Hitter · ATL · batting 6Ozzie Albies
Switch hitterTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix3.6expected PA
1+ hit-0.1 pts matchup
2+ total bases-0.3 pts matchup
Home run-0.7 pts matchup
25% hit 95+ mph20% in the sweet spot20% fell for hits
| Market | BTB | Without the matchup | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ hit | 54.1% | 54.2% | -0.1 |
| 2+ total bases | 28.7% | 29.1% | -0.3 |
| Home run | 7.6% | 8.2% | -0.7 |
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen+0.4
Park-0.4
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen+0.4
Park-0.7
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen+0.3
Park-0.9
Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.
Statcast
opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonightOzzie Albies · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 14 | .077 | .143 | .077 | .114 | .094 | 42.9% | 0.0% | 26.3% | 81.9 | 97.5 | 0.0% | 14.3% | 0.0% |
| Last 15 G | 13 | 41 | .135 | .195 | .297 | .219 | .205 | 26.8% | 4.9% | 29.5% | 89.5 | 106.2 | 0.0% | 30.8% | 19.2% |
| Last 30 G | 26 | 84 | .187 | .250 | .333 | .258 | .245 | 20.2% | 6.0% | 20.5% | 89.0 | 107.2 | 1.7% | 28.8% | 28.8% |
| 90 days | 68 | 220 | .187 | .259 | .369 | .275 | .243 | 20.9% | 7.3% | 21.1% | 86.9 | 107.2 | 3.3% | 27.5% | 30.7% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 153 balls in play
Ground 33%Line drive 19%Fly ball 35%Pop-up 13%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 3 | 7 | .286 | .286 | .286 | .257 | .127 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 80.8 | 98.2 | 0.0% | 14.3% | 28.6% |
| Last 15 G | 8 | 20 | .167 | .250 | .167 | .205 | .197 | 10.0% | 10.0% | 19.1% | 83.1 | 108.5 | 0.0% | 18.8% | 18.8% |
| Last 30 G | 16 | 41 | .231 | .268 | .256 | .240 | .221 | 17.1% | 4.9% | 21.0% | 84.8 | 108.5 | 0.0% | 18.8% | 28.1% |
| 90 days | 47 | 112 | .223 | .259 | .311 | .259 | .255 | 14.3% | 5.4% | 21.6% | 86.8 | 108.7 | 2.2% | 25.6% | 32.2% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 90 balls in play
Ground 39%Line drive 18%Fly ball 36%Pop-up 8%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 21 | .150 | .190 | .150 | .162 | .105 | 28.6% | 0.0% | 22.4% | 81.3 | 98.2 | 0.0% | 14.3% | 14.3% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 61 | .145 | .213 | .255 | .214 | .203 | 21.3% | 6.6% | 25.9% | 87.1 | 108.5 | 0.0% | 26.2% | 19.0% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 125 | .202 | .256 | .307 | .252 | .237 | 19.2% | 5.6% | 20.7% | 87.5 | 108.5 | 1.1% | 25.3% | 28.6% |
| 90 days | 79 | 332 | .199 | .259 | .349 | .270 | .247 | 18.7% | 6.6% | 21.3% | 86.8 | 108.7 | 2.9% | 26.7% | 31.3% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 243 balls in play
Ground 35%Line drive 19%Fly ball 35%Pop-up 11%
xwOBA4.247
Avg EV3686.8
Max EV39108.7
Barrel%152.9%
Hard-hit%926.7%
Sweet-spot%2031.3%
K%7018.7%
BB%286.6%
Whiff%5621.3%
Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.
FormNormal
Contact rating6Bottom tier
Last 100 pitches0trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.273 / .254running 20 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit6/12
2+ total bases2/12
Home run1/12
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
Recent contact
| Date | Pitcher | Pitch | Velo | EV | LA | xwOBA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | RHP | Sinker | 90.0 | 80.1 | 86 | .000 | Out |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Slider | 82.7 | 64.3 | -42 | .142 | Single |
| Sep 23 | LHP | Changeup | 84.9 | 91.7 | 0 | .325 | Single |
| Sep 23 | LHP | Curveball | 81.1 | 49.9 | 42 | .041 | Out |
| Sep 23 | LHP | Fastball | 92.8 | 85.0 | 34 | .020 | Out |
| Sep 22 | LHP | Changeup | 87.0 | 92.9 | 21 | .268 | Out |
| Sep 22 | LHP | Fastball | 95.3 | 83.6 | 32 | .025 | Out |
| Sep 22 | LHP | Cutter | 90.8 | 98.2 | 66 | .028 | Out |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Slider | 90.3 | 72.6 | -5 | .051 | Out |
| Sep 20 | LHP | Fastball | 92.8 | 64.2 | 46 | .180 | Single |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Fastball | 94.5 | 79.8 | -33 | .052 | Out |
| Sep 19 | RHP | Cutter | 90.1 | 83.9 | -19 | .067 | Out |
Total bases, last 10 games★ home run
| Date | PA | H | TB | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Sep 23 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 20 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sep 16 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sep 15 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
The hitter
season-level talent readTalent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–
Against right-handers, last 90 days
0 PAwOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–
Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.
The starter he faces
Starter not announced.
The rest of the gameATL @ MIA →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Ozzie Albies: every projection we've made →