MLBengine v14
← ATL at MIA, Sep 26, 2026
3:10 PM CT · loanDepot park · lineup confirmed
Hitter · MIA · batting 7Griffin Conine
Bats leftTalent grade APowerCold
.301wOBA vs LHP.328xwOBA vs his mix3.5expected PA
Starter · ATLBrent Suter
Throws leftBTB Stuff 95Stable
2.0projected K21%K%1.0trips vs this hitter
Brent Suter's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 45% usage, 86.9 mph, -3.5″ arm side, +13.1″ rise. Griffin Conine: wOBA .310 vs league .311 (about even).Fastball 45%Changeup: 22% usage, 76.8 mph, +10.0″ arm side, +10.9″ rise. Griffin Conine: wOBA .319 vs league .320 (about even).Changeup 22%Sinker: 20% usage, 88.5 mph, +10.8″ arm side, +12.5″ rise. Griffin Conine: wOBA .356 vs league .357 (about even).Sinker 20%Slider: 11% usage, 78.4 mph, -6.2″ arm side, -1.4″ rise. Griffin Conine: wOBA .277 vs league .278 (about even).Slider 11%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Griffin Conine's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Griffin Conine's last 40 balls in playHit (16)Out (24)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Single: 99.8 mph at 5°Home run: 102.4 mph at 28°Out: 65.6 mph at -47°Out: 79.6 mph at -35°Single: 85.5 mph at -5°Single: 92.9 mph at 0°Out: 74.2 mph at -2°Out: 106.0 mph at 22°Out: 61.9 mph at -51°Out: 78.7 mph at 37°Single: 65.1 mph at 35°Single: 106.9 mph at 2°Out: 96.5 mph at -11°Out: 81.8 mph at 75°Home run: 110.8 mph at 29°Out: 84.8 mph at 44°Out: 93.3 mph at 28°Out: 98.0 mph at 18°Out: 60.9 mph at -48°Out: 104.6 mph at -5°Home run: 100.0 mph at 28°Out: 49.8 mph at -47°Single: 92.2 mph at 18°Out: 68.2 mph at 15°Single: 81.2 mph at 15°Single: 82.1 mph at 8°Double: 102.4 mph at 29°Out: 77.3 mph at 8°Out: 92.9 mph at 72°Single: 79.3 mph at 22°Single: 100.2 mph at 9°Single: 102.9 mph at 7°Double: 114.2 mph at 14°Out: 80.9 mph at 59°Out: 94.2 mph at 73°Out: 54.1 mph at 87°Out: 101.4 mph at 27°Out: 95.6 mph at 50°Out: 91.8 mph at -10°Out: 102.3 mph at 47°
40% hit 95+ mph40% in the sweet spot40% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit57.1%57.7%-0.7
2+ total bases34.4%36.6%-2.2
Home run12.0%15.6%-3.6
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+0.2
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-1.0
2+ total bases
Starter
-0.8
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.0
Park
-1.5
Home run
Starter
-1.8
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.1
Park
-1.7

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Griffin Conine hits
Where they meet

.305 xwOBA for Griffin Conine in the spots Brent Suter throws to lefties

The average hitter in those same spots: .303 (+1 points). His best spot against lefties is up and right, outside, and Brent Suter puts 9% of his pitches there. Context only; the projection reads pitch type, not location.

Brent Suter · where he throws to left-handed hitters
7% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 14% per swing7%4% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 43% per swing4%6% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 14% per swing6%7% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 10% per swing7%7% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing7%9% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing9%5% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 25% per swing5%6% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 14% per swing6%4% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 14% per swing4%6% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing6%9% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 8% per swing9%25% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 54% per swing25%6% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 25% per swing6%
All · 266 pitches · catcher's view
9% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters9%5% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters5%7% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters7%8% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters8%7% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters7%13% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters13%6% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters6%7% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters7%5% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters5%4% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters4%11% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters11%14% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters14%5% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters5%
Sinker · 142 pitches · catcher's view
6% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters6%2% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters2%2% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters2%6% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters6%6% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters6%2% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters2%6% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters6%6% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters6%2% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters2%10% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters10%4% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters4%50% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters50%0% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters
Slider · 52 pitches · catcher's view
0% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters3% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters3%5% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters5%3% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters3%0% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters10% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters10%0% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters0% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters8% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters8%3% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters3%10% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters10%40% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters40%20% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters20%
Changeup · 40 pitches · catcher's view
6% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters6%6% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters6%9% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters9%9% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters9%16% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters16%3% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters3%6% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters6%9% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters9%0% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters13% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters13%9% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters9%13% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters13%0% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters
Fastball · 32 pitches · catcher's view

Share of his pitches in each spot; darker is more. Last 90 days.

