MLBengine v14
← TEX at MIN, Sep 25, 2026
7:10 PM CT · Target Field · lineup confirmed
Hitter · TEX · batting 4Wyatt Langford
Bats rightTalent grade CBalancedNormal
.347wOBA vs RHP.334xwOBA vs his mix3.8expected PA
Starter · MINJoe Ryan
Throws rightBTB Stuff 89Trending Up
5.3projected K21%K%2.7trips vs this hitter
Joe Ryan's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 44% usage, 93.8 mph, +13.9″ arm side, +13.0″ rise. Wyatt Langford: wOBA .364 vs league .354 (about even).Fastball 44%Sweeper: 19% usage, 80.9 mph, -13.6″ arm side, +1.1″ rise. Wyatt Langford: wOBA .289 vs league .279 (about even).Sweeper 19%Splitter: 14% usage, 88.1 mph, +16.1″ arm side, +4.7″ rise. Wyatt Langford: wOBA .359 vs league .350 (about even).Splitter 14%Curveball: 10% usage, 79.8 mph, -10.4″ arm side, -8.3″ rise. Wyatt Langford: wOBA .292 vs league .283 (about even).Curveball 10%Sinker: 7% usage, 93.4 mph, +16.7″ arm side, +9.7″ rise. Wyatt Langford: wOBA .361 vs league .351 (about even).Sinker 7%Slider: 6% usage, 87.2 mph, -0.2″ arm side, +5.5″ rise. Wyatt Langford: wOBA .330 vs league .320 (about even).Slider 6%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Wyatt Langford's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Wyatt Langford's last 40 balls in playHit (11)Out (29)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 103.6 mph at -9°Out: 44.7 mph at -12°Single: 73.3 mph at 42°Single: 71.7 mph at -49°Out: 66.8 mph at 69°Out: 67.7 mph at 6°Out: 106.3 mph at 20°Single: 100.0 mph at -5°Out: 77.0 mph at 45°Double: 102.8 mph at 20°Out: 91.0 mph at 33°Single: 81.0 mph at 19°Out: 59.6 mph at -39°Out: 104.8 mph at 19°Out: 97.9 mph at 28°Single: 70.7 mph at 35°Out: 101.9 mph at 29°Out: 73.0 mph at 61°Out: 89.8 mph at -26°Out: 91.6 mph at 53°Out: 77.0 mph at 40°Home run: 105.5 mph at 24°Double: 102.7 mph at 22°Out: 82.7 mph at 56°Single: 93.5 mph at 13°Out: 72.0 mph at 36°Out: 78.6 mph at 29°Out: 82.5 mph at -4°Home run: 107.3 mph at 23°Out: 82.8 mph at 46°Out: 96.0 mph at 25°Out: 89.1 mph at 47°Out: 89.3 mph at -56°Out: 82.2 mph at 35°Out: 78.1 mph at 29°Out: 88.3 mph at 56°Out: 52.3 mph at -64°Out: 90.5 mph at 68°Double: 84.8 mph at 17°Out: 96.9 mph at 34°
30% hit 95+ mph35% in the sweet spot28% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit55.0%53.3%+1.7
2+ total bases32.9%31.5%+1.4
Home run12.6%11.8%+0.8
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+1.3
Pitch mix
+0.4
Bullpen
-0.2
Park
+0.1
2+ total bases
Starter
+1.3
Pitch mix
+0.4
Bullpen
-0.1
Park
-0.2
Home run
Starter
+1.3
Pitch mix
+0.2
Bullpen
-0.1
Park
-0.7

