MLBengine v14
← CLE at KC, Sep 26, 2026
6:10 PM CT · Kauffman Stadium · lineup projected
Hitter · KC · batting 3Vinnie Pasquantino
Bats leftTalent grade APowerNormal
.369wOBA vs RHP.363xwOBA vs his mix3.8expected PA
Starter · CLETanner Bibee
Throws rightBTB Stuff 96Trending Down
3.7projected K17%K%2.7trips vs this hitter
Tanner Bibee's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 25% usage, 93.9 mph, +4.2″ arm side, +14.8″ rise. Vinnie Pasquantino: wOBA .372 vs league .361 (about even).Fastball 25%Cutter: 23% usage, 85.1 mph, -7.0″ arm side, +0.1″ rise. Vinnie Pasquantino: wOBA .331 vs league .320 (about even).Cutter 23%Sinker: 19% usage, 92.7 mph, +14.5″ arm side, +7.9″ rise. Vinnie Pasquantino: wOBA .365 vs league .354 (about even).Sinker 19%Changeup: 14% usage, 80.6 mph, +11.5″ arm side, +11.5″ rise. Vinnie Pasquantino: wOBA .294 vs league .283 (about even).Changeup 14%Curveball: 12% usage, 78.1 mph, -13.8″ arm side, -8.2″ rise. Vinnie Pasquantino: wOBA .325 vs league .314 (about even).Curveball 12%Sweeper: 8% usage, 82.0 mph, -16.6″ arm side, -1.7″ rise. Vinnie Pasquantino: wOBA .325 vs league .315 (about even).Sweeper 8%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Vinnie Pasquantino's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Vinnie Pasquantino's last 40 balls in playHit (13)Out (27)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 94.7 mph at 44°Out: 90.7 mph at 41°Out: 91.1 mph at 70°Out: 97.5 mph at 11°Out: 90.6 mph at 42°Out: 89.6 mph at 29°Out: 79.4 mph at -34°Double: 90.0 mph at 11°Single: 103.4 mph at 9°Out: 93.0 mph at 39°Home run: 104.5 mph at 32°Double: 91.6 mph at 10°Out: 99.9 mph at -8°Home run: 99.3 mph at 29°Single: 96.5 mph at 13°Single: 98.8 mph at 1°Out: 79.6 mph at 6°Out: 83.8 mph at 59°Single: 102.5 mph at 11°Out: 74.6 mph at -21°Home run: 106.7 mph at 25°Out: 85.1 mph at 28°Out: 102.1 mph at 19°Out: 92.7 mph at 37°Out: 93.0 mph at 53°Home run: 104.0 mph at 21°Out: 101.2 mph at 30°Out: 94.6 mph at 34°Double: 105.7 mph at 19°Out: 58.4 mph at 7°Out: 80.4 mph at -20°Single: 102.4 mph at 5°Out: 79.4 mph at 1°Out: 103.1 mph at 15°Out: 105.0 mph at -1°Double: 102.0 mph at 22°Out: 92.8 mph at 46°Out: 74.7 mph at 30°Out: 98.1 mph at 18°Out: 88.3 mph at 59°
45% hit 95+ mph48% in the sweet spot33% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit70.6%68.7%+1.9
2+ total bases45.7%44.4%+1.2
Home run15.1%16.1%-1.0
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+2.0
Pitch mix
+0.6
Bullpen
-0.3
Park
-0.4
2+ total bases
Starter
+1.9
Pitch mix
+0.7
Bullpen
-0.4
Park
-1.0
Home run
Starter
+0.8
Pitch mix
+0.4
Bullpen
-0.4
Park
-1.8

