MLBengine v14
← CLE at KC, Sep 26, 2026
6:10 PM CT · Kauffman Stadium · lineup projected
Hitter · KC · batting 8Kyle Isbel
Bats leftTalent grade FBalancedNormal
.255wOBA vs RHP.248xwOBA vs his mix3.4expected PA
Starter · CLETanner Bibee
Throws rightBTB Stuff 96Trending Down
3.7projected K17%K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Tanner Bibee's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 25% usage, 93.9 mph, +4.2″ arm side, +14.8″ rise. Kyle Isbel: wOBA .347 vs league .361 (about even).Fastball 25%Cutter: 23% usage, 85.1 mph, -7.0″ arm side, +0.1″ rise. Kyle Isbel: wOBA .305 vs league .320 (pitcher's edge).Cutter 23%Sinker: 19% usage, 92.7 mph, +14.5″ arm side, +7.9″ rise. Kyle Isbel: wOBA .339 vs league .354 (about even).Sinker 19%Changeup: 14% usage, 80.6 mph, +11.5″ arm side, +11.5″ rise. Kyle Isbel: wOBA .269 vs league .283 (about even).Changeup 14%Curveball: 12% usage, 78.1 mph, -13.8″ arm side, -8.2″ rise. Kyle Isbel: wOBA .300 vs league .314 (about even).Curveball 12%Sweeper: 8% usage, 82.0 mph, -16.6″ arm side, -1.7″ rise. Kyle Isbel: wOBA .301 vs league .315 (about even).Sweeper 8%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Kyle Isbel's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Kyle Isbel's last 40 balls in playHit (8)Out (32)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Single: 101.8 mph at 2°Single: 89.2 mph at -3°Out: 88.2 mph at 1°Out: 36.4 mph at 60°Out: 81.7 mph at 10°Out: 90.2 mph at 49°Single: 100.6 mph at -8°Out: 23.1 mph at -26°Out: 97.5 mph at -21°Out: 93.9 mph at -25°Out: 29.4 mph at -35°Out: 105.9 mph at 5°Out: 89.9 mph at 50°Out: 95.6 mph at -3°Out: 88.1 mph at -48°Out: 103.6 mph at 17°Out: 80.7 mph at 45°Single: 87.1 mph at 11°Out: 86.7 mph at 38°Single: 99.4 mph at 11°Out: 74.8 mph at 38°Out: 24.7 mph at 44°Out: 81.1 mph at -7°Single: 83.0 mph at 8°Out: 28.3 mph at 52°Out: 77.3 mph at 75°Out: 79.0 mph at 4°Out: 88.7 mph at 41°Out: 106.3 mph at -19°Out: 89.1 mph at -22°Out: 54.2 mph at -56°Out: 84.0 mph at -43°Single: 86.6 mph at 13°Single: 91.8 mph at 3°Out: 84.0 mph at 52°Out: 89.5 mph at 52°Out: 104.2 mph at -19°Out: 51.9 mph at -54°Out: 96.0 mph at 25°Out: 95.9 mph at 6°
28% hit 95+ mph18% in the sweet spot20% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit54.3%53.5%+0.8
2+ total bases25.4%25.4%+0.1
Home run4.2%4.8%-0.6
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+1.9
Pitch mix
-0.7
Bullpen
-0.4
Park
-0.0
2+ total bases
Starter
+1.3
Pitch mix
-0.6
Bullpen
-0.5
Park
-0.2
Home run
Starter
+0.3
Pitch mix
-0.1
Bullpen
-0.2
Park
-0.5