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Wyatt Langford hits
Wyatt Langford · hot and cold vs RHP
xwOBA .173 shrunk (raw .073 on 12 PA) · league .274 · 27 pitches seen.173xwOBA .243 shrunk (raw .114 on 6 PA) · league .307 · 24 pitches seen.243xwOBA .284 shrunk (raw .349 on 4 PA) · league .263 · 23 pitches seen.284xwOBA .342 shrunk (raw .342 on 13 PA) · league .342 · 40 pitches seen.342xwOBA .435 shrunk (raw .464 on 20 PA) · league .386 · 46 pitches seen.435xwOBA .274 shrunk (raw .233 on 14 PA) · league .321 · 53 pitches seen.274xwOBA .293 shrunk (raw .256 on 5 PA) · league .308 · 15 pitches seen.293xwOBA .390 shrunk (raw .421 on 15 PA) · league .351 · 37 pitches seen.390xwOBA .266 shrunk (raw .235 on 10 PA) · league .292 · 36 pitches seen.266xwOBA .384 shrunk (raw .391 on 12 PA) · league .377 · 77 pitches seen.384xwOBA .282 shrunk (raw .288 on 17 PA) · league .274 · 79 pitches seen.282xwOBA .280 shrunk (raw .296 on 12 PA) · league .263 · 45 pitches seen.280xwOBA .402 shrunk (raw .441 on 39 PA) · league .274 · 224 pitches seen.402
vs RHP · 726 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 24% of 17 swings · league 22%24%Whiff 37% of 19 swings · league 20%37%Whiff 39% of 13 swings · league 19%39%Whiff 3% of 31 swings · league 10%3%Whiff 11% of 37 swings · league 9%11%Whiff 15% of 34 swings · league 11%15%Whiff 0% of 10 swings · league 14%0%Whiff 12% of 26 swings · league 13%12%Whiff 8% of 13 swings · league 17%8%Whiff 22% of 18 swings · league 28%22%Whiff 17% of 18 swings · league 24%17%Whiff 42% of 19 swings · league 32%42%Whiff 56% of 57 swings · league 49%56%
vs RHP · 726 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 63% of 27 pitches · league 62%63%Swings at 79% of 24 pitches · league 72%79%Swings at 56% of 23 pitches · league 66%56%Swings at 78% of 40 pitches · league 70%78%Swings at 80% of 46 pitches · league 76%80%Swings at 64% of 53 pitches · league 70%64%Swings at 67% of 15 pitches · league 65%67%Swings at 70% of 37 pitches · league 68%70%Swings at 36% of 36 pitches · league 60%36%Swings at 23% of 77 pitches · league 24%23%Swings at 23% of 79 pitches · league 34%23%Swings at 42% of 45 pitches · league 40%42%Swings at 25% of 224 pitches · league 32%25%
vs RHP · 726 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

