses his two-strike stuff more than most
With two strikesHimLeague
K%48.0%44.1%
Whiff%26.8%22.7%
Contact%73.2%77.3%
Chase%43.3%38.2%
wOBA.232.224
Whiff vs his put-away shapes29.1%24.9%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeBPower type
wOBA.348
K%22.0%
BB%5.6%
Whiff%12.1%
Barrel%8.0%
Hard-hit%29.6%
Avg EV89.7

Against left-handers, last 90 days

72 PA
wOBA.299
xwOBA vs this mix.276against pitches like his
RV/100-0.89
Hard-hit%27.7%
K%28.5%
BB%5.5%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Jefry YanLHP · NYM vs WSH
2.6projected strikeouts · likely 1 to 5 · 10.4 batters over 2.4 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 74.0%74%≤34 strikeouts: 14.0%14%45 strikeouts: 7.2%7%56 strikeouts: 3.1%3%67 strikeouts: 1.2%1%78 strikeouts: 0.4%0%89+ strikeouts: 0.1%0%9+book 2.5
Over 2.5: 48% (red bars) · under: 52%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%28.7%
BB%14.9%
Whiff%14.8%
Velo94.5
BTB Stuff122
Location94
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff
Sinker44%12797.77.5%
Fastball26%12597.513.1%
Slider21%11786.423.2%
Changeup9%9889.035.5%

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Jefry Yan NYM · LHPvsWSH lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

3 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against left-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.5%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameNYM @ WSH →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Daylen Lile: every projection we've made →