MLBengine v14
← CLE at KC, Sep 26, 2026
6:10 PM CT · Kauffman Stadium · lineup projected
Hitter · CLE · batting 2José Ramírez
Switch hitterTalent grade BContactNormal
.290wOBA vs RHP.286xwOBA vs his mix3.9expected PA
Starter · KCMichael Wacha
Throws rightBTB Stuff 88Trending Down
4.3projected K20%K%2.7trips vs this hitter
Michael Wacha's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 28% usage, 93.2 mph, +5.6″ arm side, +17.6″ rise. José Ramírez: wOBA .346 vs league .358 (about even).Fastball 28%Changeup: 27% usage, 80.6 mph, +13.3″ arm side, +7.0″ rise. José Ramírez: wOBA .266 vs league .278 (about even).Changeup 27%Cutter: 14% usage, 89.6 mph, -1.6″ arm side, +10.2″ rise. José Ramírez: wOBA .365 vs league .376 (about even).Cutter 14%Sinker: 13% usage, 93.1 mph, +11.6″ arm side, +14.8″ rise. José Ramírez: wOBA .351 vs league .363 (about even).Sinker 13%Curveball: 10% usage, 75.4 mph, -10.2″ arm side, -12.0″ rise. José Ramírez: wOBA .303 vs league .314 (about even).Curveball 10%Slider: 8% usage, 84.6 mph, -2.5″ arm side, +2.7″ rise. José Ramírez: wOBA .340 vs league .352 (about even).Slider 8%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is José Ramírez's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

José Ramírez's last 40 balls in playHit (12)Out (28)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Single: 96.5 mph at -29°Out: 75.8 mph at 74°Single: 97.2 mph at 1°Out: 85.3 mph at -22°Out: 50.8 mph at -37°Out: 94.6 mph at 36°Out: 68.8 mph at 74°Out: 100.6 mph at -25°Single: 107.0 mph at 2°Out: 106.3 mph at -7°Out: 73.3 mph at 69°Double: 102.6 mph at 2°Single: 69.7 mph at 38°Out: 33.9 mph at 40°Out: 77.9 mph at 66°Out: 91.5 mph at 23°Single: 103.2 mph at -4°Single: 107.2 mph at 10°Single: 104.1 mph at -7°Out: 66.3 mph at 60°Home run: 102.4 mph at 29°Out: 95.7 mph at 47°Out: 32.4 mph at -30°Double: 110.6 mph at 14°Double: 106.8 mph at 16°Out: 89.9 mph at 3°Out: 79.1 mph at 6°Out: 93.9 mph at 46°Out: 78.2 mph at 33°Out: 98.2 mph at 14°Out: 70.7 mph at 46°Out: 89.7 mph at -9°Single: 83.0 mph at 17°Out: 81.7 mph at 83°Out: 71.5 mph at -2°Out: 93.8 mph at 22°Out: 54.8 mph at 14°Out: 89.5 mph at -18°Out: 93.0 mph at -23°Out: 68.6 mph at -16°
35% hit 95+ mph23% in the sweet spot30% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit66.5%65.0%+1.5
2+ total bases37.1%35.9%+1.3
Home run6.4%6.5%-0.1
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+1.6
Pitch mix
-0.4
Bullpen
+0.4
Park
-0.0
2+ total bases
Starter
+1.6
Pitch mix
-0.4
Bullpen
+0.4
Park
-0.3
Home run
Starter
+0.7
Pitch mix
-0.1
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-0.8

