MLBengine v14
← PIT at DET, Sep 26, 2026
12:10 PM CT · Comerica Park · lineup projected
Hitter · DET · batting 3Ben Malgeri
Bats rightTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix3.8expected PA
Starter · PITTBD
Stable
4.3projected K–K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Ben Malgeri's last 40 balls in playHit (14)Out (26)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 103.8 mph at -23°Single: 76.9 mph at 13°Home run: 100.5 mph at 30°Out: 83.4 mph at 43°Out: 93.1 mph at -15°Out: 70.1 mph at -46°Out: 92.2 mph at 39°Double: 80.0 mph at 8°Out: 84.5 mph at -7°Double: 105.0 mph at 19°Home run: 99.9 mph at 25°Out: 61.8 mph at 51°Out: 94.4 mph at 37°Out: 83.4 mph at -21°Single: 89.4 mph at -4°Out: 85.5 mph at -11°Out: 82.4 mph at -13°Out: 92.5 mph at -22°Out: 69.5 mph at 36°Out: 70.6 mph at -2°Double: 102.6 mph at 12°Single: 76.1 mph at 20°Single: 101.8 mph at 11°Out: 89.8 mph at -2°Out: 102.0 mph at 4°Single: 106.2 mph at 5°Out: 101.1 mph at 41°Single: 101.9 mph at 16°Single: 73.9 mph at 22°Out: 97.2 mph at 26°Single: 104.2 mph at 3°Out: 67.8 mph at -20°Out: 95.2 mph at 43°Single: 82.3 mph at 18°Out: 94.6 mph at 17°Out: 85.3 mph at -34°Out: 103.9 mph at -25°Out: 92.4 mph at 41°Out: 104.3 mph at 15°Out: 106.5 mph at 5°
40% hit 95+ mph35% in the sweet spot35% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit57.3%57.7%-0.4
2+ total bases32.8%33.2%-0.4
Home run9.7%9.8%-0.1
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.5
Park
+0.0
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.5
Park
+0.1
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.2
Park
+0.1

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Ben Malgeri · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G48.333.500.833.537.35525.0%12.5%26.7%93.2103.825.0%50.0%50.0%
Last 15 G1020.188.350.375.330.30930.0%15.0%28.6%84.9103.810.0%20.0%30.0%
Last 30 G1936.290.389.581.414.34830.6%11.1%27.9%89.9105.715.0%35.0%50.0%
90 days3153.289.396.556.426.36422.6%13.2%24.0%90.1105.712.1%39.4%45.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 33 balls in play
Ground 39%Line drive 27%Fly ball 30%Pop-up 3%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G59.333.333.889.500.3120.0%0.0%0.0%85.9105.022.2%22.2%33.3%
Last 15 G1524.318.375.591.410.33420.8%8.3%12.9%91.1106.211.8%41.2%29.4%
Last 30 G2848.186.271.326.286.29129.2%8.3%21.9%90.6106.56.9%44.8%31.0%
90 days4376.215.329.338.316.28826.3%13.2%23.8%89.3106.54.4%42.2%31.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 45 balls in play
Ground 49%Line drive 22%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 7%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G517.333.412.867.518.33211.8%5.9%15.4%88.1105.023.1%30.8%38.5%
Last 15 G1544.263.364.500.374.32325.0%11.4%21.2%88.8106.211.1%33.3%29.6%
Last 30 G3084.230.321.432.341.31629.8%9.5%24.8%90.3106.510.2%40.8%38.8%
90 days47129.245.357.427.362.31924.8%13.2%23.9%89.6106.57.7%41.0%37.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 78 balls in play
Ground 45%Line drive 24%Fly ball 26%Pop-up 5%
Ben Malgeri · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating51Average
Last 100 pitches19trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.349 / .318running 31 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit4/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run2/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 23RHPSinker95.2103.8-23.179Out
Sep 23RHPSinker99.476.913.460Single
Sep 23LHPCurveball80.6100.5301.090Home run
Sep 23LHPFastball89.883.443.017Out
Sep 23LHPFastball93.493.1-15.209Out
Sep 22LHPSlider85.770.1-46.183Force out
Sep 22RHPSlider84.392.239.039Out
Sep 22LHPChangeup83.080.08.283Double
Sep 21LHPFastball93.584.5-7.149Out
Sep 21LHPSlider87.2105.019.717Double
Sep 21RHPSplitter86.299.925.733Home run
Sep 19LHPCutter93.061.851.049Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 23525100
Sep 22312000
Sep 21426101
Sep 19400011
Sep 18100000
Sep 17100000
Sep 15111000
Sep 12200011
Sep 9400001
Sep 8200010

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–

Against right-handers, last 90 days

0 PA
wOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces

Starter not announced.

The rest of the gamePIT @ DET →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Ben Malgeri: every projection we've made →