MLBengine v14
← LAA at SEA, Sep 26, 2026
8:40 PM CT · T-Mobile Park · lineup projected
Hitter · LAA · batting 6Denzer Guzman
Bats rightTalent grade FBalancedHot
.270wOBA vs LHP.272xwOBA vs his mix3.6expected PA
Starter · SEAKade Anderson
Throws leftBTB Stuff 97Trending Up
5.4projected K21%K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Kade Anderson's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 41% usage, 93.5 mph, +7.1″ arm side, +16.0″ rise. Denzer Guzman: wOBA .336 vs league .347 (about even).Fastball 41%Slider: 24% usage, 87.9 mph, -4.3″ arm side, -1.1″ rise. Denzer Guzman: wOBA .288 vs league .299 (about even).Slider 24%Changeup: 18% usage, 84.8 mph, +12.6″ arm side, +8.3″ rise. Denzer Guzman: wOBA .292 vs league .303 (about even).Changeup 18%Curveball: 16% usage, 81.8 mph, -7.8″ arm side, -10.0″ rise. Denzer Guzman: wOBA .284 vs league .295 (about even).Curveball 16%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Denzer Guzman's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Denzer Guzman's last 40 balls in playHit (12)Out (28)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 56.8 mph at 63°Out: 103.0 mph at -9°Out: 87.4 mph at 25°Out: 84.6 mph at 32°Home run: 98.8 mph at 33°Out: 62.8 mph at -12°Out: 98.7 mph at -17°Out: 97.1 mph at 25°Out: 97.1 mph at -28°Out: 84.4 mph at 45°Single: 82.4 mph at 20°Out: 50.9 mph at 43°Out: 107.6 mph at 3°Out: 102.0 mph at 37°Out: 90.3 mph at 26°Out: 73.9 mph at 57°Out: 89.8 mph at 19°Out: 105.5 mph at 14°Out: 94.2 mph at -5°Single: 99.3 mph at 1°Out: 85.3 mph at -9°Single: 89.1 mph at 9°Single: 105.3 mph at 1°Single: 89.2 mph at -24°Single: 81.5 mph at 26°Out: 82.0 mph at 1°Out: 87.1 mph at 53°Out: 48.0 mph at 41°Single: 105.4 mph at 13°Out: 102.5 mph at -14°Out: 75.0 mph at -13°Out: 95.6 mph at 42°Out: 71.3 mph at -1°Double: 96.4 mph at 12°Out: 84.6 mph at 25°Out: 71.4 mph at 11°Home run: 103.7 mph at 27°Single: 103.8 mph at -12°Out: 90.9 mph at 56°Single: 104.4 mph at 8°
43% hit 95+ mph38% in the sweet spot30% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit53.4%54.4%-1.1
2+ total bases27.1%28.0%-0.9
Home run7.8%7.6%+0.2
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+0.9
Pitch mix
-1.2
Bullpen
+0.4
Park
-1.1
2+ total bases
Starter
+0.8
Pitch mix
-1.1
Bullpen
+0.3
Park
-1.0
Home run
Starter
+0.5
Pitch mix
-0.4
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-0.0

