MLBengine v14
← CLE at KC, Sep 26, 2026
6:10 PM CT · Kauffman Stadium · lineup projected
Hitter · KC · batting 2Bobby Witt Jr.
Bats rightTalent grade APowerNormal
.348wOBA vs RHP.370xwOBA vs his mix3.9expected PA
Starter · CLETanner Bibee
Throws rightBTB Stuff 96Trending Down
3.7projected K17%K%2.7trips vs this hitter
Tanner Bibee's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 25% usage, 93.9 mph, +4.2″ arm side, +14.8″ rise. Bobby Witt Jr.: wOBA .364 vs league .354 (about even).Fastball 25%Cutter: 23% usage, 85.1 mph, -7.0″ arm side, +0.1″ rise. Bobby Witt Jr.: wOBA .294 vs league .284 (about even).Cutter 23%Sinker: 19% usage, 92.7 mph, +14.5″ arm side, +7.9″ rise. Bobby Witt Jr.: wOBA .361 vs league .351 (about even).Sinker 19%Changeup: 14% usage, 80.6 mph, +11.5″ arm side, +11.5″ rise. Bobby Witt Jr.: wOBA .332 vs league .322 (about even).Changeup 14%Curveball: 12% usage, 78.1 mph, -13.8″ arm side, -8.2″ rise. Bobby Witt Jr.: wOBA .288 vs league .278 (about even).Curveball 12%Sweeper: 8% usage, 82.0 mph, -16.6″ arm side, -1.7″ rise. Bobby Witt Jr.: wOBA .285 vs league .275 (about even).Sweeper 8%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Bobby Witt Jr.'s wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Bobby Witt Jr.'s last 40 balls in playHit (15)Out (25)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 99.3 mph at 37°Out: 98.0 mph at 8°Out: 102.9 mph at 22°Double: 109.4 mph at -5°Out: 80.8 mph at -13°Single: 95.9 mph at -10°Out: 101.6 mph at -8°Single: 106.3 mph at 6°Double: 109.9 mph at 21°Out: 107.1 mph at 13°Single: 97.3 mph at -4°Out: 96.8 mph at 17°Out: 86.6 mph at -28°Single: 76.3 mph at 6°Single: 54.5 mph at -46°Single: 88.4 mph at -4°Out: 78.6 mph at -9°Out: 104.3 mph at -18°Single: 107.5 mph at 1°Out: 91.5 mph at 45°Single: 77.3 mph at 18°Out: 98.7 mph at 17°Out: 70.5 mph at -22°Out: 78.4 mph at 46°Out: 94.0 mph at 61°Out: 94.6 mph at 58°Out: 72.6 mph at -14°Single: 111.4 mph at 12°Out: 94.1 mph at 23°Out: 93.7 mph at 40°Single: 101.5 mph at -9°Out: 100.6 mph at -31°Out: 87.1 mph at -4°Single: 99.4 mph at -18°Out: 103.3 mph at 39°Out: 103.1 mph at -11°Out: 85.6 mph at 74°Single: 72.2 mph at 30°Home run: 104.1 mph at 38°Out: 79.0 mph at 28°
53% hit 95+ mph28% in the sweet spot38% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit71.1%68.5%+2.6
2+ total bases44.8%43.1%+1.7
Home run13.0%14.5%-1.5
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+2.0
Pitch mix
+1.0
Bullpen
-0.1
Park
-0.3
2+ total bases
Starter
+1.4
Pitch mix
+1.1
Bullpen
-0.1
Park
-0.8
Home run
Starter
-0.5
Pitch mix
+0.5
Bullpen
-0.0
Park
-1.6

