MLBengine v14
← CLE at KC, Sep 26, 2026
6:10 PM CT · Kauffman Stadium · lineup confirmed
Hitter · CLE · batting 7Angel Martínez
Switch hitterTalent grade DBalancedHot
.322wOBA vs RHP.282xwOBA vs his mix3.5expected PA
Starter · KCMichael Wacha
Throws rightBTB Stuff 88Trending Down
3.9projected K20%K%2.7trips vs this hitter
Michael Wacha's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Changeup: 29% usage, 81.5 mph, +13.3″ arm side, +9.4″ rise. Angel Martínez: wOBA .271 vs league .304 (pitcher's edge).Changeup 29%Fastball: 29% usage, 93.1 mph, +6.6″ arm side, +18.4″ rise. Angel Martínez: wOBA .326 vs league .360 (pitcher's edge).Fastball 29%Cutter: 16% usage, 88.7 mph, -1.8″ arm side, +10.3″ rise. Angel Martínez: wOBA .327 vs league .361 (pitcher's edge).Cutter 16%Sinker: 12% usage, 93.1 mph, +12.6″ arm side, +15.2″ rise. Angel Martínez: wOBA .329 vs league .363 (pitcher's edge).Sinker 12%Curveball: 9% usage, 75.2 mph, -11.6″ arm side, -11.6″ rise. Angel Martínez: wOBA .269 vs league .303 (pitcher's edge).Curveball 9%Slider: 6% usage, 84.8 mph, -3.2″ arm side, +3.6″ rise. Angel Martínez: wOBA .310 vs league .343 (pitcher's edge).Slider 6%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Angel Martínez's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Angel Martínez's last 40 balls in playHit (18)Out (22)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 86.5 mph at -6°Single: 105.1 mph at -7°Out: 62.9 mph at -43°Double: 94.1 mph at 11°Out: 96.3 mph at -8°Out: 63.6 mph at 84°Out: 88.9 mph at -34°Home run: 93.8 mph at 25°Out: 59.8 mph at -29°Out: 102.8 mph at 15°Single: 95.4 mph at 2°Double: 99.5 mph at 6°Single: 98.8 mph at -1°Out: 74.9 mph at -30°Double: 54.6 mph at 27°Home run: 102.9 mph at 32°Out: 100.4 mph at 21°Home run: 93.8 mph at 35°Single: 95.1 mph at 8°Out: 86.6 mph at 57°Out: 88.9 mph at 32°Out: 74.8 mph at 45°Out: 88.3 mph at 61°Double: 106.0 mph at 23°Double: 102.2 mph at 8°Out: 90.3 mph at 48°Single: 100.8 mph at 7°Out: 81.7 mph at -11°Out: 89.3 mph at 8°Out: 84.4 mph at 25°Double: 88.1 mph at 15°Home run: 106.2 mph at 28°Single: 90.5 mph at -9°Triple: 92.3 mph at -11°Out: 55.0 mph at -40°Single: 96.5 mph at 0°Out: 83.5 mph at 10°Out: 84.8 mph at 66°Out: 80.2 mph at 49°Out: 84.0 mph at 62°
35% hit 95+ mph38% in the sweet spot45% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit63.4%60.8%+2.6
2+ total bases36.0%34.4%+1.6
Home run8.8%9.5%-0.7
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+2.4
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.4
Park
-0.2
2+ total bases
Starter
+1.8
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.4
Park
-0.6
Home run
Starter
+0.3
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-1.1

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Angel Martínez hits
Where they meet

.297 xwOBA for Angel Martínez in the spots Michael Wacha throws to lefties

The average hitter in those same spots: .311 (-14 points). His best spot against righties is up and right, outside, and Michael Wacha puts 11% of his pitches there. Context only; the projection reads pitch type, not location.

