Hitter · MIN · batting 5Alan Roden
Bats leftTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix3.7expected PA
1+ hit+0.2 pts matchup
2+ total bases-0.1 pts matchup
Home run-0.6 pts matchup
35% hit 95+ mph33% in the sweet spot38% fell for hits
| Market | BTB | Without the matchup | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ hit | 60.2% | 60.0% | +0.2 |
| 2+ total bases | 31.0% | 31.0% | -0.1 |
| Home run | 6.6% | 7.2% | -0.6 |
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen-0.1
Park+0.4
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen-0.3
Park+0.2
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen-0.3
Park-0.3
Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.
Statcast
opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonightAlan Roden · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 11 | .444 | .545 | .556 | .486 | .461 | 9.1% | 18.2% | 5.6% | 85.2 | 101.2 | 0.0% | 50.0% | 37.5% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 36 | .310 | .417 | .448 | .381 | .408 | 8.3% | 16.7% | 10.2% | 84.7 | 107.3 | 3.7% | 37.0% | 33.3% |
| Last 30 G | 29 | 72 | .233 | .333 | .300 | .329 | .351 | 12.5% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 86.7 | 107.3 | 3.8% | 39.6% | 34.0% |
| 90 days | 29 | 72 | .233 | .333 | .300 | .329 | .351 | 12.5% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 86.7 | 107.3 | 3.8% | 39.6% | 34.0% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 53 balls in play
Ground 49%Line drive 23%Fly ball 19%Pop-up 9%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 8 | .571 | .625 | 1.000 | .675 | .327 | 12.5% | 12.5% | 21.4% | 72.4 | 104.5 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 50.0% |
| Last 15 G | 8 | 13 | .545 | .583 | .818 | .675 | .399 | 15.4% | 7.7% | 21.7% | 70.5 | 104.5 | 0.0% | 30.0% | 40.0% |
| Last 30 G | 13 | 19 | .471 | .500 | .647 | .550 | .402 | 15.8% | 5.3% | 20.0% | 80.2 | 104.5 | 0.0% | 46.7% | 33.3% |
| 90 days | 13 | 19 | .471 | .500 | .647 | .550 | .402 | 15.8% | 5.3% | 20.0% | 80.2 | 104.5 | 0.0% | 46.7% | 33.3% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 15 balls in play
Ground 53%Line drive 20%Fly ball 27%Pop-up 0%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 19 | .500 | .579 | .750 | .566 | .405 | 10.5% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 79.7 | 104.5 | 0.0% | 42.9% | 42.9% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 49 | .375 | .458 | .550 | .454 | .406 | 10.2% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 80.8 | 107.3 | 2.7% | 35.1% | 35.1% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 91 | .286 | .367 | .377 | .373 | .361 | 13.2% | 12.1% | 16.0% | 85.2 | 107.3 | 2.9% | 41.2% | 33.8% |
| 90 days | 30 | 91 | .286 | .367 | .377 | .373 | .361 | 13.2% | 12.1% | 16.0% | 85.2 | 107.3 | 2.9% | 41.2% | 33.8% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 68 balls in play
Ground 50%Line drive 22%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 7%
xwOBA91.361
Avg EV2085.2
Max EV23107.3
Barrel%152.9%
Hard-hit%6341.2%
Sweet-spot%4033.8%
K%9013.2%
BB%8512.1%
Whiff%8516.0%
Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.
FormNormal
Contact rating94Top tier
Last 100 pitches99steady
wOBA / xwOBA.361 / .382running 21 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases4/12
Home run1/12
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
Recent contact
| Date | Pitcher | Pitch | Velo | EV | LA | xwOBA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | LHP | Changeup | 87.6 | 69.1 | 16 | .440 | Single |
| Sep 23 | LHP | Changeup | 86.7 | 54.4 | 28 | .180 | Out |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Sweeper | 81.3 | 82.5 | 5 | .299 | Out |
| Sep 21 | RHP | Sweeper | 83.3 | 101.2 | 7 | .589 | Single |
| Sep 21 | RHP | Sweeper | 85.4 | 59.4 | -23 | .054 | Out |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Cutter | 91.4 | 95.2 | 14 | .895 | Single |
| Sep 20 | LHP | Slider | 81.5 | 95.7 | 32 | .362 | Home run |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Splitter | 83.7 | 95.7 | 10 | .648 | Single |
| Sep 20 | LHP | Sinker | 88.6 | 81.0 | -10 | .096 | Out |
| Aug 26 | RHP | Changeup | 86.3 | 71.0 | 9 | .260 | Out |
| Aug 26 | RHP | Fastball | 96.5 | 100.1 | 35 | .688 | Out |
| Aug 26 | LHP | Fastball | 93.8 | 29.8 | -41 | .246 | Single |
Total bases, last 10 games★ home run
| Date | PA | H | TB | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 20 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Aug 26 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Aug 23 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Aug 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Aug 17 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Aug 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Aug 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
The hitter
season-level talent readTalent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–
Against right-handers, last 90 days
0 PAwOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–
Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.
The starter he faces
Starter not announced.
The rest of the gameTEX @ MIN →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Alan Roden: every projection we've made →