MLBengine v14
← TB at PHI, Sep 25, 2026
5:40 PM CT · Citizens Bank Park · lineup confirmed
Hitter · TB · batting 8Ben Williamson
Bats rightTalent grade FBalancedNormal
.274wOBA vs LHP.265xwOBA vs his mix3.4expected PA
Starter · PHICristopher Sánchez
Throws leftBTB Stuff 118Trending Down
5.6projected K25%K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Cristopher Sánchez's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Sinker: 46% usage, 95.0 mph, +18.1″ arm side, +4.6″ rise. Ben Williamson: wOBA .361 vs league .370 (about even).Sinker 46%Changeup: 35% usage, 87.2 mph, +17.0″ arm side, +0.2″ rise. Ben Williamson: wOBA .323 vs league .332 (about even).Changeup 35%Slider: 19% usage, 86.6 mph, -0.7″ arm side, -3.2″ rise. Ben Williamson: wOBA .298 vs league .307 (about even).Slider 19%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Ben Williamson's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Ben Williamson's last 40 balls in playHit (11)Out (29)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 91.6 mph at 24°Out: 86.6 mph at -32°Single: 72.0 mph at 34°Out: 91.6 mph at -28°Out: 69.6 mph at -36°Out: 97.8 mph at 26°Out: 82.4 mph at 32°Out: 95.2 mph at -5°Out: 87.2 mph at 35°Out: 86.0 mph at -33°Out: 86.6 mph at -16°Single: 93.5 mph at 5°Out: 98.4 mph at -17°Out: 70.2 mph at -13°Home run: 101.1 mph at 20°Out: 71.7 mph at -18°Out: 102.4 mph at -15°Out: 76.7 mph at -6°Single: 87.0 mph at 14°Out: 91.2 mph at -9°Out: 74.7 mph at -16°Single: 95.7 mph at -4°Single: 102.2 mph at 13°Out: 91.4 mph at -20°Out: 82.2 mph at -9°Out: 31.0 mph at 50°Out: 90.7 mph at -13°Out: 65.1 mph at 39°Out: 76.0 mph at -45°Out: 105.6 mph at -8°Double: 105.0 mph at 14°Out: 91.0 mph at 19°Out: 43.3 mph at -38°Out: 81.3 mph at -4°Out: 80.7 mph at -42°Single: 92.2 mph at 14°Single: 93.1 mph at 5°Single: 105.1 mph at 4°Single: 102.5 mph at 10°Out: 70.2 mph at -23°
28% hit 95+ mph25% in the sweet spot28% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit57.1%58.1%-1.1
2+ total bases26.9%27.9%-0.9
Home run4.5%4.8%-0.3
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
-0.2
Pitch mix
-0.9
Bullpen
-0.3
Park
+0.4
2+ total bases
Starter
-0.4
Pitch mix
-0.8
Bullpen
-0.3
Park
+0.5
Home run
Starter
-0.4
Pitch mix
-0.2
Bullpen
-0.1
Park
+0.4

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Ben Williamson hits
Ben Williamson · hot and cold vs LHP
xwOBA .261 shrunk (raw .481 on 1 PA) · league .243 · 4 pitches seen.261xwOBA .313 shrunk (raw .521 on 1 PA) · league .296 · 6 pitches seen.313xwOBA .245 shrunk (raw .131 on 1 PA) · league .254 · 11 pitches seen.245xwOBA .288 shrunk (raw .249 on 6 PA) · league .308 · 11 pitches seen.288xwOBA .375 shrunk (raw .354 on 6 PA) · league .385 · 13 pitches seen.375xwOBA .303 shrunk (raw .155 on 3 PA) · league .340 · 10 pitches seen.303xwOBA .222 shrunk (raw .018 on 3 PA) · league .273 · 5 pitches seen.222xwOBA .282 shrunk (raw .009 on 3 PA) · league .350 · 12 pitches seen.282xwOBA .294 shrunk (raw .283 on 6 PA) · league .299 · 11 pitches seen.294xwOBA .296 shrunk (raw .271 on 3 PA) · league .302 · 12 pitches seen.296xwOBA .302 shrunk (raw .038 on 2 PA) · league .346 · 25 pitches seen.302xwOBA .331 shrunk (raw .433 on 5 PA) · league .289 · 40 pitches seen.331xwOBA .185 shrunk (raw .089 on 9 PA) · league .257 · 39 pitches seen.185
vs LHP · 199 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 33% of 3 swings · league 19%33%Whiff 0% of 4 swings · league 21%0%Whiff 0% of 5 swings · league 23%0%Whiff 13% of 8 swings · league 9%13%Whiff 0% of 8 swings · league 10%0%Whiff 0% of 6 swings · league 11%0%Whiff 50% of 2 swings · league 17%50%Whiff 50% of 4 swings · league 14%50%Whiff 0% of 7 swings · league 16%0%Whiff 0% of 6 swings · league 25%0%Whiff 8% of 13 swings · league 29%8%Whiff 60% of 10 swings · league 48%60%Whiff 31% of 16 swings · league 34%31%
vs LHP · 199 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 75% of 4 pitches · league 63%75%Swings at 67% of 6 pitches · league 71%67%Swings at 46% of 11 pitches · league 64%46%Swings at 73% of 11 pitches · league 67%73%Swings at 62% of 13 pitches · league 76%62%Swings at 60% of 10 pitches · league 72%60%Swings at 40% of 5 pitches · league 59%40%Swings at 33% of 12 pitches · league 68%33%Swings at 64% of 11 pitches · league 66%64%Swings at 50% of 12 pitches · league 30%50%Swings at 52% of 25 pitches · league 26%52%Swings at 25% of 40 pitches · league 31%25%Swings at 41% of 39 pitches · league 41%41%
vs LHP · 199 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

