Hitter · MIN · batting 7Emmanuel Rodriguez
Bats leftTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix3.5expected PA
1+ hit-0.1 pts matchup
2+ total bases-0.5 pts matchup
Home run-1.1 pts matchup
44% hit 95+ mph48% in the sweet spot30% fell for hits
| Market | BTB | Without the matchup | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ hit | 58.7% | 58.7% | -0.1 |
| 2+ total bases | 33.4% | 33.9% | -0.5 |
| Home run | 12.2% | 13.3% | -1.1 |
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen-0.3
Park+0.2
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen-0.5
Park-0.0
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen-0.4
Park-0.6
Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.
Statcast
opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonightEmmanuel Rodriguez · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 11 | .222 | .364 | .556 | .473 | .395 | 27.3% | 18.2% | 23.5% | 80.2 | 106.8 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 33.3% |
| Last 15 G | 11 | 29 | .185 | .241 | .481 | .334 | .381 | 41.4% | 6.9% | 38.9% | 87.8 | 111.1 | 26.7% | 46.7% | 46.7% |
| Last 30 G | 11 | 29 | .185 | .241 | .481 | .334 | .381 | 41.4% | 6.9% | 38.9% | 87.8 | 111.1 | 26.7% | 46.7% | 46.7% |
| 90 days | 11 | 29 | .185 | .241 | .481 | .334 | .381 | 41.4% | 6.9% | 38.9% | 87.8 | 111.1 | 26.7% | 46.7% | 46.7% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 15 balls in play
Ground 33%Line drive 27%Fly ball 33%Pop-up 7%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 3 | 5 | .200 | .200 | .400 | .250 | .206 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.7% | 88.5 | 98.1 | 0.0% | 20.0% | 40.0% |
| Last 15 G | 8 | 15 | .214 | .267 | .357 | .333 | .304 | 13.3% | 6.7% | 16.7% | 93.1 | 109.2 | 8.3% | 41.7% | 50.0% |
| Last 30 G | 8 | 15 | .214 | .267 | .357 | .333 | .304 | 13.3% | 6.7% | 16.7% | 93.1 | 109.2 | 8.3% | 41.7% | 50.0% |
| 90 days | 8 | 15 | .214 | .267 | .357 | .333 | .304 | 13.3% | 6.7% | 16.7% | 93.1 | 109.2 | 8.3% | 41.7% | 50.0% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 12 balls in play
Ground 42%Line drive 17%Fly ball 33%Pop-up 8%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 16 | .214 | .312 | .500 | .403 | .336 | 18.8% | 12.5% | 21.7% | 84.0 | 106.8 | 9.1% | 18.2% | 36.4% |
| Last 15 G | 12 | 44 | .195 | .250 | .439 | .334 | .355 | 31.8% | 6.8% | 32.1% | 90.1 | 111.1 | 18.5% | 44.4% | 48.1% |
| Last 30 G | 12 | 44 | .195 | .250 | .439 | .334 | .355 | 31.8% | 6.8% | 32.1% | 90.1 | 111.1 | 18.5% | 44.4% | 48.1% |
| 90 days | 12 | 44 | .195 | .250 | .439 | .334 | .355 | 31.8% | 6.8% | 32.1% | 90.1 | 111.1 | 18.5% | 44.4% | 48.1% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 27 balls in play
Ground 37%Line drive 22%Fly ball 33%Pop-up 7%
FormNormal
Contact rating–percentile of xwOBA
Last 100 pitches–
wOBA / xwOBA.336 / .415running 79 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases5/12
Home run2/12
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
Recent contact
| Date | Pitcher | Pitch | Velo | EV | LA | xwOBA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | LHP | Fastball | 92.6 | 75.9 | 56 | .106 | Out |
| Sep 23 | LHP | Slider | 83.9 | 92.8 | 21 | .268 | Out |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Sinker | 91.9 | 87.1 | 20 | .564 | Single |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Changeup | 87.4 | 71.3 | -45 | .176 | Error |
| Sep 21 | RHP | Fastball | 96.4 | 74.8 | -59 | .264 | Out |
| Sep 21 | RHP | Fastball | 95.1 | 106.8 | 30 | 1.904 | Home run |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Cutter | 89.5 | 57.4 | 50 | .026 | Out |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Splitter | 85.0 | 83.6 | 78 | .010 | Out |
| Sep 20 | LHP | Changeup | 83.5 | 98.1 | 32 | .529 | Double |
| Sep 20 | LHP | Changeup | 77.8 | 85.7 | -18 | .070 | Out |
| Sep 19 | LHP | Fastball | 91.0 | 90.1 | -23 | .056 | Out |
| Sep 18 | RHP | Changeup | 84.1 | 70.2 | -35 | .066 | Out |
Total bases, last 10 games★ home run
| Date | PA | H | TB | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sep 21 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 20 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Sep 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Sep 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sep 15 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 14 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
The hitter
season-level talent readTalent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–
Against right-handers, last 90 days
0 PAwOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–
Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.
The starter he faces
Starter not announced.
The rest of the gameTEX @ MIN →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Emmanuel Rodriguez: every projection we've made →