← TB at PHI, Sep 26, 2026
6:15 PM CT · Citizens Bank Park · lineup projected
Hitter · TB · batting 6Jonny DeLuca
Bats rightTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix3.6expected PA
Starter · PHITBD
Stable
4.3projected K–K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Jonny DeLuca's last 40 balls in playHit (14)Out (26)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Single: 107.5 mph at 5°Out: 57.8 mph at -58°Double: 74.7 mph at 48°Single: 108.4 mph at -8°Single: 95.4 mph at 8°Out: 89.3 mph at -11°Out: 94.7 mph at 0°Double: 105.4 mph at 7°Out: 92.2 mph at -18°Double: 106.3 mph at 8°Out: 93.8 mph at 69°Out: 72.2 mph at 67°Out: 81.1 mph at 75°Out: 84.4 mph at -9°Out: 91.9 mph at 35°Single: 108.4 mph at -5°Double: 106.0 mph at 4°Out: 73.6 mph at -53°Out: 49.6 mph at 74°Out: 57.3 mph at 41°Out: 91.8 mph at 22°Single: 87.6 mph at 10°Single: 108.6 mph at -7°Single: 72.3 mph at 28°Out: 81.2 mph at 33°Single: 87.5 mph at 9°Out: 96.9 mph at 42°Out: 88.0 mph at 32°Out: 100.8 mph at -7°Out: 71.2 mph at -5°Out: 71.1 mph at 52°Single: 106.8 mph at 9°Out: 104.4 mph at 2°Single: 87.8 mph at 9°Out: 77.2 mph at 35°Out: 51.4 mph at 50°Out: 70.6 mph at 55°Out: 83.7 mph at -11°Out: 91.8 mph at 40°Out: 31.3 mph at -28°
30% hit 95+ mph23% in the sweet spot35% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit59.7%59.2%+0.5
2+ total bases30.8%30.1%+0.8
Home run7.2%6.5%+0.8
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.1
Park
+0.6
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.1
Park
+0.9
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.0
Park
+0.8

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Jonny DeLuca · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G49.571.667.857.633.33933.3%22.2%15.8%99.0108.40.0%75.0%0.0%
Last 15 G1329.231.310.308.345.22517.2%10.3%15.4%84.7108.60.0%33.3%9.5%
Last 30 G2662.263.323.386.358.22619.4%8.1%18.6%86.1111.10.0%28.9%17.8%
90 days47117.259.316.463.360.26221.4%7.7%21.3%85.7111.13.6%32.5%26.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 83 balls in play
Ground 41%Line drive 21%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 16%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G511.182.182.273.195.19145.5%0.0%26.1%89.3106.30.0%33.3%33.3%
Last 15 G1126.308.308.385.304.22934.6%0.0%20.8%88.8108.40.0%29.4%41.2%
Last 30 G2245.273.273.341.294.19928.9%0.0%19.3%87.8108.40.0%31.2%25.0%
90 days4491.270.278.315.276.22523.1%1.1%20.2%84.2108.40.0%27.5%27.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 69 balls in play
Ground 54%Line drive 16%Fly ball 16%Pop-up 14%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G520.333.400.500.392.25840.0%10.0%21.4%93.2108.40.0%50.0%20.0%
Last 15 G1555.269.309.346.325.22725.5%5.5%18.0%86.6108.60.0%31.6%23.7%
Last 30 G30107.267.302.366.332.21523.4%4.7%18.9%86.8111.10.0%29.9%20.8%
90 days58208.264.300.396.323.24622.1%4.8%20.8%85.0111.12.0%30.3%27.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 152 balls in play
Ground 47%Line drive 18%Fly ball 20%Pop-up 15%
Jonny DeLuca · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating8Bottom tier
Last 100 pitches0trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.319 / .257running 63 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases5/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPSinker90.5107.55.590Single
Sep 24LHPSinker88.957.8-58.227Force out
Sep 23RHPFastball96.974.748.095Double
Sep 23RHPSinker95.2108.4-8.391Single
Sep 23LHPFastball92.495.48.576Single
Sep 22LHPFastball93.989.3-11.141Out
Sep 22LHPChangeup82.794.70.398Double play
Sep 22RHPFastball92.6105.47.581Double
Sep 20LHPFastball91.192.2-18.134Out
Sep 20LHPChangeup83.2106.38.630Double
Sep 19RHPSinker94.993.869.003Out
Sep 18RHPSinker94.272.267.000Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24511021
Sep 23434001
Sep 22300001
Sep 22412003
Sep 20412002
Sep 19100000
Sep 18400002
Sep 17300001
Sep 16423001
Sep 13511001

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–

Against right-handers, last 90 days

0 PA
wOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces

Starter not announced.

The rest of the gameTB @ PHI →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Jonny DeLuca: every projection we've made →