MLBengine v14
← TB at PHI, Sep 26, 2026
6:15 PM CT · Citizens Bank Park · lineup projected
Hitter · TB · batting 2Liam Hicks
Bats leftTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix3.9expected PA
Starter · PHITBD
Stable
4.3projected K–K%2.5trips vs this hitter
Liam Hicks's last 40 balls in playHit (11)Out (29)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 97.4 mph at 35°Out: 93.5 mph at 3°Out: 88.9 mph at -9°Out: 94.5 mph at 4°Out: 88.3 mph at 34°Out: 89.1 mph at 18°Out: 62.9 mph at -47°Single: 80.1 mph at 17°Out: 63.3 mph at 5°Single: 64.5 mph at 32°Out: 72.9 mph at 66°Single: 89.1 mph at 17°Out: 47.3 mph at -39°Single: 67.4 mph at 30°Out: 59.6 mph at -4°Out: 91.2 mph at 28°Double: 80.6 mph at 22°Out: 39.8 mph at 29°Out: 92.1 mph at 43°Out: 100.9 mph at 1°Out: 70.8 mph at 59°Out: 95.1 mph at 0°Out: 78.0 mph at -40°Single: 101.5 mph at 11°Out: 75.0 mph at 11°Home run: 100.8 mph at 31°Out: 92.7 mph at -27°Out: 91.4 mph at -21°Out: 65.1 mph at 16°Single: 76.2 mph at 20°Single: 67.9 mph at 22°Out: 83.9 mph at 37°Out: 41.2 mph at 7°Out: 71.9 mph at 71°Out: 72.2 mph at 62°Single: 101.0 mph at 12°Out: 90.6 mph at -16°Out: 87.8 mph at 48°Out: 100.8 mph at -7°Single: 92.0 mph at 13°
18% hit 95+ mph40% in the sweet spot28% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit64.4%64.0%+0.4
2+ total bases35.7%35.0%+0.7
Home run6.5%5.9%+0.7
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.1
Park
+0.5
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.1
Park
+0.8
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.1
Park
+0.7

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Liam Hicks · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G414.182.357.182.279.37214.3%21.4%8.0%82.697.40.0%11.1%22.2%
Last 15 G1438.250.368.375.338.37015.8%13.2%15.9%79.4101.53.8%15.4%46.2%
Last 30 G2880.300.375.414.351.33715.0%10.0%16.2%82.7108.93.4%18.6%49.2%
90 days64196.315.408.440.395.34910.2%11.7%11.3%84.5108.93.4%25.7%37.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 148 balls in play
Ground 38%Line drive 23%Fly ball 27%Pop-up 12%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G13.000.000.000.000.28533.3%0.0%25.0%76.089.10.0%0.0%50.0%
Last 15 G59.125.222.125.178.34511.1%11.1%18.2%77.195.10.0%14.3%28.6%
Last 30 G1118.125.222.125.178.31411.1%11.1%12.0%81.7103.20.0%21.4%28.6%
90 days3560.189.267.208.226.25611.7%6.7%9.0%79.1103.80.0%10.6%29.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 47 balls in play
Ground 51%Line drive 26%Fly ball 13%Pop-up 11%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G517.143.294.143.229.35617.6%17.6%10.3%81.497.40.0%9.1%27.3%
Last 15 G1547.225.340.325.307.36514.9%12.8%16.2%78.9101.53.0%15.2%42.4%
Last 30 G3098.267.347.360.319.33314.3%10.2%15.6%82.5108.92.7%19.2%45.2%
90 days67256.285.375.385.355.32710.5%10.5%10.8%83.2108.92.6%22.1%35.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 195 balls in play
Ground 41%Line drive 24%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 12%
Liam Hicks · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating77Above average
Last 100 pitches94trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.352 / .344results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit4/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPSweeper81.297.435.317Out
Sep 24RHPFastball95.593.53.423Force out
Sep 24RHPCutter86.988.9-9.132Fielder's choice
Sep 23RHPCurveball84.494.54.433Out
Sep 23RHPChangeup88.988.334.030Out
Sep 22LHPFastball96.589.118.702Out
Sep 22LHPFastball93.662.9-47.152Out
Sep 19RHPFastball95.180.117.916Single
Sep 19RHPFastball96.563.35.121Out
Sep 19RHPFastball97.164.532.738Single
Sep 18RHPFastball93.572.966.000Out
Sep 17RHPFastball94.889.117.825Single
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24500002
Sep 23400020
Sep 22300001
Sep 19322000
Sep 18200010
Sep 17522011
Sep 16100000
Sep 15300011
Sep 12312000
Sep 11300000

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–

Against right-handers, last 90 days

0 PA
wOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces

Starter not announced.

The rest of the gameTB @ PHI →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Liam Hicks: every projection we've made →