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Pitch by pitch

Denzer Guzman against each of Kade Anderson's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball41%93.5+7″ / +16″.336.34722.6%17.7%27About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Slider24%87.9-4″ / -1″.288.29930.8%30.5%9About league average vs these
Changeup18%84.8+13″ / +8″.292.30338.7%31.1%15About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Curveball16%81.8-8″ / -10″.284.29529.1%28.9%5Little history vs this shape
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on left-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Denzer Guzman · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G49.125.222.500.300.25033.3%11.1%22.7%90.7107.60.0%60.0%40.0%
Last 15 G1430.250.300.500.342.29726.7%6.7%20.3%87.3107.65.0%50.0%35.0%
Last 30 G2651.213.275.447.310.28823.5%7.8%24.1%86.8110.28.6%42.9%34.3%
90 days4385.179.247.359.266.27027.1%8.2%28.7%85.0110.27.3%32.7%36.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 55 balls in play
Ground 42%Line drive 20%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 14%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G513.100.308.100.231.27315.4%23.1%32.4%82.2103.00.0%37.5%25.0%
Last 15 G1332.207.281.207.234.24521.9%9.4%26.0%87.8105.50.0%31.8%36.4%
Last 30 G2459.182.224.218.207.23232.2%5.1%30.5%86.2107.60.0%35.1%40.5%
90 days52141.218.246.271.250.24127.7%2.8%22.3%85.2109.91.0%30.2%37.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 96 balls in play
Ground 50%Line drive 23%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 6%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G522.111.273.278.259.26422.7%18.2%28.6%85.5107.60.0%46.2%30.8%
Last 15 G1562.228.290.351.286.27024.2%8.1%23.4%87.6107.62.4%40.5%35.7%
Last 30 G30110.196.248.324.255.25828.2%6.4%27.6%86.5110.24.2%38.9%37.5%
90 days61226.204.247.303.256.25227.4%4.9%24.7%85.1110.23.3%31.1%37.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 151 balls in play
Ground 47%Line drive 22%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 9%
Denzer Guzman · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormHot
Contact rating8Bottom tier
Last 100 pitches16trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.253 / .258results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit6/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPSinker95.056.863.003Out
Sep 24RHPCurveball84.5103.0-9.283Out
Sep 23LHPFastball90.387.425.090Out
Sep 23RHPFastball96.284.632.010Out
Sep 22LHPFastball92.198.833.536Home run
Sep 22LHPFastball91.962.8-12.058Out
Sep 22RHPSinker95.198.7-17.173Double play
Sep 22LHPFastball92.297.125.387Out
Sep 20RHPSplitter79.997.1-28.103Out
Sep 19RHPSweeper81.184.445.022Out
Sep 19RHPSinker92.482.420.816Single
Sep 19RHPFastball94.750.943.046Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24500012
Sep 23400002
Sep 22514110
Sep 20300011
Sep 19511010
Sep 18400000
Sep 17411001
Sep 16544000
Sep 15400003
Sep 14411000

Two strikes

Kade Anderson SEA · LHPwith two strikes
Kade Anderson with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Slider24%33%26.7%20.8%21.6%
Fastball41%32%22.6%19.1%18.6%
Changeup18%23%19.0%11.8%18.3%
Curveball16%12%20.0%29.4%21.3%
Sinker2%1%0.0%0.0%17.7%
Denzer Guzman bats Rwith two strikes, vs this hand
Denzer Guzman with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. Misses his two-strike stuff more than most
With two strikesHimLeague
K%45.2%41.6%
Whiff%26.5%21.7%
Contact%73.5%78.3%
Chase%36.1%40.0%
wOBA.231.245
Whiff vs his put-away shapes29.1%24.0%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.269
K%28.0%
BB%5.2%
Whiff%12.7%
Barrel%3.4%
Hard-hit%21.5%
Avg EV85.5

Against left-handers, last 90 days

85 PA
wOBA.270
xwOBA vs this mix.272against pitches like his
RV/100-0.80
Hard-hit%21.6%
K%26.7%
BB%5.0%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Kade AndersonLHP · SEA vs LAA
5.4projected strikeouts · likely 3 to 9 · 21.4 batters over 5.1 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 21.0%21%≤34 strikeouts: 15.7%16%45 strikeouts: 17.2%17%56 strikeouts: 15.5%16%67 strikeouts: 12.1%12%78 strikeouts: 8.2%8%89+ strikeouts: 10.3%10%9+book 5.5
Over 5.5: 46% (red bars) · under: 54%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%21.4%
BB%6.1%
Whiff%12.7%
Velo88.6
BTB Stuff97
Location101
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff
Fastball41%9093.410.8%
Slider24%10987.812.8%
Changeup18%9684.518.4%
Curveball16%9781.910.5%
Sinker2%10793.014.3%
Last 3 startsTrending Up
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 208429%17%38%.142
Sep 147225%14%35%.368
Sep 98121%12%42%.300

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Kade Anderson SEA · LHPvsLAA lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

3 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against left-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.6%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameLAA @ SEA →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Denzer Guzman: every projection we've made →