MLBengine v14
← ATL at MIA, Sep 26, 2026
3:10 PM CT · loanDepot park · lineup confirmed
Hitter · ATL · batting 10Ha-Seong Kim
Bats rightTalent grade FBalancedNormal
.305wOBA vs RHP.280xwOBA vs his mix3.6expected PA
Starter · MIAJack Ralston
Throws rightBTB Stuff 98Stable
2.3projected K25%K%1.0trips vs this hitter
Jack Ralston's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Splitter: 52% usage, 82.4 mph, +9.8″ arm side, +0.7″ rise. Ha-Seong Kim: wOBA .278 vs league .288 (about even).Splitter 52%Fastball: 26% usage, 93.7 mph, +5.4″ arm side, +18.8″ rise. Ha-Seong Kim: wOBA .334 vs league .345 (about even).Fastball 26%Slider: 22% usage, 85.1 mph, -1.6″ arm side, -0.2″ rise. Ha-Seong Kim: wOBA .297 vs league .308 (about even).Slider 22%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Ha-Seong Kim's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Ha-Seong Kim's last 40 balls in playHit (9)Out (31)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 90.5 mph at 57°Out: 95.1 mph at 35°Out: 11.3 mph at 34°Out: 84.0 mph at 53°Out: 29.0 mph at -4°Out: 64.3 mph at 72°Out: 87.3 mph at -22°Out: 71.9 mph at 60°Out: 80.5 mph at 68°Out: 66.3 mph at 81°Out: 75.2 mph at -3°Out: 99.1 mph at 9°Out: 68.1 mph at -24°Out: 91.8 mph at 19°Out: 88.3 mph at 31°Single: 106.3 mph at 8°Single: 95.5 mph at 9°Out: 72.0 mph at 61°Single: 81.3 mph at 3°Out: 93.8 mph at 30°Out: 74.8 mph at -6°Out: 87.2 mph at -5°Out: 72.5 mph at -41°Out: 74.2 mph at -7°Out: 74.0 mph at 87°Double: 83.2 mph at 12°Single: 104.0 mph at -9°Single: 105.5 mph at 3°Single: 109.0 mph at 9°Out: 75.0 mph at 44°Out: 88.0 mph at 53°Out: 89.5 mph at 24°Out: 81.0 mph at -31°Out: 84.8 mph at 64°Single: 105.0 mph at -5°Single: 103.0 mph at 12°Out: 98.9 mph at -12°Out: 74.3 mph at 71°Out: 91.0 mph at 51°Out: 95.1 mph at 35°
28% hit 95+ mph25% in the sweet spot23% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit49.5%50.5%-1.0
2+ total bases27.4%28.3%-0.9
Home run5.8%6.3%-0.5
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
-1.1
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.2
Park
-0.2
2+ total bases
Starter
-0.6
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-0.4
Home run
Starter
+0.1
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.0
Park
-0.6

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Ha-Seong Kim hits
Where they meet

.301 xwOBA for Ha-Seong Kim in the spots Jack Ralston throws to righties

The average hitter in those same spots: .303 (-3 points). His best spot against righties is up and right, outside, and Jack Ralston puts 9% of his pitches there. Context only; the projection reads pitch type, not location.

Jack Ralston · where he throws to right-handed hitters
4% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 33% per swing4%4% of his pitches to right-handed hitters4%3% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 100% per swing3%3% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing3%6% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 40% per swing6%6% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing6%7% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 20% per swing7%5% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing5%7% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 50% per swing7%10% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing10%9% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing9%16% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing16%19% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing19%
All · 99 pitches · catcher's view
4% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters4%2% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters2%0% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters4% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters4%6% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters6%0% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters4% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters4%6% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters6%10% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters10%12% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters12%6% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters6%23% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters23%25% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters25%
Splitter · 52 pitches · catcher's view
3% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters3%7% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters7%7% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters7%0% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters7% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters7%10% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters10%14% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters14%3% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters3%3% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters3%10% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters10%7% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters7%14% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters14%14% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters14%
Fastball · 29 pitches · catcher's view
6% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters6%6% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters6%6% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters6%6% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters6%6% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters6%17% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters17%6% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters6%6% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters6%6% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters6%6% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters6%22% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters22%0% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters11% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters11%
Slider · 18 pitches · catcher's view

Share of his pitches in each spot; darker is more. Last 90 days.

