MLBengine v14
← TB at PHI, Sep 25, 2026
5:40 PM CT · Citizens Bank Park · lineup confirmed
Hitter · TB · batting 1Yandy Díaz
Bats rightTalent grade APowerCold
.317wOBA vs LHP.383xwOBA vs his mix4.0expected PA
Starter · PHICristopher Sánchez
Throws leftBTB Stuff 118Trending Down
5.6projected K25%K%2.7trips vs this hitter
Cristopher Sánchez's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Sinker: 46% usage, 95.0 mph, +18.1″ arm side, +4.6″ rise. Yandy Díaz: wOBA .366 vs league .370 (about even).Sinker 46%Changeup: 35% usage, 87.2 mph, +17.0″ arm side, +0.2″ rise. Yandy Díaz: wOBA .329 vs league .332 (about even).Changeup 35%Slider: 19% usage, 86.6 mph, -0.7″ arm side, -3.2″ rise. Yandy Díaz: wOBA .304 vs league .307 (about even).Slider 19%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Yandy Díaz's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Yandy Díaz's last 40 balls in playHit (6)Out (34)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 77.5 mph at 5°Out: 100.6 mph at -23°Out: 99.8 mph at -36°Out: 104.7 mph at -33°Single: 70.8 mph at 25°Single: 97.0 mph at 14°Out: 90.9 mph at 42°Out: 92.7 mph at -33°Out: 77.9 mph at 48°Out: 65.5 mph at 39°Out: 100.2 mph at 28°Out: 82.0 mph at -11°Single: 102.0 mph at 9°Single: 101.1 mph at -8°Out: 69.8 mph at 0°Out: 81.8 mph at -36°Out: 96.4 mph at 23°Out: 86.8 mph at 36°Out: 99.9 mph at -16°Out: 75.2 mph at -27°Out: 82.6 mph at 27°Out: 90.8 mph at -9°Out: 92.0 mph at 52°Out: 75.6 mph at -12°Out: 51.3 mph at -58°Out: 101.3 mph at 27°Out: 102.2 mph at -4°Out: 106.3 mph at 0°Out: 79.6 mph at -36°Out: 96.7 mph at 26°Single: 111.5 mph at 2°Out: 74.1 mph at -47°Out: 89.0 mph at 26°Out: 98.0 mph at 53°Single: 101.1 mph at -6°Out: 88.1 mph at 33°Out: 71.3 mph at -47°Out: 105.9 mph at -16°Out: 88.6 mph at 39°Out: 90.2 mph at 51°
43% hit 95+ mph23% in the sweet spot15% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit67.4%68.0%-0.6
2+ total bases39.8%40.6%-0.7
Home run11.2%11.8%-0.6
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
-0.3
Pitch mix
-0.7
Bullpen
-0.2
Park
+0.6
2+ total bases
Starter
-0.6
Pitch mix
-0.7
Bullpen
-0.3
Park
+0.8
Home run
Starter
-1.0
Pitch mix
-0.3
Bullpen
-0.1
Park
+0.8

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Yandy Díaz hits
Yandy Díaz · hot and cold vs LHP
xwOBA .242 shrunk (raw .240 on 5 PA) · league .243 · 16 pitches seen.242xwOBA .329 shrunk (raw .428 on 4 PA) · league .296 · 18 pitches seen.329xwOBA .258 shrunk (raw .270 on 4 PA) · league .254 · 12 pitches seen.258xwOBA .327 shrunk (raw .344 on 13 PA) · league .308 · 17 pitches seen.327xwOBA .533 shrunk (raw .755 on 8 PA) · league .385 · 27 pitches seen.533xwOBA .358 shrunk (raw .464 on 2 PA) · league .340 · 18 pitches seen.358xwOBA .304 shrunk (raw .380 on 5 PA) · league .273 · 16 pitches seen.304xwOBA .340 shrunk (raw .329 on 10 PA) · league .350 · 19 pitches seen.340xwOBA .311 shrunk (raw .336 on 6 PA) · league .299 · 14 pitches seen.311xwOBA .242 shrunk (raw .152 on 8 PA) · league .302 · 53 pitches seen.242xwOBA .369 shrunk (raw .425 on 5 PA) · league .346 · 31 pitches seen.369xwOBA .404 shrunk (raw .511 on 13 PA) · league .289 · 73 pitches seen.404xwOBA .331 shrunk (raw .387 on 16 PA) · league .257 · 57 pitches seen.331
vs LHP · 371 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 8% of 12 swings · league 19%8%Whiff 8% of 13 swings · league 21%8%Whiff 14% of 7 swings · league 23%14%Whiff 0% of 14 swings · league 9%0%Whiff 5% of 20 swings · league 10%5%Whiff 8% of 13 swings · league 11%8%Whiff 0% of 6 swings · league 17%0%Whiff 0% of 13 swings · league 14%0%Whiff 10% of 10 swings · league 16%10%Whiff 13% of 16 swings · league 25%13%Whiff 60% of 5 swings · league 29%60%Whiff 0% of 18 swings · league 48%0%Whiff 20% of 30 swings · league 34%20%
vs LHP · 371 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 75% of 16 pitches · league 63%75%Swings at 72% of 18 pitches · league 71%72%Swings at 58% of 12 pitches · league 64%58%Swings at 82% of 17 pitches · league 67%82%Swings at 74% of 27 pitches · league 76%74%Swings at 72% of 18 pitches · league 72%72%Swings at 38% of 16 pitches · league 59%38%Swings at 68% of 19 pitches · league 68%68%Swings at 71% of 14 pitches · league 66%71%Swings at 30% of 53 pitches · league 30%30%Swings at 16% of 31 pitches · league 26%16%Swings at 25% of 73 pitches · league 31%25%Swings at 53% of 57 pitches · league 41%53%
vs LHP · 371 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

