MLBengine v14
← CLE at KC, Sep 26, 2026
6:10 PM CT · Kauffman Stadium · lineup confirmed
Hitter · CLE · batting 2José Ramírez
Switch hitterTalent grade BContactNormal
.291wOBA vs RHP.287xwOBA vs his mix3.9expected PA
Starter · KCMichael Wacha
Throws rightBTB Stuff 88Trending Down
3.9projected K20%K%2.7trips vs this hitter
Michael Wacha's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Changeup: 29% usage, 81.5 mph, +13.3″ arm side, +9.4″ rise. José Ramírez: wOBA .329 vs league .304 (hitter's edge).Changeup 29%Fastball: 29% usage, 93.1 mph, +6.6″ arm side, +18.4″ rise. José Ramírez: wOBA .388 vs league .360 (hitter's edge).Fastball 29%Cutter: 16% usage, 88.7 mph, -1.8″ arm side, +10.3″ rise. José Ramírez: wOBA .389 vs league .361 (hitter's edge).Cutter 16%Sinker: 12% usage, 93.1 mph, +12.6″ arm side, +15.2″ rise. José Ramírez: wOBA .391 vs league .363 (hitter's edge).Sinker 12%Curveball: 9% usage, 75.2 mph, -11.6″ arm side, -11.6″ rise. José Ramírez: wOBA .329 vs league .303 (hitter's edge).Curveball 9%Slider: 6% usage, 84.8 mph, -3.2″ arm side, +3.6″ rise. José Ramírez: wOBA .369 vs league .343 (hitter's edge).Slider 6%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is José Ramírez's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

José Ramírez's last 40 balls in playHit (13)Out (27)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 97.7 mph at 20°Out: 78.6 mph at 84°Out: 91.8 mph at 30°Out: 102.6 mph at -11°Single: 87.0 mph at 7°Single: 96.5 mph at -29°Out: 75.8 mph at 74°Single: 97.2 mph at 1°Out: 85.3 mph at -22°Out: 50.8 mph at -37°Out: 94.6 mph at 36°Out: 68.8 mph at 74°Out: 100.6 mph at -25°Single: 107.0 mph at 2°Out: 106.3 mph at -7°Out: 73.3 mph at 69°Double: 102.6 mph at 2°Single: 69.7 mph at 38°Out: 33.9 mph at 40°Out: 77.9 mph at 66°Out: 91.5 mph at 23°Single: 103.2 mph at -4°Single: 107.2 mph at 10°Single: 104.1 mph at -7°Out: 66.3 mph at 60°Out: 95.7 mph at 47°Home run: 102.4 mph at 29°Out: 32.4 mph at -30°Double: 110.6 mph at 14°Double: 106.8 mph at 16°Out: 89.9 mph at 3°Out: 79.1 mph at 6°Out: 93.9 mph at 46°Out: 78.2 mph at 33°Out: 98.2 mph at 14°Out: 70.7 mph at 46°Out: 89.7 mph at -9°Single: 83.0 mph at 17°Out: 81.7 mph at 83°Out: 71.5 mph at -2°
40% hit 95+ mph23% in the sweet spot33% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit68.0%64.5%+3.6
2+ total bases42.1%37.6%+4.5
Home run9.8%6.4%+3.4
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+3.4
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.4
Park
-0.2
2+ total bases
Starter
+4.7
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.4
Park
-0.6
Home run
Starter
+4.5
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-1.2

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where José Ramírez hits
Where they meet

.305 xwOBA for José Ramírez in the spots Michael Wacha throws to lefties

The average hitter in those same spots: .311 (-6 points). His best spot against righties is up and left, outside, and Michael Wacha puts 13% of his pitches there. Context only; the projection reads pitch type, not location.