Ben Williamson against each of Cristopher Sánchez's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Sinker46%95.0+18″ / +5″.361.3707.9%11.0%4Little history vs this shape
Changeup35%87.2+17″ / +0″.323.33224.5%30.3%13About league average vs these
Slider19%86.6-1″ / -3″.298.30730.7%32.3%5Little history vs this shape
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on left-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Ben Williamson · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G513.083.154.083.123.18523.1%7.7%20.8%85.497.80.0%22.2%22.2%
Last 15 G1331.207.258.241.268.24319.4%3.2%17.6%87.2105.00.0%31.8%22.7%
Last 30 G2350.191.240.213.234.22222.0%4.0%18.5%84.7105.10.0%28.6%22.9%
90 days2350.191.240.213.234.22222.0%4.0%18.5%84.7105.10.0%28.6%22.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 35 balls in play
Ground 66%Line drive 14%Fly ball 14%Pop-up 6%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G23.000.333.000.233.3110.0%33.3%0.0%88.891.60.0%0.0%50.0%
Last 15 G916.067.125.267.169.22818.8%6.2%17.9%79.6105.60.0%16.7%25.0%
Last 30 G2045.310.356.476.363.30513.3%6.7%14.5%84.1105.62.8%25.0%36.1%
90 days2045.310.356.476.363.30513.3%6.7%14.5%84.1105.62.8%25.0%36.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 36 balls in play
Ground 50%Line drive 36%Fly ball 8%Pop-up 6%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G516.071.188.071.144.20918.8%12.5%16.7%86.197.80.0%18.2%27.3%
Last 15 G1547.159.213.250.234.23719.1%4.3%17.7%84.5105.60.0%26.5%23.5%
Last 30 G2995.247.295.337.296.26217.9%5.3%16.8%84.4105.61.4%26.8%29.6%
90 days2995.247.295.337.296.26217.9%5.3%16.8%84.4105.61.4%26.8%29.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 71 balls in play
Ground 58%Line drive 25%Fly ball 11%Pop-up 6%
Ben Williamson · percentile ranksvs 210 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating11Poor
Last 100 pitches1trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.291 / .264running 27 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit6/12
2+ total bases1/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPFastball91.991.624.183Out
Sep 24LHPSinker87.586.6-32.054Out
Sep 22LHPFastball94.372.034.434Single
Sep 22LHPSweeper79.991.6-28.123Out
Sep 22LHPSinker91.269.6-36.083Out
Sep 22LHPChangeup78.097.826.609Out
Sep 20LHPFastball91.682.432.038Out
Sep 20LHPFastball95.795.2-5.258Out
Sep 20LHPSlider83.887.235.027Out
Aug 5RHPCutter91.986.0-33.051Out
Aug 5LHPSinker90.586.6-16.083Out
Aug 4LHPFastball92.093.55.521Single
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25400013
Sep 24300010
Sep 22411000
Sep 20300000
Aug 5200000
Aug 4311002
Aug 2414100
Aug 1300000
Jul 30311000
Jul 29300002

Two strikes

Cristopher Sánchez PHI · LHPwith two strikes
Cristopher Sánchez with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Changeup35%40%37.2%24.8%18.3%
Sinker46%32%8.8%18.6%17.7%
Slider19%28%34.7%26.8%21.6%
Ben Williamson bats Rwith two strikes, vs this hand
Ben Williamson with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. Little two-strike history vs these shapes
With two strikesHimLeague
K%38.3%41.5%
Whiff%18.6%21.6%
Contact%81.4%78.4%
Chase%43.8%39.9%
wOBA.236.245
Whiff vs his put-away shapes20.1%23.2%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.295
K%19.7%
BB%5.4%
Whiff%9.3%
Barrel%2.5%
Hard-hit%25.8%
Avg EV86.7

Against left-handers, last 90 days

46 PA
wOBA.274
xwOBA vs this mix.265against pitches like his
RV/100-1.10
Hard-hit%23.4%
K%19.5%
BB%5.6%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Cristopher SánchezLHP · PHI vs TB
5.6projected strikeouts · likely 3 to 9 · 25.3 batters over 5.9 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 19.6%20%≤34 strikeouts: 15.2%15%45 strikeouts: 16.9%17%56 strikeouts: 15.7%16%67 strikeouts: 12.5%13%78 strikeouts: 8.8%9%89+ strikeouts: 11.3%11%9+book 5.5
Over 5.5: 48% (red bars) · under: 52%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%24.7%
BB%6.0%
Whiff%14.2%
Velo90.6
BTB Stuff118
Location99
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff
Sinker46%12194.94.6%
Changeup35%12087.323.4%
Slider19%10986.620.7%
Last 3 startsTrending Down
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 209824%10%48%.260
Sep 159819%11%30%.466
Sep 98112%6%35%.498

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Cristopher Sánchez PHI · LHPvsTB lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

1 of 10 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against left-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.5%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameTB @ PHI →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Ben Williamson: every projection we've made →