Michael Wacha · where he throws to left-handed hitters
5% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 13% per swing5%7% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 15% per swing7%3% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 15% per swing3%6% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 10% per swing6%8% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 4% per swing8%6% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 5% per swing6%4% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 20% per swing4%5% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 10% per swing5%4% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 19% per swing4%13% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 23% per swing13%11% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 25% per swing11%13% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 38% per swing13%14% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 53% per swing14%
All · 812 pitches · catcher's view
4% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters4%6% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters6%1% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters1%6% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters6%10% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters10%4% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters4%4% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters4%8% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters8%3% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters3%12% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters12%2% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters2%26% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters26%14% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters14%
Changeup · 278 pitches · catcher's view
7% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters7%9% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters9%5% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters5%7% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters7%8% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters8%7% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters7%3% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters3%3% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters3%2% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters2%17% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters17%23% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters23%5% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters5%6% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters6%
Fastball · 246 pitches · catcher's view
4% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters4%8% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters8%8% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters8%6% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters6%8% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters8%10% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters10%3% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters3%5% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters5%4% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters4%11% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters11%13% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters13%8% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters8%13% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters13%
Cutter · 120 pitches · catcher's view
4% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters4%8% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters8%1% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters1%5% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters5%3% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters3%4% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters4%8% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters8%5% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters5%8% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters8%23% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters23%1% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters1%9% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters9%23% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters23%
Curveball · 79 pitches · catcher's view
5% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters5%5% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters5%2% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters2%5% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters5%8% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters8%10% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters10%6% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters6%6% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters6%12% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters12%3% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters3%13% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters13%2% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters2%25% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters25%
Sinker · 67 pitches · catcher's view
0% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters0% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters0% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters9% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters9%5% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters5%5% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters5%9% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters9%0% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters9% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters9%9% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters9%9% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters9%5% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters5%41% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters41%
Slider · 22 pitches · catcher's view

Share of his pitches in each spot; darker is more. Last 90 days.

Angel Martínez · hot and cold vs RHP
xwOBA .235 shrunk (raw .004 on 2 PA) · league .274 · 11 pitches seen.235xwOBA .281 shrunk (raw .218 on 5 PA) · league .307 · 9 pitches seen.281xwOBA .242 shrunk (raw .114 on 2 PA) · league .263 · 11 pitches seen.242xwOBA .307 shrunk (raw .247 on 7 PA) · league .342 · 19 pitches seen.307xwOBA .355 shrunk (raw .318 on 10 PA) · league .386 · 24 pitches seen.355xwOBA .363 shrunk (raw .434 on 7 PA) · league .321 · 18 pitches seen.363xwOBA .277 shrunk (raw .090 on 2 PA) · league .308 · 20 pitches seen.277xwOBA .414 shrunk (raw .489 on 10 PA) · league .351 · 27 pitches seen.414xwOBA .283 shrunk (raw .260 on 5 PA) · league .292 · 12 pitches seen.283xwOBA .328 shrunk (raw .262 on 9 PA) · league .377 · 47 pitches seen.328xwOBA .337 shrunk (raw .714 on 2 PA) · league .274 · 12 pitches seen.337xwOBA .226 shrunk (raw .210 on 27 PA) · league .263 · 76 pitches seen.226xwOBA .240 shrunk (raw .195 on 9 PA) · league .274 · 59 pitches seen.240
vs RHP · 345 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 50% of 6 swings · league 22%50%Whiff 0% of 6 swings · league 20%0%Whiff 0% of 5 swings · league 19%0%Whiff 21% of 14 swings · league 10%21%Whiff 10% of 20 swings · league 9%10%Whiff 18% of 11 swings · league 11%18%Whiff 22% of 9 swings · league 14%22%Whiff 5% of 20 swings · league 13%5%Whiff 14% of 7 swings · league 17%14%Whiff 39% of 13 swings · league 28%39%Whiff 0% of 1 swings · league 24%0%Whiff 24% of 45 swings · league 32%24%Whiff 41% of 27 swings · league 49%41%
vs RHP · 345 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 55% of 11 pitches · league 62%55%Swings at 67% of 9 pitches · league 72%67%Swings at 46% of 11 pitches · league 66%46%Swings at 74% of 19 pitches · league 70%74%Swings at 83% of 24 pitches · league 76%83%Swings at 61% of 18 pitches · league 70%61%Swings at 45% of 20 pitches · league 65%45%Swings at 74% of 27 pitches · league 68%74%Swings at 58% of 12 pitches · league 60%58%Swings at 28% of 47 pitches · league 24%28%Swings at 8% of 12 pitches · league 34%8%Swings at 59% of 76 pitches · league 40%59%Swings at 46% of 59 pitches · league 32%46%
vs RHP · 345 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

