MLBengine v14
← CLE at KC, Sep 26, 2026
6:10 PM CT · Kauffman Stadium · lineup confirmed
Hitter · KC · batting 8Josh Rojas
Bats leftTalent grade FBalancedNormal
.255wOBA vs RHP.231xwOBA vs his mix3.4expected PA
Starter · CLETanner Bibee
Throws rightBTB Stuff 96Trending Down
4.1projected K17%K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Tanner Bibee's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 35% usage, 94.6 mph, +4.7″ arm side, +15.8″ rise. Josh Rojas: wOBA .343 vs league .355 (about even).Fastball 35%Cutter: 24% usage, 85.8 mph, -8.3″ arm side, +2.2″ rise. Josh Rojas: wOBA .305 vs league .317 (about even).Cutter 24%Changeup: 16% usage, 82.2 mph, +13.0″ arm side, +12.4″ rise. Josh Rojas: wOBA .307 vs league .318 (about even).Changeup 16%Sinker: 10% usage, 93.6 mph, +14.3″ arm side, +9.2″ rise. Josh Rojas: wOBA .350 vs league .362 (about even).Sinker 10%Curveball: 8% usage, 78.9 mph, -12.2″ arm side, -8.5″ rise. Josh Rojas: wOBA .288 vs league .300 (about even).Curveball 8%Sweeper: 7% usage, 82.9 mph, -16.1″ arm side, -1.2″ rise. Josh Rojas: wOBA .298 vs league .310 (about even).Sweeper 7%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Josh Rojas's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Josh Rojas's last 40 balls in playHit (10)Out (30)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 91.2 mph at 37°Out: 84.9 mph at 51°Out: 88.1 mph at 41°Single: 98.4 mph at 11°Out: 98.8 mph at -42°Out: 90.8 mph at -19°Out: 89.2 mph at 32°Out: 47.8 mph at -43°Out: 81.6 mph at 37°Out: 76.5 mph at 42°Out: 91.4 mph at 43°Out: 86.8 mph at 68°Out: 89.0 mph at 27°Out: 80.2 mph at -2°Single: 99.2 mph at 11°Single: 93.0 mph at 2°Home run: 92.4 mph at 30°Single: 74.9 mph at 18°Double: 100.8 mph at 22°Out: 99.4 mph at 57°Out: 27.6 mph at -20°Out: 89.3 mph at 58°Single: 95.5 mph at 10°Out: 88.5 mph at -10°Out: 93.3 mph at -19°Out: 98.6 mph at 19°Out: 73.8 mph at 71°Single: 83.1 mph at 21°Out: 75.8 mph at 53°Out: 94.5 mph at -3°Single: 104.0 mph at -4°Out: 77.2 mph at 69°Out: 94.2 mph at 47°Out: 71.4 mph at 66°Single: 30.4 mph at -48°Out: 88.9 mph at 55°Out: 90.6 mph at 68°Out: 94.1 mph at -25°Out: 84.5 mph at 48°Out: 91.4 mph at 26°
20% hit 95+ mph28% in the sweet spot25% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit53.8%52.8%+1.0
2+ total bases27.6%27.0%+0.6
Home run4.7%4.7%-0.1
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+1.3
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.2
Park
-0.1
2+ total bases
Starter
+1.3
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.4
Park
-0.3
Home run
Starter
+0.8
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.2
Park
-0.7

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Josh Rojas hits
Where they meet

.284 xwOBA for Josh Rojas in the spots Tanner Bibee throws to lefties

The average hitter in those same spots: .314 (-29 points). His best spot against righties is up-right, and Tanner Bibee puts 3% of his pitches there. Context only; the projection reads pitch type, not location.

