← PIT at DET, Sep 26, 2026
12:10 PM CT · Comerica Park · lineup projected
Hitter · DET · batting 5Dillon Dingler
Bats rightTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix3.7expected PA
Starter · PITTBD
Stable
4.3projected K–K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Dillon Dingler's last 40 balls in playHit (11)Out (29)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 73.0 mph at 48°Out: 98.2 mph at 65°Out: 104.0 mph at 9°Double: 100.8 mph at 23°Single: 95.4 mph at -1°Out: 99.9 mph at 31°Out: 98.6 mph at 6°Single: 95.7 mph at 5°Single: 79.2 mph at 19°Double: 104.1 mph at 18°Out: 100.4 mph at 9°Out: 88.8 mph at 8°Out: 100.4 mph at 2°Out: 79.5 mph at 65°Out: 94.9 mph at -20°Out: 97.4 mph at 35°Out: 84.4 mph at -31°Single: 78.1 mph at 20°Out: 93.0 mph at -2°Out: 76.3 mph at -22°Out: 86.8 mph at 26°Out: 84.3 mph at 28°Out: 86.7 mph at -15°Home run: 107.4 mph at 25°Out: 88.9 mph at 1°Out: 74.7 mph at 37°Single: 88.2 mph at 19°Out: 69.0 mph at 13°Out: 95.8 mph at -17°Out: 97.9 mph at 34°Single: 72.6 mph at 39°Out: 91.5 mph at 27°Out: 96.3 mph at -17°Out: 90.5 mph at 36°Out: 98.2 mph at 0°Double: 103.5 mph at 14°Out: 86.9 mph at -27°Single: 97.5 mph at -3°Out: 104.8 mph at 55°Out: 47.5 mph at 21°
48% hit 95+ mph40% in the sweet spot28% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit61.3%61.7%-0.4
2+ total bases34.3%34.7%-0.5
Home run10.0%10.1%-0.1
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.5
Park
+0.0
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.5
Park
+0.1
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.2
Park
+0.1

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Dillon Dingler · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G511.364.364.545.391.4789.1%0.0%27.3%95.7104.110.0%80.0%50.0%
Last 15 G1541.231.220.359.241.28324.4%0.0%25.3%89.8107.46.5%45.2%38.7%
Last 30 G2879.194.241.278.231.29022.8%3.8%23.1%87.1107.45.4%39.3%37.5%
90 days62193.229.290.417.311.30321.2%4.1%20.3%86.3109.36.6%34.6%37.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 136 balls in play
Ground 36%Line drive 21%Fly ball 32%Pop-up 11%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G48.167.375.167.288.38237.5%25.0%25.0%93.8104.00.0%66.7%66.7%
Last 15 G918.125.222.188.197.25333.3%11.1%19.4%92.2104.80.0%50.0%40.0%
Last 30 G1939.135.179.162.160.21138.5%5.1%26.7%89.0108.70.0%50.0%45.5%
90 days4692.195.228.230.218.24631.5%3.3%20.9%87.1108.71.7%37.3%33.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 59 balls in play
Ground 37%Line drive 24%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 15%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G519.294.368.412.347.43721.1%10.5%26.3%95.3104.17.7%76.9%53.8%
Last 15 G1559.200.220.309.228.27427.1%3.4%23.5%90.4107.44.9%46.3%39.0%
Last 30 G30118.174.220.239.208.26428.0%4.2%24.5%87.6108.73.8%42.3%39.7%
90 days68285.218.270.355.281.28524.6%3.9%20.5%86.5109.35.1%35.4%36.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 195 balls in play
Ground 36%Line drive 22%Fly ball 29%Pop-up 12%
Dillon Dingler · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating36Below average
Last 100 pitches99trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.285 / .302running 18 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 23RHPSlider85.873.048.121Out
Sep 23LHPFastball91.098.265.017Out
Sep 23LHPChangeup81.9104.09.738Out
Sep 21RHPFastball97.6100.823.794Double
Sep 21RHPSlider84.195.4-1.271Single
Sep 19RHPSlider86.299.931.864Out
Sep 19RHPCurveball77.298.66.549Out
Sep 19RHPFastball93.695.75.450Single
Sep 18LHPFastball91.879.219.901Single
Sep 17RHPSinker93.2104.118.608Double
Sep 17RHPSweeper83.4100.49.676Out
Sep 17RHPSinker95.088.88.492Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 23400010
Sep 21423011
Sep 19411001
Sep 18311002
Sep 17412000
Sep 16400000
Sep 14411002
Sep 13400001
Sep 11414102
Sep 9411001

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–

Against right-handers, last 90 days

0 PA
wOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces

Starter not announced.

The rest of the gamePIT @ DET →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Dillon Dingler: every projection we've made →