← ATL at MIA, Sep 26, 2026
3:10 PM CT · loanDepot park · lineup projected
Hitter · MIA · batting 7Deyvison De Los Santos
Bats rightTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix3.5expected PA
Starter · ATLTBD
Stable
4.4projected K–K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Deyvison De Los Santos's last 17 balls in playHit (3)Out (14)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 88.2 mph at 0°Out: 94.4 mph at 45°Out: 81.9 mph at 67°Out: 39.5 mph at -57°Out: 89.0 mph at 54°Out: 87.4 mph at 37°Out: 86.9 mph at 62°Out: 69.4 mph at -9°Single: 78.9 mph at 23°Out: 88.0 mph at 43°Out: 98.1 mph at -12°Out: 84.9 mph at 63°Out: 92.2 mph at -19°Out: 60.3 mph at -46°Double: 103.8 mph at 18°Out: 66.2 mph at -9°Single: 70.5 mph at 13°
12% hit 95+ mph18% in the sweet spot18% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit54.1%55.0%-0.9
2+ total bases28.1%29.3%-1.2
Home run7.5%8.8%-1.3
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-1.0
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-1.4
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-1.3

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Deyvison De Los Santos · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G46.000.167.000.117.12933.3%0.0%12.5%87.889.00.0%0.0%0.0%
Last 15 G610.000.100.000.070.09330.0%0.0%11.8%85.592.20.0%0.0%0.0%
Last 30 G610.000.100.000.070.09330.0%0.0%11.8%85.592.20.0%0.0%0.0%
90 days610.000.100.000.070.09330.0%0.0%11.8%85.592.20.0%0.0%0.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 6 balls in play
Ground 33%Line drive 0%Fly ball 33%Pop-up 33%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G36.000.000.000.000.09133.3%0.0%46.2%76.094.40.0%0.0%0.0%
Last 15 G714.214.214.286.218.18521.4%0.0%37.0%78.8103.80.0%18.2%27.3%
Last 30 G714.214.214.286.218.18521.4%0.0%37.0%78.8103.80.0%18.2%27.3%
90 days714.214.214.286.218.18521.4%0.0%37.0%78.8103.80.0%18.2%27.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 11 balls in play
Ground 46%Line drive 27%Fly ball 9%Pop-up 18%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G512.000.083.000.058.11033.3%0.0%33.3%81.094.40.0%0.0%0.0%
Last 15 G1024.130.167.174.156.14725.0%0.0%27.3%81.2103.80.0%11.8%17.6%
Last 30 G1024.130.167.174.156.14725.0%0.0%27.3%81.2103.80.0%11.8%17.6%
90 days1024.130.167.174.156.14725.0%0.0%27.3%81.2103.80.0%11.8%17.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 17 balls in play
Ground 41%Line drive 18%Fly ball 18%Pop-up 24%
FormNormal
Contact rating–percentile of xwOBA
Last 100 pitches–
wOBA / xwOBA.160 / .159results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit3/10
2+ total bases1/10
Home run0/10

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24LHPChangeup78.988.20.260Out
Sep 24LHPFastball95.594.445.005Out
Sep 24LHPChangeup81.581.967.000Out
Sep 22LHPSplitter82.939.5-57.282Out
Sep 20RHPSlider86.889.054.005Out
Sep 20RHPSinker98.387.437.021Out
Sep 18RHPFastball97.886.962.017Out
Sep 15RHPSinker93.169.4-9.052Out
Sep 15LHPCutter94.878.923.674Single
Sep 15RHPSlider89.188.043.000Out
Sep 8LHPFastball92.598.1-12.169Out
Sep 8LHPSweeper76.984.963.012Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24300000
Sep 22300001
Sep 20300001
Sep 19200002
Sep 18100000
Sep 15411001
Sep 8300001
Sep 5100000
Sep 4212000
Aug 23211000

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–

Against right-handers, last 90 days

0 PA
wOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces

Starter not announced.

The rest of the gameATL @ MIA →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Deyvison De Los Santos: every projection we've made →