Tanner Bibee · where he throws to left-handed hitters
4% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 15% per swing4%4% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 11% per swing4%3% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 15% per swing3%7% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 10% per swing7%6% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 5% per swing6%5% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 4% per swing5%4% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 40% per swing4%5% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 17% per swing5%5% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 4% per swing5%20% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 33% per swing20%7% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 25% per swing7%13% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 34% per swing13%18% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 33% per swing18%
All · 848 pitches · catcher's view
5% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters5%7% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters7%6% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters6%7% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters7%9% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters9%5% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters5%3% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters3%3% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters3%4% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters4%27% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters27%15% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters15%6% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters6%4% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters4%
Fastball · 240 pitches · catcher's view
5% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters5%4% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters4%5% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters5%5% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters5%5% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters5%5% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters5%3% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters3%8% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters8%4% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters4%11% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters11%9% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters9%7% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters7%29% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters29%
Cutter · 167 pitches · catcher's view
3% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters3%3% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters3%1% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters1%8% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters8%4% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters4%1% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters1%6% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters6%4% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters4%4% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters4%32% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters32%1% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters1%22% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters22%12% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters12%
Changeup · 158 pitches · catcher's view
3% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters3%1% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters1%2% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters2%4% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters4%3% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters3%3% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters3%3% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters3%5% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters5%7% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters7%13% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters13%1% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters1%28% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters28%29% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters29%
Curveball · 117 pitches · catcher's view
6% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters6%6% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters6%3% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters3%13% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters13%8% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters8%6% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters6%6% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters6%7% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters7%7% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters7%14% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters14%6% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters6%6% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters6%14% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters14%
Sinker · 110 pitches · catcher's view
2% of his Sweeper pitches to left-handed hitters2%5% of his Sweeper pitches to left-handed hitters5%0% of his Sweeper pitches to left-handed hitters4% of his Sweeper pitches to left-handed hitters4%9% of his Sweeper pitches to left-handed hitters9%9% of his Sweeper pitches to left-handed hitters9%2% of his Sweeper pitches to left-handed hitters2%7% of his Sweeper pitches to left-handed hitters7%9% of his Sweeper pitches to left-handed hitters9%4% of his Sweeper pitches to left-handed hitters4%2% of his Sweeper pitches to left-handed hitters2%11% of his Sweeper pitches to left-handed hitters11%38% of his Sweeper pitches to left-handed hitters38%
Sweeper · 56 pitches · catcher's view

Share of his pitches in each spot; darker is more. Last 90 days.

Josh Rojas · hot and cold vs RHP
xwOBA .263 shrunk (raw .196 on 2 PA) · league .274 · 8 pitches seen.263xwOBA .273 shrunk (raw .190 on 5 PA) · league .307 · 16 pitches seen.273xwOBA .294 shrunk (raw .418 on 3 PA) · league .263 · 6 pitches seen.294xwOBA .296 shrunk (raw .203 on 6 PA) · league .342 · 15 pitches seen.296xwOBA .339 shrunk (raw .245 on 6 PA) · league .386 · 13 pitches seen.339xwOBA .304 shrunk (raw .283 on 10 PA) · league .321 · 22 pitches seen.304xwOBA .255 shrunk (raw .127 on 5 PA) · league .308 · 10 pitches seen.255xwOBA .355 shrunk (raw .360 on 8 PA) · league .351 · 17 pitches seen.355xwOBA .234 shrunk (raw .094 on 5 PA) · league .292 · 13 pitches seen.234xwOBA .355 shrunk (raw .288 on 4 PA) · league .377 · 45 pitches seen.355xwOBA .189 shrunk (raw .020 on 6 PA) · league .274 · 15 pitches seen.189xwOBA .272 shrunk (raw .293 on 5 PA) · league .263 · 41 pitches seen.272xwOBA .230 shrunk (raw .182 on 11 PA) · league .274 · 66 pitches seen.230
vs RHP · 287 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 0% of 4 swings · league 22%0%Whiff 8% of 12 swings · league 20%8%Whiff 0% of 4 swings · league 19%0%Whiff 0% of 11 swings · league 10%0%Whiff 0% of 11 swings · league 9%0%Whiff 5% of 19 swings · league 11%5%Whiff 14% of 7 swings · league 14%14%Whiff 8% of 13 swings · league 13%8%Whiff 13% of 8 swings · league 17%13%Whiff 17% of 6 swings · league 28%17%Whiff 30% of 10 swings · league 24%30%Whiff 43% of 14 swings · league 32%43%Whiff 38% of 24 swings · league 49%38%
vs RHP · 287 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 50% of 8 pitches · league 62%50%Swings at 75% of 16 pitches · league 72%75%Swings at 67% of 6 pitches · league 66%67%Swings at 73% of 15 pitches · league 70%73%Swings at 85% of 13 pitches · league 76%85%Swings at 86% of 22 pitches · league 70%86%Swings at 70% of 10 pitches · league 65%70%Swings at 77% of 17 pitches · league 68%77%Swings at 62% of 13 pitches · league 60%62%Swings at 13% of 45 pitches · league 24%13%Swings at 67% of 15 pitches · league 34%67%Swings at 34% of 41 pitches · league 40%34%Swings at 36% of 66 pitches · league 32%36%
vs RHP · 287 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

