MLBengine v14
← CLE at KC, Sep 26, 2026
6:10 PM CT · Kauffman Stadium · lineup projected
Hitter · CLE · batting 5Angel Martínez
Switch hitterTalent grade FBalancedHot
.317wOBA vs RHP.278xwOBA vs his mix3.7expected PA
Starter · KCMichael Wacha
Throws rightBTB Stuff 88Trending Down
4.3projected K20%K%2.7trips vs this hitter
Michael Wacha's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 28% usage, 93.2 mph, +5.6″ arm side, +17.6″ rise. Angel Martínez: wOBA .355 vs league .358 (about even).Fastball 28%Changeup: 27% usage, 80.6 mph, +13.3″ arm side, +7.0″ rise. Angel Martínez: wOBA .274 vs league .278 (about even).Changeup 27%Cutter: 14% usage, 89.6 mph, -1.6″ arm side, +10.2″ rise. Angel Martínez: wOBA .373 vs league .376 (about even).Cutter 14%Sinker: 13% usage, 93.1 mph, +11.6″ arm side, +14.8″ rise. Angel Martínez: wOBA .359 vs league .363 (about even).Sinker 13%Curveball: 10% usage, 75.4 mph, -10.2″ arm side, -12.0″ rise. Angel Martínez: wOBA .311 vs league .314 (about even).Curveball 10%Slider: 8% usage, 84.6 mph, -2.5″ arm side, +2.7″ rise. Angel Martínez: wOBA .348 vs league .352 (about even).Slider 8%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Angel Martínez's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Angel Martínez's last 40 balls in playHit (17)Out (23)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 63.6 mph at 84°Out: 88.9 mph at -34°Home run: 93.8 mph at 25°Out: 59.8 mph at -29°Out: 102.8 mph at 15°Single: 95.4 mph at 2°Double: 99.5 mph at 6°Single: 98.8 mph at -1°Out: 74.9 mph at -30°Double: 54.6 mph at 27°Home run: 102.9 mph at 32°Out: 100.4 mph at 21°Home run: 93.8 mph at 35°Single: 95.1 mph at 8°Out: 86.6 mph at 57°Out: 88.9 mph at 32°Out: 74.8 mph at 45°Out: 88.3 mph at 61°Double: 106.0 mph at 23°Double: 102.2 mph at 8°Out: 90.3 mph at 48°Single: 100.8 mph at 7°Out: 81.7 mph at -11°Out: 89.3 mph at 8°Out: 84.4 mph at 25°Double: 88.1 mph at 15°Home run: 106.2 mph at 28°Single: 90.5 mph at -9°Triple: 92.3 mph at -11°Out: 55.0 mph at -40°Single: 96.5 mph at 0°Out: 83.5 mph at 10°Out: 84.8 mph at 66°Out: 80.2 mph at 49°Out: 84.0 mph at 62°Out: 98.7 mph at 16°Out: 81.8 mph at 10°Single: 53.6 mph at 33°Out: 65.9 mph at 63°Out: 104.2 mph at 19°
35% hit 95+ mph43% in the sweet spot43% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit65.5%63.8%+1.7
2+ total bases37.4%36.0%+1.4
Home run10.0%10.1%-0.0
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+2.1
Pitch mix
-0.5
Bullpen
+0.4
Park
-0.2
2+ total bases
Starter
+2.1
Pitch mix
-0.5
Bullpen
+0.4
Park
-0.6
Home run
Starter
+1.3
Pitch mix
-0.2
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-1.2