Angel Martínez against each of Michael Wacha's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Changeup29%81.5+13″ / +9″.271.30420.3%28.2%55Struggles with these; rarely misses them
Fastball29%93.1+7″ / +18″.326.36016.0%16.7%177Struggles with these
Cutter16%88.7-2″ / +10″.327.36116.9%18.7%82Struggles with these
Sinker12%93.1+13″ / +15″.329.36315.5%16.5%184Struggles with these
Curveball9%75.2-12″ / -12″.269.30325.0%26.2%18Struggles with these
Slider6%84.8-3″ / +4″.310.34324.3%25.7%55Struggles with these
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Angel Martínez · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G25.200.200.400.250.19640.0%0.0%50.0%77.394.10.0%0.0%33.3%
Last 15 G1128.296.321.630.429.27921.4%3.6%25.0%85.7106.04.8%14.3%47.6%
Last 30 G2466.250.318.450.358.27019.7%6.1%20.5%86.0106.02.1%23.4%34.0%
90 days3698.231.278.407.316.27723.5%4.1%22.3%85.2106.44.3%23.2%36.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 69 balls in play
Ground 42%Line drive 28%Fly ball 14%Pop-up 16%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G413.417.462.750.512.2887.7%7.7%19.0%90.0105.10.0%54.5%18.2%
Last 15 G1330.379.400.759.487.31623.3%3.3%20.3%89.0106.29.1%54.5%31.8%
Last 30 G2245.386.400.750.484.34420.0%2.2%18.8%88.9108.18.6%54.3%40.0%
90 days3167.375.394.688.461.34919.4%3.0%21.2%87.1108.49.6%50.0%42.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 52 balls in play
Ground 44%Line drive 25%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 8%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G518.353.389.647.439.26216.7%5.6%27.6%87.3105.10.0%42.9%21.4%
Last 15 G1558.339.362.696.459.29822.4%3.4%22.5%87.4106.27.0%34.9%39.5%
Last 30 G30111.308.351.577.409.30019.8%4.5%19.8%87.2108.14.9%36.6%36.6%
90 days43165.290.325.523.375.30621.8%3.6%21.9%86.1108.46.6%34.7%38.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 121 balls in play
Ground 43%Line drive 26%Fly ball 18%Pop-up 12%
Angel Martínez · percentile ranksvs 228 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormHot
Contact rating46Average
Last 100 pitches47steady
wOBA / xwOBA.361 / .312running 49 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit9/12
2+ total bases7/12
Home run3/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25LHPFastball89.886.5-6.129Out
Sep 25LHPSinker92.4105.1-7.332Single
Sep 25RHPSlider86.362.9-43.181Out
Sep 25RHPSinker92.594.111.762Double
Sep 25LHPChangeup84.096.3-8.170Out
Sep 24LHPFastball90.363.684.000Out
Sep 24LHPSweeper79.388.9-34.047Force out
Sep 24LHPChangeup79.093.825.214Home run
Sep 24LHPChangeup81.259.8-29.063Out
Sep 22LHPSinker93.8102.815.675Out
Sep 22LHPSinker93.295.42.415Single
Sep 22LHPCutter89.899.56.598Double
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25623010
Sep 24414100
Sep 23100001
Sep 22434000
Sep 20300002
Sep 195411200
Sep 14300001
Sep 13524001
Sep 12411001
Sep 11426100

Two strikes

Michael Wacha KC · RHPwith two strikes
Michael Wacha with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Changeup27%35%21.2%18.2%18.4%
Fastball28%29%9.4%14.0%18.3%
Sinker13%16%7.7%11.3%17.7%
Slider8%7%43.8%21.2%21.4%
Curveball10%7%14.3%9.4%20.7%
Cutter14%6%7.7%19.2%18.7%
Other0%0%–100.0%17.9%
Angel Martínez bats Swith two strikes, vs this hand
Angel Martínez with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. About league average vs his two-strike stuff
With two strikesHimLeague
K%43.3%41.3%
Whiff%22.0%21.6%
Contact%78.0%78.4%
Chase%54.1%39.4%
wOBA.203.246
Whiff vs his put-away shapes20.0%19.7%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeDBalanced type
wOBA.331
K%22.1%
BB%4.2%
Whiff%11.4%
Barrel%3.8%
Hard-hit%24.2%
Avg EV86.1

Against right-handers, last 90 days

98 PA
wOBA.322
xwOBA vs this mix.282against pitches like his
RV/1000.04
Hard-hit%18.3%
K%23.2%
BB%3.9%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Michael WachaRHP · KC vs CLE6 days' rest
3.9projected strikeouts · likely 2 to 7 · 24.9 batters over 5.8 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 44.6%45%≤34 strikeouts: 19.5%20%45 strikeouts: 15.2%15%56 strikeouts: 10.1%10%67 strikeouts: 5.7%6%78 strikeouts: 2.9%3%89+ strikeouts: 2.0%2%9+book 3.5
Over 3.5: 55% (red bars) · under: 45%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%20.1%
BB%6.6%
Whiff%9.3%
Velo86.9
BTB Stuff88
Location101
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff%
Fastball28%9293.27.2%
Changeup27%9480.614.2%
Cutter14%9089.87.9%
Sinker13%8193.24.1%
Curveball10%6875.66.8%
Slider8%8184.514.3%
Last 3 startsTrending Down
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 2011419%11%27%.350
Sep 15998%5%38%.346
Sep 89317%7%13%.229

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Michael Wacha KC · RHPvsCLE lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

2 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.7%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameCLE @ KC →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Angel Martínez: every projection we've made →