Josh Rojas against each of Tanner Bibee's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball35%94.6+5″ / +16″.343.35515.1%16.6%517About league average vs these
Cutter24%85.8-8″ / +2″.305.31726.7%29.2%196About league average vs these
Changeup16%82.2+13″ / +12″.307.31825.4%27.0%167About league average vs these
Sinker10%93.6+14″ / +9″.350.36212.5%14.1%473About league average vs these
Curveball8%78.9-12″ / -9″.288.30023.1%28.1%101About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Sweeper7%82.9-16″ / -1″.298.31020.7%25.6%90About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Josh Rojas · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G511.111.182.111.145.1839.1%9.1%15.4%83.298.40.0%11.1%22.2%
Last 15 G1336.188.229.219.210.20413.9%5.6%9.9%86.1104.00.0%24.1%24.1%
Last 30 G2875.232.270.275.249.22413.3%5.3%16.4%85.3104.20.0%29.5%31.1%
90 days3077.225.263.268.243.22114.3%5.2%16.8%85.5104.20.0%30.6%30.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 62 balls in play
Ground 42%Line drive 14%Fly ball 27%Pop-up 16%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G22.000.500.000.350.4050.0%0.0%0.0%98.898.80.0%100.0%0.0%
Last 15 G712.400.500.700.508.28216.7%8.3%12.5%79.198.80.0%12.5%37.5%
Last 30 G1219.250.333.438.400.22915.8%5.3%20.0%76.098.80.0%7.1%28.6%
90 days1219.250.333.438.400.22915.8%5.3%20.0%76.098.80.0%7.1%28.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 14 balls in play
Ground 36%Line drive 21%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 21%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G513.100.231.100.177.2177.7%7.7%14.8%84.798.80.0%20.0%20.0%
Last 15 G1548.238.298.333.286.22414.6%6.2%10.3%84.6104.00.0%21.6%27.0%
Last 30 G3094.235.283.306.279.22513.8%5.3%17.1%83.5104.20.0%25.3%30.7%
90 days3296.230.277.299.273.22314.6%5.2%17.3%83.8104.20.0%26.3%30.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 76 balls in play
Ground 41%Line drive 16%Fly ball 26%Pop-up 17%
Josh Rojas · percentile ranksvs 228 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating3Bottom tier
Last 100 pitches7steady
wOBA / xwOBA.266 / .235running 31 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit6/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 22RHPFastball95.691.237.013Out
Sep 22RHPFastball91.484.951.017Sac fly
Sep 16RHPFastball92.888.141.003Out
Sep 16RHPFastball94.398.411.821Single
Sep 16LHPSinker91.898.8-42.080Out
Sep 13RHPSinker95.190.8-19.097Out
Sep 6RHPCurveball74.989.232.064Out
Sep 6RHPChangeup85.047.8-43.206Out
Sep 5RHPCurveball70.781.637.027Out
Sep 5RHPFastball94.076.542.067Out
Sep 3RHPSinker98.391.443.015Out
Sep 3RHPCurveball84.386.868.010Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 22200000
Sep 16411010
Sep 13100000
Sep 6400001
Sep 5200000
Sep 3200000
Sep 1422000
Aug 29225100
Aug 28412001
Aug 27511011

Two strikes

Tanner Bibee CLE · RHPwith two strikes
Tanner Bibee with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Fastball25%24%11.5%11.3%18.3%
Cutter23%21%25.5%23.5%18.7%
Changeup14%20%20.9%17.7%18.4%
Sinker19%16%3.1%14.5%17.7%
Sweeper8%11%8.0%6.8%20.7%
Curveball12%8%10.5%12.5%20.7%
Josh Rojas bats Lwith two strikes, vs this hand
Josh Rojas with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. About league average vs his two-strike stuff
With two strikesHimLeague
K%39.7%41.3%
Whiff%20.2%21.6%
Contact%79.8%78.4%
Chase%37.2%39.4%
wOBA.242.246
Whiff vs his put-away shapes19.7%21.2%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.271
K%19.6%
BB%7.5%
Whiff%9.8%
Barrel%2.1%
Hard-hit%23.7%
Avg EV87.0

Against right-handers, last 90 days

77 PA
wOBA.255
xwOBA vs this mix.231against pitches like his
RV/100-1.64
Hard-hit%24.4%
K%15.4%
BB%6.1%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Tanner BibeeRHP · CLE vs KC7 days' rest
4.1projected strikeouts · likely 2 to 7 · 24.3 batters over 5.7 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 42.1%42%≤34 strikeouts: 19.4%19%45 strikeouts: 15.8%16%56 strikeouts: 10.8%11%67 strikeouts: 6.2%6%78 strikeouts: 3.3%3%89+ strikeouts: 2.4%2%9+book 3.5
Over 3.5: 58% (red bars) · under: 42%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%16.5%
BB%6.8%
Whiff%8.7%
Velo87.0
BTB Stuff96
Location101
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff%
Fastball25%7693.96.0%
Cutter23%12185.212.4%
Sinker19%9492.74.3%
Changeup14%10580.616.7%
Curveball12%7878.25.5%
Sweeper8%9881.97.4%
Last 3 startsTrending Down
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 19958%7%40%.518
Sep 139627%16%31%.248
Sep 8625%2%30%.412

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Tanner Bibee CLE · RHPvsKC lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

1 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.7%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameCLE @ KC →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Josh Rojas: every projection we've made →