Hitter · TB · batting 1Yandy Díaz
Bats rightTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix4.0expected PA
1+ hit+0.7 pts matchup
2+ total bases+1.1 pts matchup
Home run+1.3 pts matchup
38% hit 95+ mph28% in the sweet spot18% fell for hits
| Market | BTB | Without the matchup | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ hit | 69.1% | 68.4% | +0.7 |
| 2+ total bases | 42.5% | 41.4% | +1.1 |
| Home run | 13.2% | 11.9% | +1.3 |
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen-0.1
Park+0.8
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen-0.1
Park+1.2
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen-0.0
Park+1.4
Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.
Statcast
opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonightYandy Díaz · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 4 | 9 | .500 | .556 | .500 | .478 | .399 | 0.0% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 89.0 | 102.0 | 0.0% | 37.5% | 37.5% |
| Last 15 G | 14 | 40 | .237 | .250 | .342 | .256 | .230 | 22.5% | 2.5% | 17.9% | 89.7 | 111.5 | 6.7% | 40.0% | 26.7% |
| Last 30 G | 27 | 89 | .259 | .281 | .365 | .283 | .260 | 18.0% | 3.4% | 14.9% | 90.6 | 111.5 | 5.7% | 45.7% | 28.6% |
| 90 days | 71 | 246 | .262 | .297 | .371 | .313 | .298 | 18.7% | 4.9% | 14.2% | 90.8 | 113.1 | 5.4% | 48.4% | 30.1% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 186 balls in play
Ground 57%Line drive 20%Fly ball 15%Pop-up 8%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 4 | 14 | .000 | .214 | .000 | .150 | .293 | 21.4% | 21.4% | 9.5% | 84.8 | 100.2 | 12.5% | 37.5% | 25.0% |
| Last 15 G | 11 | 28 | .120 | .214 | .120 | .171 | .346 | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 90.0 | 108.2 | 9.1% | 50.0% | 36.4% |
| Last 30 G | 17 | 47 | .175 | .298 | .275 | .268 | .410 | 8.5% | 14.9% | 9.9% | 90.0 | 108.2 | 11.1% | 50.0% | 33.3% |
| 90 days | 41 | 98 | .230 | .316 | .402 | .318 | .408 | 8.2% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 91.8 | 113.0 | 8.9% | 50.6% | 32.9% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 79 balls in play
Ground 49%Line drive 18%Fly ball 27%Pop-up 6%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 23 | .211 | .348 | .211 | .278 | .335 | 13.0% | 17.4% | 11.1% | 86.9 | 102.0 | 6.2% | 37.5% | 31.2% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 68 | .190 | .235 | .254 | .221 | .278 | 17.6% | 5.9% | 13.9% | 89.8 | 111.5 | 7.7% | 44.2% | 30.8% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 136 | .232 | .287 | .336 | .278 | .310 | 14.7% | 7.4% | 13.1% | 90.4 | 111.5 | 7.5% | 47.2% | 30.2% |
| 90 days | 76 | 344 | .253 | .302 | .380 | .314 | .329 | 15.7% | 6.7% | 13.0% | 91.1 | 113.1 | 6.4% | 49.1% | 30.9% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 265 balls in play
Ground 55%Line drive 19%Fly ball 19%Pop-up 8%
xwOBA68.329
Avg EV8591.1
Max EV90113.1
Barrel%486.4%
Hard-hit%9149.1%
Sweet-spot%1730.9%
K%8315.7%
BB%296.7%
Whiff%9213.0%
Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.
FormNormal
Contact rating78Above average
Last 100 pitches70trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.310 / .344running 34 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit4/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run0/12
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
Recent contact
| Date | Pitcher | Pitch | Velo | EV | LA | xwOBA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | RHP | Cutter | 93.3 | 70.8 | 25 | .890 | Single |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Cutter | 88.6 | 97.0 | 14 | .863 | Single |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Cutter | 86.1 | 90.9 | 42 | .018 | Out |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Cutter | 94.6 | 92.7 | -33 | .058 | Out |
| Sep 22 | LHP | Fastball | 95.4 | 77.9 | 48 | .067 | Out |
| Sep 22 | LHP | Curveball | 75.3 | 65.5 | 39 | .473 | Out |
| Sep 22 | LHP | Sinker | 92.3 | 100.2 | 28 | .939 | Out |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Splitter | 91.4 | 82.0 | -11 | .077 | Out |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Sinker | 93.1 | 102.0 | 9 | .714 | Single |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Cutter | 88.0 | 101.1 | -8 | .239 | Single |
| Sep 22 | LHP | Cutter | 92.4 | 69.8 | 0 | .077 | Out |
| Sep 20 | LHP | Fastball | 94.8 | 81.8 | -36 | .049 | Out |
Total bases, last 10 games★ home run
| Date | PA | H | TB | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 22 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Sep 17 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 13 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
The hitter
season-level talent readTalent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–
Against right-handers, last 90 days
0 PAwOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–
Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.
The starter he faces
Starter not announced.
The rest of the gameTB @ PHI →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Yandy Díaz: every projection we've made →