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Pitch by pitch

Kyle Isbel against each of Tanner Bibee's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball25%93.9+4″ / +15″.347.3619.7%14.8%22About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Cutter23%85.1-7″ / +0″.305.32019.5%28.1%10About league average vs these
Sinker19%92.7+15″ / +8″.339.3549.2%14.0%17About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Changeup14%80.6+12″ / +12″.269.28329.5%30.2%9About league average vs these
Curveball12%78.1-14″ / -8″.300.31425.8%30.2%3Little history vs this shape
Sweeper8%82.0-17″ / -2″.301.31520.0%23.8%5Little history vs this shape
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Kyle Isbel · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G513.231.231.231.208.14938.5%0.0%26.1%85.7101.80.0%37.5%12.5%
Last 15 G1435.147.171.147.179.18328.6%2.9%22.0%79.4105.90.0%26.1%17.4%
Last 30 G2975.225.267.338.284.26824.0%5.3%17.0%84.8106.61.9%30.8%25.0%
90 days3792.207.239.299.251.24423.9%4.3%17.2%85.7106.61.5%32.3%21.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 65 balls in play
Ground 48%Line drive 14%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 14%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G34.000.000.000.067.09150.0%0.0%22.2%58.593.90.0%0.0%0.0%
Last 15 G712.091.091.091.100.15725.0%0.0%12.5%79.2106.30.0%22.2%11.1%
Last 30 G1828.120.120.120.160.18225.0%0.0%11.4%77.3106.30.0%19.0%14.3%
90 days2441.135.158.216.200.20524.4%2.4%11.9%78.7106.30.0%26.7%16.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 30 balls in play
Ground 63%Line drive 13%Fly ball 17%Pop-up 7%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G517.188.188.188.181.13841.2%0.0%25.0%80.3101.80.0%30.0%10.0%
Last 15 G1547.133.152.133.160.17727.7%2.1%19.3%79.4106.30.0%25.0%15.6%
Last 30 G30103.198.230.281.253.24724.3%3.9%15.6%82.6106.61.4%27.4%21.9%
90 days39133.185.215.274.236.23224.1%3.8%15.7%83.5106.61.1%30.5%20.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 95 balls in play
Ground 53%Line drive 14%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 12%
Kyle Isbel · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating2Bottom tier
Last 100 pitches0steady
wOBA / xwOBA.224 / .233results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit5/12
2+ total bases1/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPCurveball83.8101.82.515Single
Sep 24RHPSweeper86.789.2-3.216Single
Sep 22RHPFastball96.688.21.288Out
Sep 19RHPFastball96.636.460.086Out
Sep 19RHPSinker97.181.710.458Out
Sep 19RHPFastball94.890.249.008Out
Sep 18RHPFastball96.9100.6-8.259Single
Sep 18LHPFastball89.423.1-26–Sac bunt
Sep 17RHPCurveball82.597.5-21.108Out
Sep 17LHPFastball93.293.9-25.074Out
Sep 16RHPSlider85.029.4-35.221Out
Sep 15RHPCutter92.7105.95.579Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24322001
Sep 22400003
Sep 19400001
Sep 18311001
Sep 17300001
Sep 16100000
Sep 15300001
Sep 12200000
Sep 11411001
Sep 9411001

Two strikes

Tanner Bibee CLE · RHPwith two strikes
Tanner Bibee with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Fastball25%24%11.5%11.3%18.0%
Cutter23%21%25.5%23.5%17.9%
Changeup14%20%20.9%17.7%18.6%
Sinker19%16%3.1%14.5%16.9%
Sweeper8%11%8.0%6.8%19.3%
Curveball12%8%10.5%12.5%20.1%
Kyle Isbel bats Lwith two strikes, vs this hand
Kyle Isbel with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. Little two-strike history vs these shapes
With two strikesHimLeague
K%44.0%41.0%
Whiff%22.3%21.3%
Contact%77.7%78.7%
Chase%43.3%39.6%
wOBA.231.245
Whiff vs his put-away shapes21.7%20.7%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.281
K%22.0%
BB%4.9%
Whiff%8.9%
Barrel%1.3%
Hard-hit%24.2%
Avg EV84.1

Against right-handers, last 90 days

92 PA
wOBA.255
xwOBA vs this mix.248against pitches like his
RV/100-1.73
Hard-hit%23.0%
K%23.8%
BB%4.3%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Tanner BibeeRHP · CLE vs KC
3.7projected strikeouts · likely 1 to 6 · 24.3 batters over 5.7 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 49.3%49%≤34 strikeouts: 19.2%19%45 strikeouts: 14.3%14%56 strikeouts: 8.8%9%67 strikeouts: 4.8%5%78 strikeouts: 2.2%2%89+ strikeouts: 1.4%1%9+book 3.5
Over 3.5: 51% (red bars) · under: 49%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%16.5%
BB%6.8%
Whiff%8.7%
Velo87.0
BTB Stuff96
Location101
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff
Fastball25%7693.96.0%
Cutter23%12185.212.4%
Sinker19%9492.74.3%
Changeup14%10580.616.7%
Curveball12%7878.25.5%
Sweeper8%9881.97.4%
Last 3 startsTrending Down
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 19958%7%40%.518
Sep 139627%16%31%.248
Sep 8625%2%30%.412

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Tanner Bibee CLE · RHPvsKC lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

1 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.6%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameCLE @ KC →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Kyle Isbel: every projection we've made →