MLBengine v14
← CLE at KC, Sep 26, 2026
6:10 PM CT · Kauffman Stadium · lineup projected
Hitter · CLE · batting 7Travis Bazzana
Bats leftTalent grade DBalancedNormal
.323wOBA vs RHP.301xwOBA vs his mix3.5expected PA
Starter · KCMichael Wacha
Throws rightBTB Stuff 88Trending Down
4.3projected K20%K%2.7trips vs this hitter
Michael Wacha's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 28% usage, 93.2 mph, +5.6″ arm side, +17.6″ rise. Travis Bazzana: wOBA .358 vs league .358 (about even).Fastball 28%Changeup: 27% usage, 80.6 mph, +13.3″ arm side, +7.0″ rise. Travis Bazzana: wOBA .278 vs league .278 (about even).Changeup 27%Cutter: 14% usage, 89.6 mph, -1.6″ arm side, +10.2″ rise. Travis Bazzana: wOBA .376 vs league .376 (about even).Cutter 14%Sinker: 13% usage, 93.1 mph, +11.6″ arm side, +14.8″ rise. Travis Bazzana: wOBA .363 vs league .363 (about even).Sinker 13%Curveball: 10% usage, 75.4 mph, -10.2″ arm side, -12.0″ rise. Travis Bazzana: wOBA .314 vs league .314 (about even).Curveball 10%Slider: 8% usage, 84.6 mph, -2.5″ arm side, +2.7″ rise. Travis Bazzana: wOBA .351 vs league .352 (about even).Slider 8%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Travis Bazzana's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Travis Bazzana's last 40 balls in playHit (13)Out (27)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 91.0 mph at -19°Out: 78.9 mph at 41°Single: 67.6 mph at 31°Out: 88.8 mph at -15°Out: 86.8 mph at 24°Out: 96.9 mph at 28°Out: 31.2 mph at -49°Out: 97.5 mph at -6°Out: 90.1 mph at 33°Out: 104.2 mph at -4°Home run: 100.4 mph at 26°Out: 89.3 mph at -7°Out: 90.4 mph at 21°Out: 75.4 mph at -16°Out: 91.1 mph at 64°Out: 54.5 mph at 53°Home run: 98.0 mph at 28°Out: 101.0 mph at -15°Home run: 93.8 mph at 37°Double: 81.3 mph at -10°Out: 91.8 mph at -13°Out: 76.4 mph at -11°Out: 68.4 mph at 54°Single: 90.0 mph at 15°Out: 100.0 mph at 43°Home run: 99.9 mph at 34°Out: 101.6 mph at 8°Out: 60.8 mph at 63°Single: 95.9 mph at -3°Single: 99.3 mph at -2°Single: 100.5 mph at 15°Out: 84.8 mph at 5°Out: 99.1 mph at 19°Home run: 107.5 mph at 22°Out: 95.5 mph at -13°Out: 89.7 mph at 50°Out: 58.5 mph at -37°Out: 93.8 mph at 38°Single: 90.4 mph at -16°Double: 92.0 mph at 14°
38% hit 95+ mph30% in the sweet spot33% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit60.6%57.0%+3.5
2+ total bases33.1%30.2%+2.9
Home run9.2%8.5%+0.8
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+2.7
Pitch mix
+0.8
Bullpen
+0.3
Park
-0.2
2+ total bases
Starter
+2.4
Pitch mix
+0.8
Bullpen
+0.3
Park
-0.6
Home run
Starter
+1.5
Pitch mix
+0.3
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-1.1