Griffin Conine · hot and cold vs LHP
xwOBA .260 shrunk (raw .361 on 2 PA) · league .243 · 8 pitches seen.260xwOBA .298 shrunk (raw .306 on 4 PA) · league .296 · 11 pitches seen.298xwOBA .254 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .254 · 4 pitches seenxwOBA .282 shrunk (raw .205 on 4 PA) · league .308 · 17 pitches seen.282xwOBA .370 shrunk (raw .348 on 8 PA) · league .385 · 18 pitches seen.370xwOBA .349 shrunk (raw .366 on 6 PA) · league .340 · 12 pitches seen.349xwOBA .231 shrunk (raw .064 on 3 PA) · league .273 · 12 pitches seen.231xwOBA .375 shrunk (raw .679 on 1 PA) · league .350 · 7 pitches seen.375xwOBA .343 shrunk (raw .876 on 1 PA) · league .299 · 5 pitches seen.343xwOBA .294 shrunk (raw .243 on 2 PA) · league .302 · 14 pitches seen.294xwOBA .422 shrunk (raw .523 on 9 PA) · league .346 · 23 pitches seen.422xwOBA .272 shrunk (raw .251 on 10 PA) · league .289 · 48 pitches seen.272xwOBA .236 shrunk (raw .173 on 4 PA) · league .257 · 19 pitches seen.236
vs LHP · 198 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 0% of 4 swings · league 19%0%Whiff 38% of 8 swings · league 21%38%Whiff 0% of 1 swings · league 23%0%Whiff 21% of 14 swings · league 9%21%Whiff 0% of 12 swings · league 10%0%Whiff 9% of 11 swings · league 11%9%Whiff 44% of 9 swings · league 17%44%Whiff 20% of 5 swings · league 14%20%Whiff 33% of 3 swings · league 16%33%Whiff 0% of 2 swings · league 25%0%Whiff 17% of 12 swings · league 29%17%Whiff 67% of 18 swings · league 48%67%Whiff 31% of 13 swings · league 34%31%
vs LHP · 198 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 50% of 8 pitches · league 63%50%Swings at 73% of 11 pitches · league 71%73%Swings at 25% of 4 pitches · league 64%25%Swings at 82% of 17 pitches · league 67%82%Swings at 67% of 18 pitches · league 76%67%Swings at 92% of 12 pitches · league 72%92%Swings at 75% of 12 pitches · league 59%75%Swings at 71% of 7 pitches · league 68%71%Swings at 60% of 5 pitches · league 66%60%Swings at 14% of 14 pitches · league 30%14%Swings at 52% of 23 pitches · league 26%52%Swings at 38% of 48 pitches · league 31%38%Swings at 68% of 19 pitches · league 41%68%
vs LHP · 198 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

