Hitter · SD · batting 5Jackson Merrill
Bats leftTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix3.7expected PA
1+ hit-0.2 pts matchup
2+ total bases+0.1 pts matchup
Home run+0.9 pts matchup
57% hit 95+ mph48% in the sweet spot45% fell for hits
| Market | BTB | Without the matchup | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ hit | 68.5% | 68.7% | -0.2 |
| 2+ total bases | 46.3% | 46.2% | +0.1 |
| Home run | 20.1% | 19.3% | +0.9 |
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen-0.1
Park-0.1
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen-0.1
Park+0.2
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen+0.1
Park+0.8
Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.
Statcast
opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonightJackson Merrill · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 18 | .176 | .222 | .235 | .208 | .250 | 33.3% | 5.6% | 29.4% | 91.5 | 110.4 | 9.1% | 36.4% | 45.5% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 49 | .370 | .388 | .609 | .440 | .391 | 26.5% | 4.1% | 31.2% | 95.4 | 111.2 | 11.8% | 55.9% | 47.1% |
| Last 30 G | 28 | 92 | .321 | .370 | .571 | .410 | .434 | 20.7% | 6.5% | 25.4% | 96.4 | 112.7 | 13.6% | 59.1% | 47.0% |
| 90 days | 74 | 234 | .293 | .342 | .558 | .395 | .408 | 21.8% | 6.4% | 24.6% | 93.0 | 112.7 | 13.9% | 51.5% | 43.0% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 165 balls in play
Ground 37%Line drive 27%Fly ball 28%Pop-up 7%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 2 | 3 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .151 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 16.7% | 94.3 | 100.9 | 0.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Last 15 G | 10 | 17 | .294 | .294 | .765 | .435 | .435 | 17.6% | 0.0% | 17.6% | 92.5 | 111.4 | 21.4% | 57.1% | 35.7% |
| Last 30 G | 19 | 38 | .278 | .297 | .611 | .409 | .422 | 18.4% | 2.6% | 23.7% | 90.9 | 111.4 | 16.7% | 46.7% | 40.0% |
| 90 days | 48 | 99 | .292 | .296 | .458 | .335 | .330 | 27.3% | 1.0% | 24.8% | 92.2 | 111.4 | 9.9% | 50.7% | 40.8% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 71 balls in play
Ground 35%Line drive 23%Fly ball 32%Pop-up 10%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 21 | .150 | .190 | .200 | .179 | .236 | 33.3% | 4.8% | 27.5% | 91.9 | 110.4 | 7.7% | 38.5% | 46.2% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 66 | .349 | .364 | .651 | .439 | .403 | 24.2% | 3.0% | 27.6% | 94.6 | 111.4 | 14.6% | 56.2% | 43.8% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 130 | .308 | .349 | .583 | .410 | .430 | 20.0% | 5.4% | 24.9% | 94.7 | 112.7 | 14.6% | 55.2% | 44.8% |
| 90 days | 79 | 333 | .293 | .328 | .527 | .377 | .385 | 23.4% | 4.8% | 24.6% | 92.8 | 112.7 | 12.7% | 51.3% | 42.4% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 236 balls in play
Ground 36%Line drive 26%Fly ball 30%Pop-up 8%
xwOBA96.385
Avg EV9792.8
Max EV87112.7
Barrel%8912.7%
Hard-hit%9551.3%
Sweet-spot%9242.4%
K%4323.4%
BB%124.8%
Whiff%3424.6%
Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.
FormNormal
Contact rating98Elite
Last 100 pitches71trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.372 / .398running 25 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit10/12
2+ total bases8/12
Home run2/12
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
Recent contact
| Date | Pitcher | Pitch | Velo | EV | LA | xwOBA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | RHP | Curveball | 80.4 | 110.4 | 21 | 1.630 | Double |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Curveball | 81.8 | 79.2 | 13 | .521 | Out |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Sinker | 95.3 | 94.9 | 23 | .234 | Out |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Splitter | 89.5 | 78.3 | -27 | .044 | Force out |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Splitter | 93.0 | 76.2 | -37 | .077 | Out |
| Sep 23 | LHP | Curveball | 80.2 | 100.9 | -2 | .371 | Out |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Changeup | 88.0 | 79.8 | -37 | .048 | Out |
| Sep 22 | LHP | Slider | 87.8 | 87.8 | 27 | .082 | Out |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Fastball | 99.7 | 91.1 | 27 | .118 | Out |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Changeup | 90.9 | 106.7 | -27 | .110 | Out |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Changeup | 88.5 | 86.4 | -11 | .142 | Single |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Sinker | 97.9 | 104.2 | -8 | .347 | Out |
Total bases, last 10 games★ home run
| Date | PA | H | TB | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 20 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 19 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Sep 18 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 17 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 16 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 15 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 14 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
The hitter
season-level talent readTalent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–
Against right-handers, last 90 days
0 PAwOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–
Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.
The starter he faces
Starter not announced.
The rest of the gameARI @ SD →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Jackson Merrill: every projection we've made →