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Pitch by pitch

Travis Bazzana against each of Michael Wacha's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball28%93.2+6″ / +18″.358.35814.9%15.5%44About league average vs these
Changeup27%80.6+13″ / +7″.278.27826.5%28.0%15About league average vs these
Cutter14%89.6-2″ / +10″.376.37617.4%17.2%36About league average vs these
Sinker13%93.1+12″ / +15″.363.36315.2%15.9%54About league average vs these
Curveball10%75.4-10″ / -12″.314.31426.5%25.0%4Little history vs this shape
Slider8%84.6-3″ / +3″.351.35227.9%26.5%25About league average vs these
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Travis Bazzana · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G37.000.143.000.100.17242.9%14.3%16.7%91.097.50.0%33.3%33.3%
Last 15 G1136.276.417.759.478.38713.9%16.7%16.9%91.7107.512.5%45.8%33.3%
Last 30 G2681.309.395.603.418.35713.6%9.9%17.8%89.5107.58.5%44.1%35.6%
90 days63207.243.333.418.329.30320.8%10.6%21.3%88.5107.55.1%39.1%32.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 138 balls in play
Ground 42%Line drive 23%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 12%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G310.100.100.100.090.17740.0%0.0%23.1%76.096.90.0%16.7%33.3%
Last 15 G1023.227.261.364.304.18526.1%4.3%18.0%81.5100.50.0%25.0%25.0%
Last 30 G1834.188.235.281.253.20420.6%5.9%14.9%77.1103.94.0%20.0%24.0%
90 days4480.211.300.268.274.26321.2%10.0%12.7%82.1103.93.7%25.9%24.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 54 balls in play
Ground 43%Line drive 15%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 20%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G517.062.118.062.094.17541.2%5.9%20.5%81.097.50.0%22.2%33.3%
Last 15 G1559.255.356.588.410.30818.6%11.9%17.4%87.6107.57.5%37.5%30.0%
Last 30 G30115.270.348.500.369.31215.7%8.7%16.9%85.8107.57.1%36.9%32.1%
90 days70287.234.324.375.314.29220.9%10.5%19.0%86.7107.54.7%35.4%30.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 192 balls in play
Ground 42%Line drive 21%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 14%
Travis Bazzana · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating25Below average
Last 100 pitches2trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.311 / .290running 21 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases5/12
Home run3/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24LHPCurveball75.891.0-19.106Out
Sep 24LHPSlider86.778.941.075Out
Sep 22LHPSinker94.967.631.859Single
Sep 20RHPChangeup88.588.8-15.103Double play
Sep 20RHPSinker96.686.824.157Out
Sep 19LHPCutter84.396.928.399Out
Sep 19LHPSlider74.831.2-49.277Out
Sep 19RHPCutter89.197.5-6.247Out
Sep 19LHPFastball92.090.133.056Out
Sep 18RHPFastball95.9104.2-4.369Double play
Sep 18RHPFastball95.4100.426.840Home run
Sep 18RHPChangeup90.589.3-7.140Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24300001
Sep 23300012
Sep 22411003
Sep 20300001
Sep 19400000
Sep 18414110
Sep 16400000
Sep 15428201
Sep 14412000
Sep 13525110

Two strikes

Michael Wacha KC · RHPwith two strikes
Michael Wacha with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Changeup27%35%21.2%18.2%18.6%
Fastball28%29%9.4%14.0%18.0%
Sinker13%16%7.7%11.3%16.9%
Slider8%7%43.8%21.2%21.0%
Curveball10%7%14.3%9.4%20.1%
Cutter14%6%7.7%19.2%17.9%
Other0%0%–100.0%21.7%
Travis Bazzana bats Lwith two strikes, vs this hand
Travis Bazzana with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. About league average vs his two-strike stuff
With two strikesHimLeague
K%37.3%41.0%
Whiff%19.3%21.3%
Contact%80.7%78.7%
Chase%35.1%39.6%
wOBA.262.245
Whiff vs his put-away shapes16.7%18.5%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeDBalanced type
wOBA.313
K%21.5%
BB%10.1%
Whiff%9.1%
Barrel%3.6%
Hard-hit%24.3%
Avg EV87.1

Against right-handers, last 90 days

204 PA
wOBA.323
xwOBA vs this mix.301against pitches like his
RV/1000.14
Hard-hit%26.2%
K%21.3%
BB%10.5%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Michael WachaRHP · KC vs CLE
4.3projected strikeouts · likely 2 to 7 · 24.9 batters over 5.8 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 37.7%38%≤34 strikeouts: 19.3%19%45 strikeouts: 16.5%16%56 strikeouts: 11.9%12%67 strikeouts: 7.3%7%78 strikeouts: 4.0%4%89+ strikeouts: 3.3%3%9+book 4.5
Over 4.5: 43% (red bars) · under: 57%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%20.1%
BB%6.6%
Whiff%9.3%
Velo86.9
BTB Stuff88
Location101
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff
Fastball28%9293.27.2%
Changeup27%9480.614.2%
Cutter14%9089.87.9%
Sinker13%8193.24.1%
Curveball10%6875.66.8%
Slider8%8184.514.3%
Other0%––0.0%
Last 3 startsTrending Down
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 2011419%11%27%.350
Sep 15998%5%38%.346
Sep 89317%7%13%.229

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Michael Wacha KC · RHPvsCLE lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

2 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.6%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameCLE @ KC →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Travis Bazzana: every projection we've made →