Michael Wacha · where he throws to left-handed hitters
5% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 13% per swing5%7% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 15% per swing7%3% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 15% per swing3%6% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 10% per swing6%8% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 4% per swing8%6% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 5% per swing6%4% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 20% per swing4%5% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 10% per swing5%4% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 19% per swing4%13% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 23% per swing13%11% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 25% per swing11%13% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 38% per swing13%14% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 53% per swing14%
All · 812 pitches · catcher's view
4% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters4%6% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters6%1% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters1%6% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters6%10% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters10%4% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters4%4% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters4%8% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters8%3% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters3%12% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters12%2% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters2%26% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters26%14% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters14%
Changeup · 278 pitches · catcher's view
7% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters7%9% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters9%5% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters5%7% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters7%8% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters8%7% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters7%3% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters3%3% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters3%2% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters2%17% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters17%23% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters23%5% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters5%6% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters6%
Fastball · 246 pitches · catcher's view
4% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters4%8% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters8%8% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters8%6% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters6%8% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters8%10% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters10%3% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters3%5% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters5%4% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters4%11% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters11%13% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters13%8% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters8%13% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters13%
Cutter · 120 pitches · catcher's view
4% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters4%8% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters8%1% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters1%5% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters5%3% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters3%4% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters4%8% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters8%5% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters5%8% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters8%23% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters23%1% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters1%9% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters9%23% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters23%
Curveball · 79 pitches · catcher's view
5% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters5%5% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters5%2% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters2%5% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters5%8% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters8%10% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters10%6% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters6%6% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters6%12% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters12%3% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters3%13% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters13%2% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters2%25% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters25%
Sinker · 67 pitches · catcher's view
0% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters0% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters0% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters9% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters9%5% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters5%5% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters5%9% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters9%0% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters9% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters9%9% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters9%9% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters9%5% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters5%41% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters41%
Slider · 22 pitches · catcher's view

Share of his pitches in each spot; darker is more. Last 90 days.

José Ramírez · hot and cold vs RHP
xwOBA .266 shrunk (raw .233 on 3 PA) · league .274 · 27 pitches seen.266xwOBA .263 shrunk (raw .158 on 5 PA) · league .307 · 28 pitches seen.263xwOBA .233 shrunk (raw .162 on 5 PA) · league .263 · 13 pitches seen.233xwOBA .354 shrunk (raw .377 on 6 PA) · league .342 · 29 pitches seen.354xwOBA .342 shrunk (raw .306 on 15 PA) · league .386 · 39 pitches seen.342xwOBA .339 shrunk (raw .370 on 7 PA) · league .321 · 29 pitches seen.339xwOBA .294 shrunk (raw .284 on 18 PA) · league .308 · 53 pitches seen.294xwOBA .342 shrunk (raw .337 on 21 PA) · league .351 · 52 pitches seen.342xwOBA .284 shrunk (raw .274 on 9 PA) · league .292 · 36 pitches seen.284xwOBA .489 shrunk (raw .623 on 10 PA) · league .377 · 109 pitches seen.489xwOBA .279 shrunk (raw .288 on 7 PA) · league .274 · 26 pitches seen.279xwOBA .218 shrunk (raw .204 on 37 PA) · league .263 · 123 pitches seen.218xwOBA .216 shrunk (raw .162 on 13 PA) · league .274 · 85 pitches seen.216
vs RHP · 649 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 30% of 10 swings · league 22%30%Whiff 12% of 17 swings · league 20%12%Whiff 8% of 12 swings · league 19%8%Whiff 0% of 13 swings · league 10%0%Whiff 3% of 29 swings · league 9%3%Whiff 0% of 18 swings · league 11%0%Whiff 3% of 30 swings · league 14%3%Whiff 6% of 36 swings · league 13%6%Whiff 9% of 22 swings · league 17%9%Whiff 42% of 12 swings · league 28%42%Whiff 0% of 10 swings · league 24%0%Whiff 22% of 51 swings · league 32%22%Whiff 25% of 32 swings · league 49%25%
vs RHP · 649 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 37% of 27 pitches · league 62%37%Swings at 61% of 28 pitches · league 72%61%Swings at 92% of 13 pitches · league 66%92%Swings at 45% of 29 pitches · league 70%45%Swings at 74% of 39 pitches · league 76%74%Swings at 62% of 29 pitches · league 70%62%Swings at 57% of 53 pitches · league 65%57%Swings at 69% of 52 pitches · league 68%69%Swings at 61% of 36 pitches · league 60%61%Swings at 11% of 109 pitches · league 24%11%Swings at 39% of 26 pitches · league 34%39%Swings at 42% of 123 pitches · league 40%42%Swings at 38% of 85 pitches · league 32%38%
vs RHP · 649 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