Wyatt Langford against each of Joe Ryan's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball44%93.8+14″ / +13″.364.35413.5%13.1%57About league average vs these
Sweeper19%80.9-14″ / +1″.289.27931.3%31.6%11About league average vs these
Splitter14%88.1+16″ / +5″.359.35017.4%16.1%32About league average vs these
Curveball10%79.8-10″ / -8″.292.28328.6%28.6%8Little history vs this shape
Sinker7%93.4+17″ / +10″.361.35111.8%11.3%43About league average vs these
Slider6%87.2-0″ / +6″.330.32028.5%28.8%31About league average vs these
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Wyatt Langford · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G313.100.308.100.231.24930.8%23.1%35.0%76.6103.60.0%33.3%0.0%
Last 15 G1239.241.436.414.387.39930.8%25.6%41.7%87.2105.511.8%41.2%41.2%
Last 30 G2678.220.410.407.373.36520.5%24.4%26.4%85.4107.37.0%23.3%37.2%
90 days62180.216.356.412.348.33923.3%16.7%24.7%88.2107.35.7%36.8%38.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 106 balls in play
Ground 27%Line drive 26%Fly ball 26%Pop-up 20%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G27.333.286.333.257.21257.1%0.0%38.5%83.8106.333.3%33.3%33.3%
Last 15 G822.111.227.111.218.24745.5%13.6%31.2%80.7106.322.2%22.2%22.2%
Last 30 G2051.205.373.282.330.33829.4%19.6%27.4%87.1108.38.0%36.0%36.0%
90 days47109.207.321.315.317.32323.9%13.8%23.2%89.0109.47.5%38.8%31.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 67 balls in play
Ground 37%Line drive 16%Fly ball 30%Pop-up 16%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G520.188.300.188.240.23640.0%15.0%36.4%79.0106.311.1%33.3%11.1%
Last 15 G1561.191.361.298.326.34436.1%21.3%37.0%84.9106.315.4%34.6%34.6%
Last 30 G30129.214.395.357.356.35424.0%22.5%26.9%86.0108.37.4%27.9%36.8%
90 days68289.212.343.375.336.33323.5%15.6%24.1%88.5109.46.4%37.6%35.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 173 balls in play
Ground 31%Line drive 23%Fly ball 28%Pop-up 19%
Wyatt Langford · percentile ranksvs 210 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating75Above average
Last 100 pitches51trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.337 / .342results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25RHPFastball92.7103.6-9.320Out
Sep 25RHPFastball92.644.7-12.204Out
Sep 24LHPCutter90.273.342.278Single
Sep 24LHPFastball98.071.7-49.242Single
Sep 23RHPCurveball83.366.869.000Out
Sep 23RHPCurveball80.767.76.219Out
Sep 22LHPFastball91.6106.320.961Sac fly
Sep 20RHPSinker96.7100.0-5.316Single
Sep 20RHPChangeup86.577.045.083Out
Sep 19RHPCurveball85.4102.820.713Double
Sep 19RHPFastball96.991.033.062Out
Sep 18RHPSlider85.081.019.910Single
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25400011
Sep 24322001
Sep 23400002
Sep 22400003
Sep 20511021
Sep 19412020
Sep 18511030
Sep 17400020
Sep 16411012
Sep 15400001

Two strikes

Joe Ryan MIN · RHPwith two strikes
Joe Ryan with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Fastball44%41%13.2%15.9%18.0%
Curveball10%21%24.1%14.0%20.0%
Sweeper19%21%33.3%23.2%19.3%
Splitter14%11%11.1%10.0%19.0%
Sinker7%4%0.0%9.1%17.0%
Slider6%2%0.0%0.0%21.1%
Wyatt Langford bats Rwith two strikes, vs this hand
Wyatt Langford with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. About league average vs his two-strike stuff
With two strikesHimLeague
K%43.7%42.4%
Whiff%22.0%22.2%
Contact%78.0%77.8%
Chase%34.6%39.9%
wOBA.248.237
Whiff vs his put-away shapes19.2%19.4%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeCBalanced type
wOBA.340
K%23.7%
BB%14.8%
Whiff%10.8%
Barrel%4.8%
Hard-hit%23.2%
Avg EV88.9

Against right-handers, last 90 days

176 PA
wOBA.347
xwOBA vs this mix.334against pitches like his
RV/1000.84
Hard-hit%22.1%
K%23.3%
BB%15.1%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Joe RyanRHP · MIN vs TEX
5.3projected strikeouts · likely 2 to 8 · 23.0 batters over 5.4 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 22.2%22%≤34 strikeouts: 16.2%16%45 strikeouts: 17.3%17%56 strikeouts: 15.3%15%67 strikeouts: 11.7%12%78 strikeouts: 7.9%8%89+ strikeouts: 9.4%9%9+book 6.5
Over 6.5: 29% (red bars) · under: 71%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%20.5%
BB%5.2%
Whiff%11.7%
Velo88.6
BTB Stuff89
Location105
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff
Fastball44%10393.79.3%
Sweeper19%8280.919.2%
Splitter14%6188.112.1%
Curveball10%8679.710.7%
Sinker7%8993.55.7%
Slider6%8987.312.5%
Last 3 startsTrending Up
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 199921%18%13%.396
Sep 13845%6%36%.507
Sep 76637%18%5%.395

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Joe Ryan MIN · RHPvsTEX lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

2 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.5%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameTEX @ MIN →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Wyatt Langford: every projection we've made →