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Pitch by pitch

Vinnie Pasquantino against each of Tanner Bibee's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball25%93.9+4″ / +15″.372.3618.7%14.8%34About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Cutter23%85.1-7″ / +0″.331.32018.1%28.1%17About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Sinker19%92.7+15″ / +8″.365.3548.3%14.0%31About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Changeup14%80.6+12″ / +12″.294.28320.6%30.2%11About league average vs these
Curveball12%78.1-14″ / -8″.325.31422.9%30.2%7Little history vs this shape
Sweeper8%82.0-17″ / -2″.325.31517.6%23.8%6Little history vs this shape
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Vinnie Pasquantino · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G511.455.4551.091.641.4629.1%0.0%12.5%95.5104.520.0%50.0%50.0%
Last 15 G1440.306.375.694.445.44415.0%10.0%12.3%95.2106.720.0%53.3%50.0%
Last 30 G2987.260.345.571.388.38911.5%10.3%13.9%92.6108.914.9%47.8%35.8%
90 days42131.270.359.496.374.37212.2%10.7%13.7%92.9108.911.2%50.0%33.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 98 balls in play
Ground 36%Line drive 20%Fly ball 29%Pop-up 15%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G37.286.286.429.307.2750.0%0.0%0.0%90.7103.40.0%28.6%42.9%
Last 15 G1019.294.316.588.368.29510.5%5.3%5.6%88.7105.712.5%25.0%43.8%
Last 30 G1937.312.378.625.416.3845.4%10.8%8.8%91.7107.516.1%41.9%41.9%
90 days2447.310.362.571.393.34610.6%8.5%12.5%91.1107.513.2%42.1%39.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 38 balls in play
Ground 34%Line drive 24%Fly ball 34%Pop-up 8%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G518.389.389.833.511.3895.6%0.0%7.9%93.5104.511.8%41.2%47.1%
Last 15 G1559.302.356.660.420.39613.6%8.5%10.3%93.0106.717.4%43.5%47.8%
Last 30 G30124.275.355.587.396.3879.7%10.5%12.4%92.4108.915.3%45.9%37.8%
90 days43178.280.360.516.379.36511.8%10.1%13.4%92.4108.911.8%47.8%35.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 136 balls in play
Ground 35%Line drive 21%Fly ball 30%Pop-up 13%
Vinnie Pasquantino · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating94Top tier
Last 100 pitches100trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.381 / .382results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases7/12
Home run4/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPCurveball83.694.744.031Out
Sep 24RHPSweeper86.990.741.017Out
Sep 24RHPFastball96.291.170.003Out
Sep 24RHPFastball91.697.511.838Out
Sep 23RHPSweeper83.690.642.018Out
Sep 23LHPFastball92.989.629.055Out
Sep 23LHPFastball95.879.4-34.040Force out
Sep 23LHPFastball91.990.011.606Double
Sep 22LHPSinker95.3103.49.684Single
Sep 22LHPSinker95.493.039.074Out
Sep 22RHPSlider83.9104.5321.451Home run
Sep 22RHPChangeup78.591.610.605Double
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24400000
Sep 23412000
Sep 22537100
Sep 20114100
Sep 19422001
Sep 18425100
Sep 16500010
Sep 15314102
Sep 13100000
Sep 12412001

Two strikes

Tanner Bibee CLE · RHPwith two strikes
Tanner Bibee with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Fastball25%24%11.5%11.3%18.0%
Cutter23%21%25.5%23.5%17.9%
Changeup14%20%20.9%17.7%18.6%
Sinker19%16%3.1%14.5%16.9%
Sweeper8%11%8.0%6.8%19.3%
Curveball12%8%10.5%12.5%20.1%
Vinnie Pasquantino bats Lwith two strikes, vs this hand
Vinnie Pasquantino with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. Makes contact on his two-strike stuff more than most
With two strikesHimLeague
K%35.0%41.0%
Whiff%18.2%21.3%
Contact%81.8%78.7%
Chase%37.1%39.6%
wOBA.260.245
Whiff vs his put-away shapes17.7%20.7%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeAPower type
wOBA.364
K%13.1%
BB%9.0%
Whiff%7.3%
Barrel%8.2%
Hard-hit%35.3%
Avg EV91.8

Against right-handers, last 90 days

131 PA
wOBA.369
xwOBA vs this mix.363against pitches like his
RV/1000.94
Hard-hit%36.2%
K%13.2%
BB%10.0%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Tanner BibeeRHP · CLE vs KC
3.7projected strikeouts · likely 1 to 6 · 24.3 batters over 5.7 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 49.3%49%≤34 strikeouts: 19.2%19%45 strikeouts: 14.3%14%56 strikeouts: 8.8%9%67 strikeouts: 4.8%5%78 strikeouts: 2.2%2%89+ strikeouts: 1.4%1%9+book 3.5
Over 3.5: 51% (red bars) · under: 49%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%16.5%
BB%6.8%
Whiff%8.7%
Velo87.0
BTB Stuff96
Location101
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff
Fastball25%7693.96.0%
Cutter23%12185.212.4%
Sinker19%9492.74.3%
Changeup14%10580.616.7%
Curveball12%7878.25.5%
Sweeper8%9881.97.4%
Last 3 startsTrending Down
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 19958%7%40%.518
Sep 139627%16%31%.248
Sep 8625%2%30%.412

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Tanner Bibee CLE · RHPvsKC lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

1 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.6%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameCLE @ KC →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Vinnie Pasquantino: every projection we've made →