← TB at PHI, Sep 26, 2026
6:15 PM CT · Citizens Bank Park · lineup projected
Hitter · TB · batting 3Junior Caminero
Bats rightTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix3.8expected PA
Starter · PHITBD
Stable
4.3projected K–K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Junior Caminero's last 40 balls in playHit (11)Out (29)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Single: 95.9 mph at 4°Single: 108.2 mph at 17°Out: 107.4 mph at 14°Out: 59.3 mph at 65°Out: 97.7 mph at 22°Out: 93.3 mph at 64°Out: 82.8 mph at 67°Out: 104.2 mph at -2°Out: 92.7 mph at 60°Out: 71.5 mph at -37°Out: 77.1 mph at 14°Out: 93.8 mph at 44°Out: 89.3 mph at 74°Double: 95.5 mph at 2°Out: 83.7 mph at 8°Single: 95.2 mph at 1°Out: 69.0 mph at -75°Out: 110.9 mph at -5°Out: 53.3 mph at -11°Single: 87.7 mph at 18°Double: 101.4 mph at 15°Out: 70.2 mph at -27°Out: 84.1 mph at 46°Out: 97.1 mph at 17°Out: 70.2 mph at 86°Double: 104.0 mph at 21°Out: 93.6 mph at -2°Out: 107.0 mph at 29°Home run: 97.3 mph at 29°Out: 84.9 mph at 34°Out: 85.0 mph at 5°Out: 89.6 mph at 64°Double: 102.9 mph at 2°Out: 86.4 mph at -2°Out: 52.7 mph at 52°Out: 93.0 mph at -37°Single: 101.6 mph at 9°Out: 94.7 mph at 57°Out: 80.1 mph at 79°Home run: 107.2 mph at 29°
40% hit 95+ mph33% in the sweet spot28% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit67.9%67.0%+0.9
2+ total bases45.2%43.6%+1.5
Home run20.3%18.4%+1.9
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.1
Park
+1.1
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.1
Park
+1.7
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.1
Park
+1.9

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Junior Caminero · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G410.200.200.200.180.2700.0%0.0%21.7%89.7108.210.0%40.0%30.0%
Last 15 G1441.225.244.425.285.31917.1%2.4%17.1%90.5110.99.1%42.4%30.3%
Last 30 G2989.274.303.488.338.31620.2%2.2%19.9%92.4110.910.4%49.3%28.4%
90 days76254.260.311.515.362.33820.9%5.9%23.9%92.2116.912.0%48.6%25.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 183 balls in play
Ground 50%Line drive 18%Fly ball 17%Pop-up 15%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G39.222.222.333.239.24822.2%0.0%33.3%88.6104.20.0%42.9%28.6%
Last 15 G821.176.333.294.295.32614.3%19.0%22.2%86.9110.814.3%35.7%35.7%
Last 30 G1640.267.450.433.408.43610.0%25.0%21.7%88.6115.511.5%38.5%34.6%
90 days4392.284.424.527.422.42413.0%18.5%18.5%91.3116.411.3%41.9%35.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 62 balls in play
Ground 44%Line drive 21%Fly ball 18%Pop-up 18%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G519.211.211.263.208.25910.5%0.0%26.8%89.2108.25.9%41.2%29.4%
Last 15 G1562.211.274.386.289.32116.1%8.1%18.6%89.4110.910.6%40.4%31.9%
Last 30 G30129.272.349.474.358.35117.1%9.3%20.3%91.3115.510.8%46.2%30.1%
90 days80346.265.341.518.377.35918.8%9.2%22.7%92.0116.911.8%46.9%28.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 245 balls in play
Ground 48%Line drive 19%Fly ball 17%Pop-up 16%
Junior Caminero · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating91Top tier
Last 100 pitches29trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.371 / .368results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit9/12
2+ total bases6/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPSinker97.595.94.511Single
Sep 24RHPCutter88.0108.217.758Single
Sep 24RHPChangeup88.4107.414.748Out
Sep 24RHPSweeper77.359.365.003Out
Sep 24RHPFastball99.197.722.393Out
Sep 23RHPSlider87.693.364.005Out
Sep 23RHPChangeup85.882.867.003Out
Sep 22LHPChangeup84.4104.2-2.372Double play
Sep 22LHPFastball96.492.760.013Out
Sep 22LHPCurveball73.971.5-37.089Out
Sep 22LHPSlider85.477.114.535Out
Sep 22RHPCutter88.993.844.019Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24522000
Sep 23200000
Sep 22300001
Sep 22512000
Sep 20411001
Sep 19411001
Sep 18512021
Sep 17500021
Sep 16412001
Sep 15414102

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–

Against right-handers, last 90 days

0 PA
wOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces

Starter not announced.

The rest of the gameTB @ PHI →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Junior Caminero: every projection we've made →