Ben Ross vs TBD, Sep 26, 2026

← TEX at MIN, Sep 26, 2026

3:10 PM CT · Target Field · lineup projected

Hitter · MIN · batting 9Ben Ross

Bats rightTalent grade ——Normal

–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix3.3expected PA

Starter · TEXTBD

Stable

4.2projected K–K%1.9trips vs this hitter

1+ hit+0.3 pts matchup

2+ total bases+0.2 pts matchup

Home run-0.4 pts matchup

Ben Ross's last 10 balls in playHit (4)Out (6)Barrel zone

30% hit 95+ mph50% in the sweet spot40% fell for hits

Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
Market	BTB	Without the matchup	Matchup
1+ hit	53.6%	53.3%	+0.3
2+ total bases	28.3%	28.1%	+0.2
Home run	8.9%	9.3%	-0.4

What moves the number

1+ hit

Starter

0.0

Pitch mix

0.0

Bullpen

+0.1

Park

+0.3

2+ total bases

Starter

0.0

Pitch mix

0.0

Bullpen

+0.1

Park

+0.1

Home run

Starter

0.0

Pitch mix

0.0

Bullpen

+0.1

Park

-0.4

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight

Ben Ross · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games

vs RHPvs LHPAll

Window	G	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	xwOBA	K%	BB%	Whiff%	Avg EV	Max EV	Barrel%	Hard-hit%	Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G	3	10	.100	.100	.200	.125	.084	70.0%	0.0%	50.0%	78.8	100.6	0.0%	33.3%	33.3%
Last 15 G	6	14	.071	.071	.143	.089	.071	71.4%	0.0%	50.0%	64.3	100.6	0.0%	25.0%	25.0%
Last 30 G	6	14	.071	.071	.143	.089	.071	71.4%	0.0%	50.0%	64.3	100.6	0.0%	25.0%	25.0%
90 days	6	14	.071	.071	.143	.089	.071	71.4%	0.0%	50.0%	64.3	100.6	0.0%	25.0%	25.0%

Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 4 balls in play

Ground 25%Line drive 25%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 25%

Window	G	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	xwOBA	K%	BB%	Whiff%	Avg EV	Max EV	Barrel%	Hard-hit%	Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G	3	5	.400	.400	.800	.500	.413	20.0%	0.0%	12.5%	76.6	98.5	0.0%	25.0%	75.0%
Last 15 G	4	7	.429	.429	.857	.536	.415	14.3%	0.0%	23.1%	79.0	100.0	16.7%	33.3%	66.7%
Last 30 G	4	7	.429	.429	.857	.536	.415	14.3%	0.0%	23.1%	79.0	100.0	16.7%	33.3%	66.7%
90 days	4	7	.429	.429	.857	.536	.415	14.3%	0.0%	23.1%	79.0	100.0	16.7%	33.3%	66.7%

Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 6 balls in play

Ground 33%Line drive 33%Fly ball 33%Pop-up 0%

Window	G	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	xwOBA	K%	BB%	Whiff%	Avg EV	Max EV	Barrel%	Hard-hit%	Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G	5	15	.200	.200	.400	.250	.194	53.3%	0.0%	40.0%	77.5	100.6	0.0%	28.6%	57.1%
Last 15 G	9	21	.190	.190	.381	.238	.186	52.4%	0.0%	42.2%	73.1	100.6	10.0%	30.0%	50.0%
Last 30 G	9	21	.190	.190	.381	.238	.186	52.4%	0.0%	42.2%	73.1	100.6	10.0%	30.0%	50.0%
90 days	9	21	.190	.190	.381	.238	.186	52.4%	0.0%	42.2%	73.1	100.6	10.0%	30.0%	50.0%

Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 10 balls in play

Ground 30%Line drive 30%Fly ball 30%Pop-up 10%

FormNormal

Contact rating–percentile of xwOBA

Last 100 pitches–

wOBA / xwOBA.240 / .201running 39 points ahead of his contact

Last 12 games, oldest to newest

Hit4/9

2+ total bases3/9

Home run0/9

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 10 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
Date	Pitcher	Pitch	Velo	EV	LA	xwOBA	Result
Sep 23	LHP	Changeup	86.5	98.5	31	.717	Triple
Sep 23	LHP	Changeup	86.0	82.2	9	.396	Out
Sep 20	LHP	Changeup	81.1	80.9	19	.910	Single
Sep 19	LHP	Fastball	92.4	44.8	48	.044	Out
Sep 18	RHP	Slider	85.1	49.9	38	.067	Out
Sep 17	RHP	Sinker	99.1	85.8	1	.278	Out
Sep 17	RHP	Fastball	95.4	100.6	18	.494	Double
Sep 16	LHP	Fastball	94.9	100.0	24	.795	Double
Sep 16	LHP	Changeup	83.3	67.6	-15	.044	Out
Sep 2	RHP	Fastball	92.8	21.0	55	.153	Out

Total bases, last 9 games★ home run

216

217

018

019

120

323

Last 9 games.
Date	PA	H	TB	K
Sep 23	2	1	3	0
Sep 20	4	1	1	3
Sep 19	1	0	0	0
Sep 18	4	0	0	3
Sep 17	4	1	2	2
Sep 16	2	1	2	0
Sep 6	1	0	0	1
Sep 2	2	0	0	1
Sep 1	1	0	0	1

The hitter

season-level talent read

Talent grade—— type

wOBA–

K%–

BB%–

Whiff%–

Barrel%–

Hard-hit%–

Avg EV–

Against right-handers, last 90 days

0 PA

wOBA–

xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his

RV/100–

Hard-hit%–

K%–

BB%–

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces

Starter not announced.

The rest of the gameTEX @ MIN →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Ben Ross: every projection we've made →