33% hit 95+ mph35% in the sweet spot40% fell for hits
| Market | BTB | Without the matchup | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ hit | 61.6% | 61.9% | -0.3 |
| 2+ total bases | 31.8% | 32.0% | -0.1 |
| Home run | 7.9% | 7.8% | +0.1 |
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen-0.3
Park+0.0
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen-0.2
Park+0.1
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen+0.0
Park+0.1
Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.
Statcast
opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonightMax Clark · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 13 | .111 | .308 | .111 | .231 | .470 | 0.0% | 23.1% | 5.6% | 93.0 | 106.7 | 20.0% | 40.0% | 20.0% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 45 | .265 | .422 | .441 | .383 | .358 | 11.1% | 17.8% | 8.3% | 90.5 | 106.7 | 6.7% | 40.0% | 26.7% |
| Last 30 G | 28 | 75 | .200 | .347 | .317 | .308 | .340 | 20.0% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 90.0 | 106.7 | 4.3% | 45.7% | 34.8% |
| 90 days | 46 | 128 | .234 | .328 | .360 | .309 | .312 | 21.1% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 88.1 | 106.7 | 2.4% | 37.6% | 37.6% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 85 balls in play
Ground 37%Line drive 21%Fly ball 28%Pop-up 14%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 4 | 8 | .667 | .714 | .833 | .693 | .487 | 12.5% | 12.5% | 0.0% | 71.2 | 95.5 | 0.0% | 16.7% | 66.7% |
| Last 15 G | 10 | 17 | .533 | .562 | .600 | .528 | .378 | 17.6% | 5.9% | 12.5% | 75.3 | 103.4 | 0.0% | 23.1% | 53.8% |
| Last 30 G | 20 | 42 | .444 | .487 | .694 | .538 | .413 | 11.9% | 4.8% | 10.0% | 79.7 | 105.0 | 0.0% | 32.4% | 35.3% |
| 90 days | 33 | 64 | .382 | .443 | .600 | .470 | .386 | 15.6% | 7.8% | 13.2% | 81.0 | 105.0 | 2.1% | 37.5% | 35.4% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 48 balls in play
Ground 52%Line drive 25%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 2%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 21 | .333 | .450 | .400 | .392 | .476 | 4.8% | 19.0% | 3.4% | 84.8 | 106.7 | 12.5% | 31.2% | 37.5% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 62 | .347 | .459 | .490 | .421 | .363 | 12.9% | 14.5% | 9.5% | 85.9 | 106.7 | 4.7% | 34.9% | 34.9% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 117 | .292 | .395 | .458 | .388 | .365 | 17.1% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 85.6 | 106.7 | 2.5% | 40.0% | 35.0% |
| 90 days | 48 | 192 | .283 | .365 | .440 | .361 | .336 | 19.3% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 85.5 | 106.7 | 2.3% | 37.6% | 36.8% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 133 balls in play
Ground 42%Line drive 23%Fly ball 26%Pop-up 10%
xwOBA74.336
Avg EV2485.5
Max EV17106.7
Barrel%112.3%
Hard-hit%4437.6%
Sweet-spot%6236.8%
K%6619.3%
BB%639.4%
Whiff%9113.3%
Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.
FormNormal
Contact rating63Average
Last 100 pitches97trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.351 / .329running 22 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit11/12
2+ total bases6/12
Home run1/12
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
Recent contact
| Date | Pitcher | Pitch | Velo | EV | LA | xwOBA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | RHP | Sweeper | 83.8 | 93.3 | -10 | .244 | Double play |
| Sep 23 | LHP | Fastball | 90.7 | 64.6 | 14 | .229 | Double |
| Sep 23 | LHP | Sinker | 90.0 | 31.8 | 11 | – | Sac bunt |
| Sep 22 | LHP | Slider | 85.4 | 89.2 | 12 | .751 | Single |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Fastball | 96.5 | 71.0 | 27 | .873 | Single |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Slider | 90.1 | 106.7 | 1 | .516 | Out |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Slider | 84.1 | 101.8 | 33 | 1.116 | Sac fly |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Changeup | 89.8 | 100.7 | -31 | .078 | Force out |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Fastball | 96.6 | 89.8 | 67 | .015 | Out |
| Sep 19 | RHP | Curveball | 75.3 | 93.9 | -13 | .147 | Out |
| Sep 19 | LHP | Sweeper | 83.0 | 68.5 | 37 | .667 | Single |
| Sep 19 | RHP | Fastball | 94.0 | 90.9 | -5 | .185 | Double play |
Total bases, last 10 games★ home run
| Date | PA | H | TB | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 22 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 19 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 18 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 17 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 16 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 15 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 14 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
The hitter
season-level talent readTalent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–
Against right-handers, last 90 days
0 PAwOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–
Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.
The starter he faces
Starter not announced.
The rest of the gamePIT @ DET →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Max Clark: every projection we've made →