Ha-Seong Kim · hot and cold vs RHP
xwOBA .274 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .274 · 7 pitches seenxwOBA .307 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .307 · 3 pitches seenxwOBA .243 shrunk (raw .000 on 1 PA) · league .263 · 2 pitches seen.243xwOBA .278 shrunk (raw .087 on 4 PA) · league .342 · 10 pitches seen.278xwOBA .322 shrunk (raw .193 on 6 PA) · league .386 · 13 pitches seen.322xwOBA .321 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .321 · 9 pitches seenxwOBA .337 shrunk (raw .683 on 1 PA) · league .308 · 5 pitches seen.337xwOBA .316 shrunk (raw .255 on 7 PA) · league .351 · 11 pitches seen.316xwOBA .268 shrunk (raw .172 on 3 PA) · league .292 · 9 pitches seen.268xwOBA .353 shrunk (raw .259 on 3 PA) · league .377 · 15 pitches seen.353xwOBA .307 shrunk (raw .698 on 1 PA) · league .274 · 10 pitches seen.307xwOBA .263 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .263 · 13 pitches seenxwOBA .299 shrunk (raw .336 on 8 PA) · league .274 · 33 pitches seen.299
vs RHP · 140 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 40% of 5 swings · league 22%40%Whiff 0% of 1 swings · league 20%0%Whiff 100% of 1 swings · league 19%100%Whiff 0% of 9 swings · league 10%0%Whiff 14% of 7 swings · league 9%14%Whiff 0% of 1 swings · league 11%0%Whiff 0% of 4 swings · league 14%0%Whiff 0% of 7 swings · league 13%0%Whiff 20% of 5 swings · league 17%20%Whiff 0% of 4 swings · league 28%0%Whiff 50% of 2 swings · league 24%50%Whiff 17% of 6 swings · league 32%17%Whiff 38% of 8 swings · league 49%38%
vs RHP · 140 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 71% of 7 pitches · league 62%71%Swings at 33% of 3 pitches · league 72%33%Swings at 50% of 2 pitches · league 66%50%Swings at 90% of 10 pitches · league 70%90%Swings at 54% of 13 pitches · league 76%54%Swings at 11% of 9 pitches · league 70%11%Swings at 80% of 5 pitches · league 65%80%Swings at 64% of 11 pitches · league 68%64%Swings at 56% of 9 pitches · league 60%56%Swings at 27% of 15 pitches · league 24%27%Swings at 20% of 10 pitches · league 34%20%Swings at 46% of 13 pitches · league 40%46%Swings at 24% of 33 pitches · league 32%24%
vs RHP · 140 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