Griffin Conine against each of Brent Suter's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball45%86.9-4″ / +13″.310.31123.3%24.7%15About league average vs these
Changeup22%76.8+10″ / +11″.319.32029.9%27.8%4Little history vs this shape
Sinker20%88.5+11″ / +13″.356.35712.0%13.1%13About league average vs these
Slider11%78.4-6″ / -1″.277.27839.3%30.7%25About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on left-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Griffin Conine · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G25.200.200.200.180.4810.0%0.0%15.4%77.9106.020.0%20.0%20.0%
Last 15 G712.250.250.333.254.36125.0%0.0%28.6%84.6114.222.2%33.3%55.6%
Last 30 G1728.259.286.407.302.36125.0%3.6%26.7%86.3114.215.0%40.0%50.0%
90 days3354.255.296.333.282.33127.8%3.7%27.7%88.8114.28.3%38.9%52.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 36 balls in play
Ground 36%Line drive 28%Fly ball 31%Pop-up 6%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G514.385.429.615.450.29128.6%7.1%41.4%89.7106.911.1%44.4%11.1%
Last 15 G1543.317.349.561.390.34830.2%4.7%33.7%87.9110.817.9%39.3%39.3%
Last 30 G3085.247.353.384.332.31128.2%11.8%33.5%88.5111.710.2%38.8%32.7%
90 days75216.270.375.541.399.36830.1%13.0%35.2%92.1115.015.0%50.8%37.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 120 balls in play
Ground 42%Line drive 21%Fly ball 26%Pop-up 12%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G519.333.368.500.379.34121.1%5.3%33.3%85.5106.914.3%35.7%14.3%
Last 15 G1555.302.327.509.360.35129.1%3.6%32.5%87.1114.218.9%37.8%43.2%
Last 30 G30113.250.336.390.325.32327.4%9.7%31.7%87.9114.211.6%39.1%37.7%
90 days76270.267.359.496.376.36029.6%11.1%33.5%91.3115.013.5%48.1%41.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 156 balls in play
Ground 40%Line drive 22%Fly ball 27%Pop-up 10%
Griffin Conine · percentile ranksvs 228 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormCold
Contact rating93Top tier
Last 100 pitches88steady
wOBA / xwOBA.376 / .375results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases5/12
Home run3/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25RHPSinker93.899.85.551Single
Sep 25RHPFastball98.2102.4281.330Home run
Sep 25LHPCurveball81.565.6-47.189Out
Sep 24RHPSlider91.279.6-35.040Out
Sep 23RHPSplitter82.785.5-5.130Single
Sep 23RHPCurveball81.492.90.365Single
Sep 22LHPSinker92.174.2-2.067Out
Sep 22LHPFastball91.0106.0221.415Out
Sep 22RHPChangeup95.461.9-51.249Out
Sep 22LHPSweeper85.778.737.045Out
Sep 22LHPSweeper81.465.135.691Single
Sep 20RHPCutter89.2106.92.543Single
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25425110
Sep 24100000
Sep 23422002
Sep 22611001
Sep 20411001
Sep 19114100
Sep 18400001
Sep 16500003
Sep 15214100
Sep 14411003

Two strikes

Brent Suter ATL · LHPwith two strikes
Brent Suter with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Changeup23%31%18.5%9.7%18.3%
Sinker40%30%4.5%13.0%17.8%
Fastball28%29%11.4%22.4%18.4%
Slider8%10%23.1%17.4%22.2%
Griffin Conine bats Lwith two strikes, vs this hand
Griffin Conine with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. About league average vs his two-strike stuff
With two strikesHimLeague
K%46.3%44.3%
Whiff%26.6%23.6%
Contact%73.4%76.4%
Chase%37.7%38.0%
wOBA.218.223
Whiff vs his put-away shapes21.4%18.8%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeAPower type
wOBA.357
K%29.1%
BB%10.5%
Whiff%15.5%
Barrel%7.3%
Hard-hit%27.8%
Avg EV91.1

Against left-handers, last 90 days

54 PA
wOBA.301
xwOBA vs this mix.328against pitches like his
RV/100-0.01
Hard-hit%26.1%
K%26.3%
BB%11.0%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Brent SuterLHP · ATL vs MIA3 days' rest · short rest
2.0projected strikeouts · likely 0 to 4 · 10.2 batters over 2.4 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 84.8%85%≤34 strikeouts: 9.4%9%45 strikeouts: 3.9%4%56 strikeouts: 1.4%1%67 strikeouts: 0.4%0%78 strikeouts: 0.1%0%89+ strikeouts: 0.0%0%9+book 2.5
Over 2.5: 34% (red bars) · under: 66%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%20.7%
BB%7.1%
Whiff%9.5%
Velo85.4
BTB Stuff95
Location106
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff%
Sinker35%9889.45.2%
Fastball30%9488.919.5%
Changeup28%9277.625.9%
Slider7%10278.86.7%

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Brent Suter ATL · LHPvsMIA lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

4 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against left-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.7%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameATL @ MIA →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Griffin Conine: every projection we've made →