José Ramírez against each of Michael Wacha's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Changeup29%81.5+13″ / +9″.329.30418.5%28.2%275About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Fastball29%93.1+7″ / +18″.388.3608.6%16.7%604About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Cutter16%88.7-2″ / +10″.389.36110.4%18.7%347About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Sinker12%93.1+13″ / +15″.391.3638.8%16.5%669About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Curveball9%75.2-12″ / -12″.329.30315.6%26.2%81About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Slider6%84.8-3″ / +4″.369.34314.9%25.7%279About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
José Ramírez · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G310.250.400.375.355.3240.0%20.0%5.0%75.2102.60.0%12.5%12.5%
Last 15 G1237.212.297.333.309.27716.2%10.8%17.1%82.2107.23.7%25.9%22.2%
Last 30 G2789.232.281.354.310.26116.9%6.7%14.7%84.8107.21.5%26.5%27.9%
90 days47157.227.287.298.287.28613.4%8.3%12.3%84.8107.20.8%26.0%37.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 123 balls in play
Ground 33%Line drive 24%Fly ball 28%Pop-up 14%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G313.333.308.333.346.19515.4%0.0%8.7%92.6107.00.0%63.6%9.1%
Last 15 G1131.267.258.333.284.2396.5%0.0%4.0%87.9110.63.4%34.5%27.6%
Last 30 G1844.238.250.310.265.2329.1%0.0%6.0%88.2110.62.6%33.3%30.8%
90 days3268.254.338.339.320.2995.9%8.8%4.8%89.5110.61.8%42.9%26.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 56 balls in play
Ground 45%Line drive 20%Fly ball 20%Pop-up 16%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G523.300.348.350.350.2518.7%8.7%7.0%85.3107.00.0%42.1%10.5%
Last 15 G1568.238.279.333.298.25911.8%5.9%11.7%85.1110.63.6%30.4%25.0%
Last 30 G30133.234.271.339.295.25114.3%4.5%12.2%86.0110.61.9%29.0%29.0%
90 days51225.235.302.310.297.29011.1%8.4%10.3%86.3110.61.1%31.3%34.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 179 balls in play
Ground 37%Line drive 23%Fly ball 26%Pop-up 14%
José Ramírez · percentile ranksvs 228 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating42Below average
Last 100 pitches20trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.296 / .309results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases5/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25LHPCurveball80.597.720.358Sac fly
Sep 25LHPCutter88.978.684.000Out
Sep 25RHPChangeup89.791.830.076Out
Sep 25LHPCutter90.5102.6-11.249Error
Sep 25LHPCutter86.687.07.504Single
Sep 24LHPSinker89.796.5-29.078Single
Sep 24LHPSweeper80.275.874.000Out
Sep 24LHPChangeup81.697.21.357Single
Sep 23RHPSweeper83.685.3-22.099Force out
Sep 23RHPSweeper84.450.8-37.161Force out
Sep 23RHPFastball91.894.636.213Out
Sep 22LHPFastball96.368.874.003Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25611010
Sep 24422001
Sep 23400010
Sep 22511001
Sep 20423000
Sep 19522010
Sep 18525101
Sep 16424000
Sep 15400000
Sep 14411001

Two strikes

Michael Wacha KC · RHPwith two strikes
Michael Wacha with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Changeup27%35%21.2%18.2%18.4%
Fastball28%29%9.4%14.0%18.3%
Sinker13%16%7.7%11.3%17.7%
Slider8%7%43.8%21.2%21.4%
Curveball10%7%14.3%9.4%20.7%
Cutter14%6%7.7%19.2%18.7%
Other0%0%–100.0%17.9%
José Ramírez bats Swith two strikes, vs this hand
José Ramírez with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. Makes contact on his two-strike stuff more than most
With two strikesHimLeague
K%25.6%41.3%
Whiff%12.9%21.6%
Contact%87.1%78.4%
Chase%47.0%39.4%
wOBA.286.246
Whiff vs his put-away shapes11.5%19.7%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeBContact type
wOBA.331
K%11.7%
BB%8.7%
Whiff%5.3%
Barrel%2.4%
Hard-hit%25.5%
Avg EV86.6

Against right-handers, last 90 days

157 PA
wOBA.291
xwOBA vs this mix.287against pitches like his
RV/100-0.58
Hard-hit%21.4%
K%14.1%
BB%8.4%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Michael WachaRHP · KC vs CLE6 days' rest
3.9projected strikeouts · likely 2 to 7 · 24.9 batters over 5.8 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 44.6%45%≤34 strikeouts: 19.5%20%45 strikeouts: 15.2%15%56 strikeouts: 10.1%10%67 strikeouts: 5.7%6%78 strikeouts: 2.9%3%89+ strikeouts: 2.0%2%9+book 3.5
Over 3.5: 55% (red bars) · under: 45%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%20.1%
BB%6.6%
Whiff%9.3%
Velo86.9
BTB Stuff88
Location101
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff%
Fastball28%9293.27.2%
Changeup27%9480.614.2%
Cutter14%9089.87.9%
Sinker13%8193.24.1%
Curveball10%6875.66.8%
Slider8%8184.514.3%
Last 3 startsTrending Down
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 2011419%11%27%.350
Sep 15998%5%38%.346
Sep 89317%7%13%.229

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Michael Wacha KC · RHPvsCLE lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

2 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.7%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameCLE @ KC →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.José Ramírez: every projection we've made →