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Pitch by pitch

José Ramírez against each of Michael Wacha's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball28%93.2+6″ / +18″.346.3589.6%15.5%27About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Changeup27%80.6+13″ / +7″.266.27818.0%28.0%12About league average vs these
Cutter14%89.6-2″ / +10″.365.37610.9%17.2%30About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Sinker13%93.1+12″ / +15″.351.36310.0%15.9%25About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Curveball10%75.4-10″ / -12″.303.31413.6%25.0%5Little history vs this shape
Slider8%84.6-3″ / +3″.340.35214.4%26.5%23About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
José Ramírez · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G310.375.500.500.445.4020.0%20.0%0.0%77.2107.20.0%25.0%12.5%
Last 15 G1236.212.278.333.299.26316.7%8.3%16.2%81.7107.23.7%25.9%18.5%
Last 30 G2790.226.267.345.299.25818.9%5.6%15.6%84.8107.21.5%27.9%27.9%
90 days46155.229.284.300.286.28513.5%7.7%12.1%84.7107.20.8%26.2%36.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 122 balls in play
Ground 34%Line drive 25%Fly ball 28%Pop-up 14%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G312.333.333.333.300.16316.7%0.0%9.1%92.5107.00.0%60.0%10.0%
Last 15 G1130.233.233.300.233.21610.0%0.0%5.8%86.9110.63.7%29.6%29.6%
Last 30 G1841.225.244.300.240.2229.8%0.0%6.2%87.2110.62.8%30.6%30.6%
90 days3164.250.344.339.312.3006.2%9.4%5.0%89.4110.61.9%42.3%26.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 52 balls in play
Ground 44%Line drive 19%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 15%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G522.350.409.400.366.2729.1%9.1%4.9%85.7107.20.0%44.4%11.1%
Last 15 G1566.222.258.317.269.24113.6%4.5%11.7%84.3110.63.7%27.8%24.1%
Last 30 G30131.226.260.331.280.24616.0%3.8%12.9%85.7110.61.9%28.8%28.8%
90 days50219.235.301.311.294.28911.4%8.2%10.3%86.1110.61.1%31.0%33.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 174 balls in play
Ground 37%Line drive 23%Fly ball 26%Pop-up 14%
José Ramírez · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating40Below average
Last 100 pitches11trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.293 / .306results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases5/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24LHPSinker89.796.5-29.078Single
Sep 24LHPSweeper80.275.874.000Out
Sep 24LHPChangeup81.697.21.357Single
Sep 23RHPSweeper83.685.3-22.099Force out
Sep 23RHPSweeper84.450.8-37.161Force out
Sep 23RHPFastball91.894.636.213Out
Sep 22LHPFastball96.368.874.003Out
Sep 22LHPSinker93.4100.6-25.103Force out
Sep 22LHPSinker95.1107.02.543Single
Sep 22LHPSinker95.1106.3-7.336Out
Sep 20RHPChangeup88.373.369.000Out
Sep 20RHPCutter92.8102.62.479Double
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24422001
Sep 23400010
Sep 22511001
Sep 20423000
Sep 19522010
Sep 18525101
Sep 16424000
Sep 15400000
Sep 14411001
Sep 12400001

Two strikes

Michael Wacha KC · RHPwith two strikes
Michael Wacha with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Changeup27%35%21.2%18.2%18.6%
Fastball28%29%9.4%14.0%18.0%
Sinker13%16%7.7%11.3%16.9%
Slider8%7%43.8%21.2%21.0%
Curveball10%7%14.3%9.4%20.1%
Cutter14%6%7.7%19.2%17.9%
Other0%0%–100.0%21.7%
José Ramírez bats Swith two strikes, vs this hand
José Ramírez with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. Makes contact on his two-strike stuff more than most
With two strikesHimLeague
K%31.9%41.0%
Whiff%17.1%21.3%
Contact%82.9%78.7%
Chase%41.2%39.6%
wOBA.238.245
Whiff vs his put-away shapes14.7%18.5%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeBContact type
wOBA.330
K%12.0%
BB%8.6%
Whiff%5.3%
Barrel%2.5%
Hard-hit%25.4%
Avg EV86.5

Against right-handers, last 90 days

155 PA
wOBA.290
xwOBA vs this mix.286against pitches like his
RV/100-0.61
Hard-hit%21.6%
K%14.3%
BB%8.2%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Michael WachaRHP · KC vs CLE
4.3projected strikeouts · likely 2 to 7 · 24.9 batters over 5.8 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 37.7%38%≤34 strikeouts: 19.3%19%45 strikeouts: 16.5%16%56 strikeouts: 11.9%12%67 strikeouts: 7.3%7%78 strikeouts: 4.0%4%89+ strikeouts: 3.3%3%9+book 4.5
Over 4.5: 43% (red bars) · under: 57%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%20.1%
BB%6.6%
Whiff%9.3%
Velo86.9
BTB Stuff88
Location101
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff
Fastball28%9293.27.2%
Changeup27%9480.614.2%
Cutter14%9089.87.9%
Sinker13%8193.24.1%
Curveball10%6875.66.8%
Slider8%8184.514.3%
Other0%––0.0%
Last 3 startsTrending Down
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 2011419%11%27%.350
Sep 15998%5%38%.346
Sep 89317%7%13%.229

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Michael Wacha KC · RHPvsCLE lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

2 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.6%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameCLE @ KC →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.José Ramírez: every projection we've made →