Hitter · ATL · batting 2Ronald Acuña Jr.
Bats rightTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix3.9expected PA
1+ hit-0.5 pts matchup
2+ total bases-1.1 pts matchup
Home run-1.7 pts matchup
33% hit 95+ mph43% in the sweet spot38% fell for hits
| Market | BTB | Without the matchup | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ hit | 65.6% | 66.1% | -0.5 |
| 2+ total bases | 41.6% | 42.7% | -1.1 |
| Home run | 16.8% | 18.4% | -1.7 |
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen+0.2
Park-0.8
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen+0.2
Park-1.3
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen+0.1
Park-1.8
Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.
Statcast
opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonightRonald Acuña Jr. · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 4 | 18 | .400 | .500 | .800 | .539 | .556 | 11.1% | 16.7% | 13.8% | 84.2 | 111.0 | 30.8% | 46.2% | 38.5% |
| Last 15 G | 13 | 46 | .310 | .370 | .571 | .402 | .447 | 10.9% | 8.7% | 15.7% | 85.6 | 111.0 | 16.2% | 37.8% | 37.8% |
| Last 30 G | 27 | 95 | .329 | .389 | .588 | .420 | .402 | 17.9% | 9.5% | 24.9% | 88.5 | 111.9 | 13.2% | 42.6% | 35.3% |
| 90 days | 49 | 162 | .262 | .315 | .483 | .356 | .361 | 23.5% | 6.8% | 27.8% | 90.4 | 111.9 | 11.7% | 48.6% | 36.0% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 111 balls in play
Ground 41%Line drive 26%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 11%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 2 | 2 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .103 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 37.5% | 82.7 | 83.4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Last 15 G | 9 | 18 | .250 | .333 | .500 | .358 | .315 | 27.8% | 11.1% | 37.2% | 86.1 | 108.0 | 9.1% | 36.4% | 54.5% |
| Last 30 G | 18 | 36 | .250 | .333 | .406 | .328 | .317 | 19.4% | 11.1% | 26.2% | 87.7 | 115.2 | 8.0% | 36.0% | 48.0% |
| 90 days | 31 | 63 | .286 | .365 | .536 | .387 | .366 | 17.5% | 11.1% | 23.0% | 87.2 | 115.2 | 8.9% | 37.8% | 42.2% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 45 balls in play
Ground 36%Line drive 29%Fly ball 27%Pop-up 9%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 20 | .353 | .450 | .706 | .485 | .511 | 10.0% | 15.0% | 18.9% | 84.0 | 111.0 | 26.7% | 40.0% | 46.7% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 64 | .293 | .359 | .552 | .390 | .410 | 15.6% | 9.4% | 23.0% | 85.7 | 111.0 | 14.6% | 37.5% | 41.7% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 131 | .308 | .374 | .538 | .395 | .378 | 18.3% | 9.9% | 25.3% | 88.3 | 115.2 | 11.8% | 40.9% | 38.7% |
| 90 days | 52 | 225 | .268 | .329 | .498 | .365 | .363 | 21.8% | 8.0% | 26.4% | 89.4 | 115.2 | 10.9% | 45.5% | 37.8% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 156 balls in play
Ground 39%Line drive 27%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 10%
xwOBA92.363
Avg EV6689.4
Max EV96115.2
Barrel%8410.9%
Hard-hit%7845.5%
Sweet-spot%7137.8%
K%5221.8%
BB%428.0%
Whiff%2426.4%
Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.
FormNormal
Contact rating91Top tier
Last 100 pitches100trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.359 / .369results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit9/12
2+ total bases8/12
Home run4/12
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
Recent contact
| Date | Pitcher | Pitch | Velo | EV | LA | xwOBA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | RHP | Sinker | 90.2 | 104.1 | 24 | 1.367 | Out |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Fastball | 97.7 | 100.5 | -25 | .091 | Single |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Slider | 81.7 | 103.6 | 21 | .954 | Single |
| Sep 24 | LHP | Fastball | 98.0 | 83.4 | 31 | .086 | Out |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Fastball | 94.0 | 103.5 | 39 | .615 | Out |
| Sep 22 | LHP | Cutter | 92.5 | 82.0 | 30 | .120 | Out |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Sinker | 95.6 | 42.1 | -37 | .282 | Single |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Sinker | 97.2 | 49.3 | -7 | .129 | Out |
| Sep 19 | RHP | Sinker | 93.4 | 90.4 | 13 | .882 | Single |
| Sep 19 | RHP | Sinker | 92.9 | 72.7 | -5 | .057 | Double play |
| Sep 19 | RHP | Fastball | 96.9 | 105.1 | 26 | 1.763 | Home run |
| Sep 18 | RHP | Sinker | 94.7 | 60.6 | -24 | .055 | Force out |
Total bases, last 10 games★ home run
| Date | PA | H | TB | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 20 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sep 19 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Sep 18 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 16 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 15 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sep 13 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 12 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
The hitter
season-level talent readTalent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–
Against right-handers, last 90 days
0 PAwOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–
Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.
The starter he faces
Starter not announced.
The rest of the gameATL @ MIA →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Ronald Acuña Jr.: every projection we've made →