← TB at PHI, Sep 26, 2026
6:15 PM CT · Citizens Bank Park · lineup projected
Hitter · TB · batting 9Taylor Walls
Switch hitterTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix3.3expected PA
Starter · PHITBD
Stable
4.3projected K–K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Taylor Walls's last 40 balls in playHit (11)Out (29)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 93.8 mph at 22°Double: 102.9 mph at 24°Out: 92.2 mph at 20°Single: 56.2 mph at -49°Single: 101.4 mph at 10°Out: 23.9 mph at 52°Out: 92.4 mph at 41°Out: 77.3 mph at -3°Out: 100.3 mph at 3°Single: 32.0 mph at -39°Out: 56.5 mph at 16°Out: 22.7 mph at -13°Out: 56.8 mph at -17°Out: 92.6 mph at 32°Out: 90.9 mph at -10°Out: 89.9 mph at 62°Double: 99.3 mph at 23°Out: 83.7 mph at 66°Out: 88.9 mph at 28°Out: 77.9 mph at 32°Double: 100.3 mph at 11°Out: 85.0 mph at 80°Out: 97.8 mph at 33°Out: 90.2 mph at 48°Single: 75.9 mph at 21°Out: 68.6 mph at 10°Single: 44.5 mph at -1°Out: 86.1 mph at -17°Single: 96.4 mph at 16°Single: 94.8 mph at 1°Out: 98.5 mph at 36°Single: 89.8 mph at 3°Out: 68.1 mph at 10°Out: 96.1 mph at 28°Out: 68.4 mph at -51°Out: 46.2 mph at -70°Out: 91.7 mph at 31°Out: 107.7 mph at -19°Out: 83.2 mph at 64°Out: 26.2 mph at -27°
25% hit 95+ mph40% in the sweet spot28% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit49.2%48.7%+0.4
2+ total bases24.8%24.2%+0.6
Home run5.1%4.6%+0.5
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.1
Park
+0.6
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.1
Park
+0.7
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.1
Park
+0.6

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Taylor Walls · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G25.250.400.500.390.44820.0%20.0%25.0%91.3102.933.3%33.3%66.7%
Last 15 G1029.292.414.375.362.34317.2%17.2%13.6%84.2102.95.3%31.6%47.4%
Last 30 G2366.232.328.321.321.29616.7%12.1%13.1%82.0107.72.2%21.7%34.8%
90 days48139.231.326.308.305.28022.3%12.2%21.1%81.0107.71.1%23.3%37.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 90 balls in play
Ground 42%Line drive 22%Fly ball 29%Pop-up 7%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G39.375.444.375.425.45211.1%11.1%6.7%77.7101.40.0%33.3%33.3%
Last 15 G1024.263.318.316.317.31220.8%4.2%17.9%74.9101.40.0%20.0%40.0%
Last 30 G1840.286.316.400.331.28520.0%2.5%17.6%79.5101.40.0%28.6%42.9%
90 days3569.206.239.286.256.22323.2%2.9%19.5%81.1101.40.0%27.1%33.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 48 balls in play
Ground 48%Line drive 15%Fly ball 19%Pop-up 19%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G514.333.429.417.412.45114.3%14.3%13.0%82.3102.911.1%33.3%44.4%
Last 15 G1553.279.373.349.343.33018.9%11.3%15.7%80.1102.92.9%26.5%44.1%
Last 30 G30106.253.324.352.324.29217.9%8.5%15.0%81.0107.71.4%24.3%37.8%
90 days58208.222.297.300.289.26222.6%9.1%20.6%81.0107.70.7%24.6%36.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 138 balls in play
Ground 44%Line drive 20%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 11%
Taylor Walls · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating9Bottom tier
Last 100 pitches53trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.272 / .260results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit6/12
2+ total bases4/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPFastball94.893.822.215Out
Sep 24RHPFastball92.7102.9241.244Double
Sep 22LHPChangeup83.492.220.260Out
Sep 22LHPCurveball73.856.2-49.271Single
Sep 22LHPCutter82.9101.410.816Single
Sep 20LHPChangeup83.623.952.157Out
Sep 20LHPFastball94.192.441.015Out
Sep 19RHPSinker95.677.3-3.085Out
Sep 18LHPSinker90.2100.33.501Double play
Sep 17LHPChangeup79.732.0-39.246Single
Sep 17RHPCutter90.656.516.151Force out
Sep 5LHPFastball93.722.7-13–Sac bunt
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24412011
Sep 22433000
Sep 20300001
Sep 19100000
Sep 18200010
Sep 17411011
Sep 5400011
Sep 4400001
Sep 2412011
Sep 1412000

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–

Against right-handers, last 90 days

0 PA
wOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces

Starter not announced.

The rest of the gameTB @ PHI →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Taylor Walls: every projection we've made →