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Pitch by pitch

Angel Martínez against each of Michael Wacha's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball28%93.2+6″ / +18″.355.35814.8%15.5%27About league average vs these
Changeup27%80.6+13″ / +7″.274.27829.2%28.0%13About league average vs these
Cutter14%89.6-2″ / +10″.373.37616.4%17.2%13About league average vs these
Sinker13%93.1+12″ / +15″.359.36315.3%15.9%30About league average vs these
Curveball10%75.4-10″ / -12″.311.31425.9%25.0%2Little history vs this shape
Slider8%84.6-3″ / +3″.348.35227.2%26.5%10About league average vs these
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Angel Martínez · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G25.400.4001.000.580.13840.0%0.0%50.0%87.995.10.0%33.3%33.3%
Last 15 G1127.269.296.577.398.25422.2%3.7%25.5%85.4106.05.0%15.0%45.0%
Last 30 G2466.250.318.450.358.26921.2%6.1%20.5%86.5106.02.2%23.9%34.8%
90 days3596.225.274.393.309.27324.0%4.2%22.5%85.4106.44.5%23.9%35.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 67 balls in play
Ground 42%Line drive 27%Fly ball 15%Pop-up 16%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G412.500.5001.167.692.3588.3%0.0%21.1%87.3102.99.1%54.5%45.5%
Last 15 G1226.385.385.808.500.31326.9%0.0%23.1%87.9106.210.5%52.6%36.8%
Last 30 G2244.409.409.795.508.35620.5%0.0%19.8%88.1108.18.6%51.4%45.7%
90 days3063.377.387.705.465.35020.6%1.6%22.5%86.6108.410.2%49.0%44.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 49 balls in play
Ground 41%Line drive 27%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 8%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G517.471.4711.118.659.29317.6%0.0%31.0%87.4102.97.1%50.0%42.9%
Last 15 G1553.327.340.692.448.28324.5%1.9%24.3%86.6106.27.7%33.3%41.0%
Last 30 G30110.317.355.596.418.30420.9%3.6%20.2%87.2108.14.9%35.8%39.5%
90 days42159.287.318.520.371.30322.6%3.1%22.5%85.9108.46.9%34.5%39.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 116 balls in play
Ground 41%Line drive 27%Fly ball 19%Pop-up 13%
Angel Martínez · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormHot
Contact rating42Below average
Last 100 pitches50trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.356 / .310running 47 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases6/12
Home run3/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24LHPFastball90.363.684.000Out
Sep 24LHPSweeper79.388.9-34.047Force out
Sep 24LHPChangeup79.093.825.214Home run
Sep 24LHPChangeup81.259.8-29.063Out
Sep 22LHPSinker93.8102.815.675Out
Sep 22LHPSinker93.295.42.415Single
Sep 22LHPCutter89.899.56.598Double
Sep 22LHPSinker95.598.8-1.403Single
Sep 20RHPChangeup90.474.9-30.036Out
Sep 19LHPSlider75.054.627.183Double
Sep 19LHPFastball89.3102.9321.233Home run
Sep 19LHPFastball90.4100.421.464Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24414100
Sep 23100001
Sep 22434000
Sep 20300002
Sep 195411200
Sep 14300001
Sep 13524001
Sep 12411001
Sep 11426100
Sep 8524002

Two strikes

Michael Wacha KC · RHPwith two strikes
Michael Wacha with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Changeup27%35%21.2%18.2%18.6%
Fastball28%29%9.4%14.0%18.0%
Sinker13%16%7.7%11.3%16.9%
Slider8%7%43.8%21.2%21.0%
Curveball10%7%14.3%9.4%20.1%
Cutter14%6%7.7%19.2%17.9%
Other0%0%–100.0%21.7%
Angel Martínez bats Swith two strikes, vs this hand
Angel Martínez with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. About league average vs his two-strike stuff
With two strikesHimLeague
K%45.3%41.0%
Whiff%22.7%21.3%
Contact%77.3%78.7%
Chase%45.7%39.6%
wOBA.224.245
Whiff vs his put-away shapes19.8%18.5%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.329
K%22.7%
BB%4.0%
Whiff%11.7%
Barrel%3.9%
Hard-hit%23.9%
Avg EV86.0

Against right-handers, last 90 days

96 PA
wOBA.317
xwOBA vs this mix.278against pitches like his
RV/100-0.10
Hard-hit%18.5%
K%23.7%
BB%3.4%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Michael WachaRHP · KC vs CLE
4.3projected strikeouts · likely 2 to 7 · 24.9 batters over 5.8 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 37.7%38%≤34 strikeouts: 19.3%19%45 strikeouts: 16.5%16%56 strikeouts: 11.9%12%67 strikeouts: 7.3%7%78 strikeouts: 4.0%4%89+ strikeouts: 3.3%3%9+book 4.5
Over 4.5: 43% (red bars) · under: 57%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%20.1%
BB%6.6%
Whiff%9.3%
Velo86.9
BTB Stuff88
Location101
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff
Fastball28%9293.27.2%
Changeup27%9480.614.2%
Cutter14%9089.87.9%
Sinker13%8193.24.1%
Curveball10%6875.66.8%
Slider8%8184.514.3%
Other0%––0.0%
Last 3 startsTrending Down
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 2011419%11%27%.350
Sep 15998%5%38%.346
Sep 89317%7%13%.229

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Michael Wacha KC · RHPvsCLE lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

2 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.6%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameCLE @ KC →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Angel Martínez: every projection we've made →