Yandy Díaz against each of Cristopher Sánchez's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Sinker46%95.0+18″ / +5″.366.3706.0%11.0%14About league average vs these
Changeup35%87.2+17″ / +0″.329.33218.5%30.3%10About league average vs these
Slider19%86.6-1″ / -3″.304.30718.9%32.3%7Little history vs this shape
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on left-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Yandy Díaz · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G413.000.077.000.054.23115.4%7.7%5.0%86.1104.710.0%40.0%20.0%
Last 15 G1127.042.148.042.111.24711.1%11.1%8.0%89.5108.24.8%47.6%23.8%
Last 30 G1747.175.298.275.268.4148.5%14.9%9.1%91.4108.211.1%55.6%33.3%
90 days42101.222.307.389.309.4007.9%10.9%9.6%91.9113.08.5%51.2%31.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 82 balls in play
Ground 51%Line drive 17%Fly ball 26%Pop-up 6%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G49.500.556.500.478.4020.0%11.1%12.5%92.0102.00.0%50.0%37.5%
Last 15 G1440.237.250.342.256.23120.0%2.5%16.7%90.0111.56.5%41.9%25.8%
Last 30 G2789.259.281.365.283.26116.9%3.4%14.4%90.7111.55.6%46.5%28.2%
90 days71243.260.292.370.310.29518.5%4.5%14.1%90.6113.15.4%48.1%30.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 185 balls in play
Ground 57%Line drive 20%Fly ball 15%Pop-up 8%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G522.200.273.200.227.3019.1%9.1%8.3%88.8104.75.6%44.4%27.8%
Last 15 G1567.161.209.226.198.23816.4%6.0%13.3%89.8111.55.8%44.2%25.0%
Last 30 G30136.232.287.336.278.31214.0%7.4%12.5%90.9111.57.5%49.5%29.9%
90 days76344.249.297.375.310.32615.4%6.4%12.9%91.0113.16.4%49.1%30.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 267 balls in play
Ground 55%Line drive 19%Fly ball 18%Pop-up 8%
Yandy Díaz · percentile ranksvs 210 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormCold
Contact rating78Above average
Last 100 pitches71trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.311 / .345running 34 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit4/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25LHPChangeup88.777.55.214Out
Sep 25LHPSinker95.6100.6-23.110Out
Sep 25RHPSplitter97.699.8-36.058Out
Sep 25LHPSinker95.8104.7-33.084Out
Sep 24RHPCutter93.370.825.890Single
Sep 24RHPCutter88.697.014.863Single
Sep 24RHPCutter86.190.942.018Out
Sep 24RHPCutter94.692.7-33.058Out
Sep 22LHPFastball95.477.948.067Out
Sep 22LHPCurveball75.365.539.473Out
Sep 22LHPSinker92.3100.228.939Out
Sep 22RHPSplitter91.482.0-11.077Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25400000
Sep 24522010
Sep 22400002
Sep 22522000
Sep 20400010
Sep 18500021
Sep 17500002
Sep 16400000
Sep 15400001
Sep 13522000

Two strikes

Cristopher Sánchez PHI · LHPwith two strikes
Cristopher Sánchez with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Changeup35%40%37.2%24.8%18.3%
Sinker46%32%8.8%18.6%17.7%
Slider19%28%34.7%26.8%21.6%
Yandy Díaz bats Rwith two strikes, vs this hand
Yandy Díaz with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. Little two-strike history vs these shapes
With two strikesHimLeague
K%31.0%41.5%
Whiff%15.7%21.6%
Contact%84.3%78.4%
Chase%36.5%39.9%
wOBA.244.245
Whiff vs his put-away shapes17.1%23.2%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeAPower type
wOBA.329
K%15.9%
BB%6.9%
Whiff%7.0%
Barrel%5.0%
Hard-hit%37.4%
Avg EV91.1

Against left-handers, last 90 days

98 PA
wOBA.317
xwOBA vs this mix.383against pitches like his
RV/100-0.21
Hard-hit%39.0%
K%10.5%
BB%6.8%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Cristopher SánchezLHP · PHI vs TB
5.6projected strikeouts · likely 3 to 9 · 25.3 batters over 5.9 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 19.6%20%≤34 strikeouts: 15.2%15%45 strikeouts: 16.9%17%56 strikeouts: 15.7%16%67 strikeouts: 12.5%13%78 strikeouts: 8.8%9%89+ strikeouts: 11.3%11%9+book 5.5
Over 5.5: 48% (red bars) · under: 52%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%24.7%
BB%6.0%
Whiff%14.2%
Velo90.6
BTB Stuff118
Location99
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff
Sinker46%12194.94.6%
Changeup35%12087.323.4%
Slider19%10986.620.7%
Last 3 startsTrending Down
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 209824%10%48%.260
Sep 159819%11%30%.466
Sep 98112%6%35%.498

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Cristopher Sánchez PHI · LHPvsTB lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

1 of 10 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against left-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.5%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameTB @ PHI →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Yandy Díaz: every projection we've made →