Ha-Seong Kim against each of Jack Ralston's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Splitter52%82.4+10″ / +1″.278.28820.3%30.3%21About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Fastball26%93.7+5″ / +19″.334.34517.7%20.8%332About league average vs these
Slider22%85.1-2″ / -0″.297.30821.7%30.3%165About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Ha-Seong Kim · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G47.000.000.000.033.04828.6%0.0%10.0%60.287.30.0%0.0%0.0%
Last 15 G1129.250.357.292.312.26217.2%13.8%12.2%80.8109.00.0%25.0%30.0%
Last 30 G1335.241.353.276.304.25520.0%11.4%16.7%82.3109.00.0%26.1%30.4%
90 days1335.241.353.276.304.25520.0%11.4%16.7%82.3109.00.0%26.1%30.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 23 balls in play
Ground 48%Line drive 13%Fly ball 13%Pop-up 26%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G49.000.000.000.000.06533.3%0.0%22.2%75.795.10.0%16.7%0.0%
Last 15 G917.059.059.059.053.10235.3%0.0%23.5%80.2106.30.0%18.2%18.2%
Last 30 G1425.083.120.083.100.15428.0%4.0%18.0%84.1106.30.0%29.4%17.6%
90 days1425.083.120.083.100.15428.0%4.0%18.0%84.1106.30.0%29.4%17.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 17 balls in play
Ground 41%Line drive 6%Fly ball 18%Pop-up 35%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G516.000.000.000.013.05831.2%0.0%17.9%68.795.10.0%9.1%0.0%
Last 15 G1546.171.244.195.214.20223.9%8.7%16.9%80.6109.00.0%22.6%25.8%
Last 30 G2160.170.254.189.218.21223.3%8.3%17.3%83.0109.00.0%27.5%25.0%
90 days2160.170.254.189.218.21223.3%8.3%17.3%83.0109.00.0%27.5%25.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 40 balls in play
Ground 45%Line drive 10%Fly ball 15%Pop-up 30%
Ha-Seong Kim · percentile ranksvs 228 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating1Bottom tier
Last 100 pitches1steady
wOBA / xwOBA.214 / .224results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit2/12
2+ total bases1/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 23LHPFastball91.490.557.005Out
Sep 23LHPFastball92.295.135.207Out
Sep 23RHPSinker96.311.334–Sac bunt
Sep 22LHPCutter90.384.053.026Out
Sep 22LHPCutter91.829.0-4.243Out
Sep 22RHPSinker93.964.372.000Out
Sep 20RHPSinker93.687.3-22.081Out
Sep 20RHPFastball95.471.960.008Out
Sep 16LHPSplitter83.380.568.007Out
Sep 16RHPCutter89.566.381.000Out
Sep 14LHPSinker92.575.2-3.097Force out
Sep 13RHPSinker98.799.19.564Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 23400001
Sep 22300000
Sep 20400002
Sep 16300001
Sep 14200001
Sep 13400020
Sep 12400011
Sep 11111000
Sep 10322000
Sep 7300002

Two strikes

Jack Ralston MIA · RHPwith two strikes
Jack Ralston with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Splitter52%53%26.9%26.2%21.3%
Fastball26%30%25.0%25.0%18.3%
Slider22%17%0.0%0.0%21.4%
Ha-Seong Kim bats Rwith two strikes, vs this hand
Ha-Seong Kim with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. Makes contact on his two-strike stuff more than most
With two strikesHimLeague
K%36.3%43.3%
Whiff%16.6%23.5%
Contact%83.4%76.5%
Chase%36.5%39.4%
wOBA.243.235
Whiff vs his put-away shapes17.0%23.8%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.282
K%21.8%
BB%8.3%
Whiff%9.7%
Barrel%3.2%
Hard-hit%26.6%
Avg EV87.5

Against right-handers, last 90 days

35 PA
wOBA.305
xwOBA vs this mix.280against pitches like his
RV/100-0.53
Hard-hit%21.7%
K%21.7%
BB%8.2%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Jack RalstonRHP · MIA vs ATL2 days' rest · short rest
2.3projected strikeouts · likely 0 to 4 · 10.1 batters over 2.4 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 80.0%80%≤34 strikeouts: 11.6%12%45 strikeouts: 5.4%5%56 strikeouts: 2.1%2%67 strikeouts: 0.6%1%78 strikeouts: 0.2%0%89+ strikeouts: 0.1%0%9+book 2.5
Over 2.5: 40% (red bars) · under: 60%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%24.6%
BB%11.6%
Whiff%6.5%
Velo85.9
BTB Stuff98
Location99
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff%
Splitter52%11082.48.9%
Fastball26%7393.65.6%
Slider22%9885.31.7%

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Jack Ralston MIA · RHPvsATL lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

1 of 10 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.7%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameATL @ MIA →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Ha-Seong Kim: every projection we've made →