Hitter · MIA · batting 3Jakob Marsee
Bats leftTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix3.8expected PA
1+ hit-0.9 pts matchup
2+ total bases-1.4 pts matchup
Home run-1.4 pts matchup
30% hit 95+ mph43% in the sweet spot48% fell for hits
| Market | BTB | Without the matchup | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ hit | 61.2% | 62.1% | -0.9 |
| 2+ total bases | 32.5% | 33.8% | -1.4 |
| Home run | 6.9% | 8.2% | -1.4 |
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen-0.0
Park-0.9
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen-0.1
Park-1.3
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen-0.1
Park-1.2
Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.
Statcast
opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonightJakob Marsee · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 13 | .182 | .308 | .182 | .246 | .231 | 23.1% | 15.4% | 24.0% | 79.1 | 94.7 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.5% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 42 | .378 | .452 | .649 | .469 | .343 | 14.3% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 83.9 | 103.9 | 3.2% | 32.3% | 45.2% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 83 | .348 | .458 | .609 | .467 | .377 | 14.5% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 87.0 | 108.7 | 5.3% | 36.8% | 50.9% |
| 90 days | 69 | 209 | .271 | .368 | .453 | .369 | .323 | 14.8% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 86.5 | 108.7 | 4.1% | 33.8% | 39.9% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 148 balls in play
Ground 35%Line drive 28%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 16%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 4 | 7 | .500 | .571 | .500 | .486 | .448 | 28.6% | 14.3% | 6.2% | 93.1 | 99.7 | 0.0% | 25.0% | 50.0% |
| Last 15 G | 11 | 21 | .412 | .500 | .412 | .430 | .372 | 28.6% | 4.8% | 13.2% | 78.3 | 99.7 | 0.0% | 16.7% | 33.3% |
| Last 30 G | 19 | 39 | .290 | .421 | .387 | .375 | .335 | 28.2% | 7.7% | 17.6% | 82.9 | 100.1 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 42.9% |
| 90 days | 39 | 69 | .250 | .409 | .308 | .351 | .345 | 26.1% | 13.0% | 19.3% | 82.5 | 104.1 | 0.0% | 36.1% | 38.9% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 36 balls in play
Ground 53%Line drive 33%Fly ball 11%Pop-up 3%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 20 | .294 | .400 | .294 | .330 | .307 | 25.0% | 15.0% | 17.1% | 83.8 | 99.7 | 0.0% | 8.3% | 25.0% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 63 | .389 | .468 | .574 | .456 | .353 | 19.0% | 9.5% | 14.3% | 82.3 | 103.9 | 2.3% | 27.9% | 41.9% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 122 | .330 | .446 | .540 | .438 | .364 | 18.9% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 85.9 | 108.7 | 3.8% | 34.6% | 48.7% |
| 90 days | 71 | 278 | .266 | .378 | .421 | .365 | .328 | 17.6% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 85.8 | 108.7 | 3.3% | 34.2% | 39.7% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 184 balls in play
Ground 39%Line drive 29%Fly ball 20%Pop-up 13%
xwOBA66.328
Avg EV2685.8
Max EV39108.7
Barrel%193.3%
Hard-hit%3034.2%
Sweet-spot%8539.7%
K%7517.6%
BB%8912.6%
Whiff%9014.3%
Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.
FormNormal
Contact rating67Above average
Last 100 pitches37trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.358 / .333running 25 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run2/12
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
Recent contact
| Date | Pitcher | Pitch | Velo | EV | LA | xwOBA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | LHP | Fastball | 94.3 | 85.2 | 18 | .855 | Single |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Fastball | 100.4 | 75.0 | 47 | .144 | Out |
| Sep 24 | LHP | Fastball | 93.7 | 94.4 | -1 | .316 | Out |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Changeup | 85.5 | 78.1 | 60 | .008 | Out |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Curveball | 79.5 | 92.3 | 40 | .019 | Out |
| Sep 22 | LHP | Slider | 85.7 | 93.2 | 12 | .836 | Single |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Cutter | 88.1 | 60.6 | 78 | .003 | Out |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Fastball | 99.8 | 90.0 | 82 | .003 | Out |
| Sep 19 | RHP | Fastball | 95.9 | 94.7 | 11 | .802 | Single |
| Sep 19 | RHP | Splitter | 85.7 | 71.2 | 37 | .572 | Single |
| Sep 19 | RHP | Slider | 88.4 | 70.8 | -19 | .050 | Out |
| Sep 19 | LHP | Slider | 85.4 | 99.7 | 2 | .432 | Single |
Total bases, last 10 games★ home run
| Date | PA | H | TB | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Sep 22 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sep 19 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 18 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sep 16 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 14 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
The hitter
season-level talent readTalent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–
Against right-handers, last 90 days
0 PAwOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–
Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.
The starter he faces
Starter not announced.
The rest of the gameATL @ MIA →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Jakob Marsee: every projection we've made →