Hitter · TB · batting 7Richie Palacios
Bats leftTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix3.5expected PA
1+ hit+0.6 pts matchup
2+ total bases+0.8 pts matchup
Home run+0.9 pts matchup
40% hit 95+ mph30% in the sweet spot35% fell for hits
| Market | BTB | Without the matchup | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ hit | 59.7% | 59.1% | +0.6 |
| 2+ total bases | 32.8% | 31.9% | +0.8 |
| Home run | 9.8% | 8.9% | +0.9 |
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen-0.2
Park+0.7
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen-0.2
Park+1.1
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen-0.1
Park+1.0
Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.
Statcast
opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonightRichie Palacios · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 11 | .333 | .455 | .333 | .373 | .343 | 18.2% | 18.2% | 16.7% | 81.5 | 96.8 | 0.0% | 14.3% | 14.3% |
| Last 15 G | 14 | 35 | .333 | .429 | .733 | .483 | .377 | 14.3% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 89.5 | 106.0 | 12.0% | 44.0% | 32.0% |
| Last 30 G | 28 | 84 | .260 | .337 | .507 | .363 | .316 | 13.1% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 86.8 | 106.0 | 4.7% | 32.8% | 28.1% |
| 90 days | 56 | 160 | .268 | .354 | .500 | .374 | .335 | 15.0% | 11.9% | 16.8% | 86.0 | 106.0 | 6.0% | 33.6% | 34.5% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 116 balls in play
Ground 38%Line drive 24%Fly ball 27%Pop-up 11%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 3 | 6 | .200 | .333 | .400 | .325 | .333 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 9.1% | 89.9 | 95.8 | 0.0% | 25.0% | 50.0% |
| Last 15 G | 8 | 13 | .182 | .308 | .273 | .273 | .320 | 7.7% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 83.2 | 95.8 | 0.0% | 20.0% | 30.0% |
| Last 30 G | 16 | 21 | .105 | .190 | .158 | .178 | .252 | 9.5% | 4.8% | 15.8% | 83.7 | 95.9 | 0.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% |
| 90 days | 27 | 35 | .097 | .200 | .161 | .182 | .224 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 23.0% | 84.3 | 102.0 | 0.0% | 25.0% | 20.8% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 24 balls in play
Ground 67%Line drive 13%Fly ball 13%Pop-up 8%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 17 | .286 | .412 | .357 | .356 | .339 | 17.6% | 17.6% | 13.8% | 84.6 | 96.8 | 0.0% | 18.2% | 27.3% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 48 | .293 | .396 | .610 | .426 | .362 | 12.5% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 87.7 | 106.0 | 8.6% | 37.1% | 31.4% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 105 | .228 | .308 | .435 | .327 | .304 | 12.4% | 9.5% | 15.1% | 86.2 | 106.0 | 3.8% | 31.2% | 27.5% |
| 90 days | 60 | 195 | .237 | .326 | .438 | .340 | .316 | 15.4% | 11.3% | 17.9% | 85.7 | 106.0 | 5.0% | 32.1% | 32.1% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 140 balls in play
Ground 43%Line drive 22%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 11%
xwOBA50.316
Avg EV2585.7
Max EV11106.0
Barrel%365.0%
Hard-hit%2532.1%
Sweet-spot%2632.1%
K%8415.4%
BB%8111.3%
Whiff%7517.9%
Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.
FormNormal
Contact rating49Average
Last 100 pitches89trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.333 / .315running 18 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit9/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run2/12
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
Recent contact
| Date | Pitcher | Pitch | Velo | EV | LA | xwOBA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | RHP | Curveball | 84.0 | 77.3 | 1 | .156 | Single |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Changeup | 87.6 | 69.8 | 21 | .877 | Single |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Sinker | 94.4 | 79.2 | -4 | .097 | Out |
| Sep 23 | LHP | Fastball | 92.6 | 85.7 | -1 | .231 | Out |
| Sep 22 | LHP | Sinker | 94.0 | 90.3 | 18 | .586 | Double play |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Curveball | 78.5 | 90.0 | 46 | .004 | Out |
| Sep 19 | RHP | Changeup | 90.1 | 92.0 | 0 | .325 | Fielder's choice |
| Sep 19 | RHP | Fastball | 98.1 | 96.8 | -8 | .238 | Force out |
| Sep 19 | RHP | Sinker | 95.2 | 65.7 | 36 | .676 | Single |
| Sep 17 | LHP | Slider | 84.0 | 95.8 | 20 | .360 | Double |
| Sep 17 | LHP | Fastball | 92.0 | 87.8 | -14 | .123 | Out |
| Sep 16 | LHP | Fastball | 95.4 | 94.0 | 7 | .482 | Out |
Total bases, last 10 games★ home run
| Date | PA | H | TB | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 23 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 19 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 17 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Sep 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 13 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
The hitter
season-level talent readTalent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–
Against right-handers, last 90 days
0 PAwOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–
Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.
The starter he faces
Starter not announced.
The rest of the gameTB @ PHI →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Richie Palacios: every projection we've made →