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Pitch by pitch

Bobby Witt Jr. against each of Tanner Bibee's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball25%93.9+4″ / +15″.364.35417.1%18.4%37About league average vs these
Cutter23%85.1-7″ / +0″.294.28431.0%32.8%37About league average vs these
Sinker19%92.7+15″ / +8″.361.3519.9%11.2%38About league average vs these
Changeup14%80.6+12″ / +12″.332.32222.7%25.7%12About league average vs these
Curveball12%78.1-14″ / -8″.288.27830.8%30.6%17About league average vs these
Sweeper8%82.0-17″ / -2″.285.27530.9%30.4%20About league average vs these
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Bobby Witt Jr. · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G515.333.333.400.323.35413.3%0.0%12.9%93.1109.47.7%61.5%30.8%
Last 15 G1548.200.250.289.243.32116.7%4.2%20.5%91.6111.45.4%43.2%37.8%
Last 30 G2996.264.323.391.315.36813.5%7.3%22.0%91.9112.59.3%45.3%40.0%
90 days58189.282.349.453.351.37715.9%8.5%22.6%90.7117.29.9%45.4%36.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 141 balls in play
Ground 41%Line drive 21%Fly ball 27%Pop-up 11%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G26.667.667.833.658.5410.0%0.0%16.7%98.6109.916.7%83.3%16.7%
Last 15 G818.462.611.538.575.45616.7%27.8%23.1%98.0109.910.0%80.0%10.0%
Last 30 G1837.241.405.276.337.41024.3%21.6%25.0%94.8112.010.0%70.0%30.0%
90 days3789.243.360.351.338.38620.2%15.7%28.0%92.8112.08.8%59.6%35.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 57 balls in play
Ground 47%Line drive 23%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 9%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G521.429.429.524.419.4079.5%0.0%14.0%94.8109.910.5%68.4%26.3%
Last 15 G1566.259.348.345.318.35116.7%10.6%21.3%92.9111.46.4%51.1%31.9%
Last 30 G30133.259.346.362.320.37816.5%11.3%22.8%92.5112.59.5%50.5%37.9%
90 days63278.270.353.422.347.38017.3%10.8%24.3%91.3117.29.6%49.5%35.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 198 balls in play
Ground 43%Line drive 22%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 10%
Bobby Witt Jr. · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating95Top tier
Last 100 pitches94steady
wOBA / xwOBA.348 / .384running 36 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit9/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPSweeper85.599.337.330Out
Sep 24RHPSinker95.498.08.639Out
Sep 24RHPFastball96.5102.922.927Out
Sep 24RHPCurveball85.1109.4-5.457Double
Sep 23LHPFastball93.780.8-13.095Force out
Sep 23LHPSweeper80.895.9-10.299Single
Sep 23LHPCurveball80.8101.6-8.348Double play
Sep 22LHPSweeper80.3106.36.553Single
Sep 22LHPFastball95.6109.9211.630Double
Sep 22RHPSinker97.7107.113.863Out
Sep 22LHPFastball97.397.3-4.320Single
Sep 20RHPCutter94.396.817.557Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24412000
Sep 23411001
Sep 22434000
Sep 20411001
Sep 19533000
Sep 18411000
Sep 17400012
Sep 16500021
Sep 15411000
Sep 13511013

Two strikes

Tanner Bibee CLE · RHPwith two strikes
Tanner Bibee with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Fastball25%24%11.5%11.3%18.0%
Cutter23%21%25.5%23.5%17.9%
Changeup14%20%20.9%17.7%18.6%
Sinker19%16%3.1%14.5%16.9%
Sweeper8%11%8.0%6.8%19.3%
Curveball12%8%10.5%12.5%20.1%
Bobby Witt Jr. bats Rwith two strikes, vs this hand
Bobby Witt Jr. with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. About league average vs his two-strike stuff
With two strikesHimLeague
K%34.9%42.4%
Whiff%19.3%22.2%
Contact%80.7%77.8%
Chase%40.7%39.8%
wOBA.265.238
Whiff vs his put-away shapes17.5%20.2%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeAPower type
wOBA.355
K%17.9%
BB%10.3%
Whiff%11.5%
Barrel%6.9%
Hard-hit%34.6%
Avg EV91.3

Against right-handers, last 90 days

185 PA
wOBA.348
xwOBA vs this mix.370against pitches like his
RV/1000.66
Hard-hit%32.9%
K%17.0%
BB%10.8%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Tanner BibeeRHP · CLE vs KC
3.7projected strikeouts · likely 1 to 6 · 24.3 batters over 5.7 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 49.3%49%≤34 strikeouts: 19.2%19%45 strikeouts: 14.3%14%56 strikeouts: 8.8%9%67 strikeouts: 4.8%5%78 strikeouts: 2.2%2%89+ strikeouts: 1.4%1%9+book 3.5
Over 3.5: 51% (red bars) · under: 49%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%16.5%
BB%6.8%
Whiff%8.7%
Velo87.0
BTB Stuff96
Location101
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff
Fastball25%7693.96.0%
Cutter23%12185.212.4%
Sinker19%9492.74.3%
Changeup14%10580.616.7%
Curveball12%7878.25.5%
Sweeper8%9881.97.4%
Last 3 startsTrending Down
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 19958%7%40%.518
Sep 139627%16%31%.248
Sep 8625%2%30%.412

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Tanner Bibee CLE · RHPvsKC lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

1 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.6%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameCLE @ KC →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Bobby Witt Jr.: every projection we've made →