Hitter · MIN · batting 6Royce Lewis
Bats rightTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix3.6expected PA
1+ hit+0.3 pts matchup
2+ total bases+0.3 pts matchup
Home run-0.4 pts matchup
33% hit 95+ mph30% in the sweet spot23% fell for hits
| Market | BTB | Without the matchup | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ hit | 60.9% | 60.5% | +0.3 |
| 2+ total bases | 34.5% | 34.2% | +0.3 |
| Home run | 10.5% | 10.9% | -0.4 |
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen+0.1
Park+0.3
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen+0.2
Park+0.1
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen+0.1
Park-0.5
Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.
Statcast
opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonightRoyce Lewis · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 13 | .154 | .154 | .154 | .208 | .184 | 30.8% | 0.0% | 41.4% | 84.9 | 105.0 | 0.0% | 22.2% | 33.3% |
| Last 15 G | 14 | 37 | .114 | .135 | .114 | .141 | .235 | 32.4% | 2.7% | 36.6% | 89.5 | 107.4 | 4.2% | 33.3% | 33.3% |
| Last 30 G | 29 | 81 | .171 | .198 | .237 | .215 | .270 | 24.7% | 3.7% | 30.8% | 88.5 | 109.6 | 5.2% | 31.0% | 31.0% |
| 90 days | 70 | 213 | .222 | .277 | .366 | .290 | .309 | 23.9% | 7.0% | 31.0% | 90.6 | 110.0 | 7.5% | 39.7% | 32.9% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 146 balls in play
Ground 37%Line drive 20%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 21%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 3 | 8 | .375 | .375 | .500 | .381 | .301 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 25.0% | 90.4 | 106.7 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.3% |
| Last 15 G | 9 | 22 | .227 | .227 | .318 | .236 | .212 | 27.3% | 0.0% | 25.0% | 88.4 | 106.7 | 0.0% | 31.2% | 25.0% |
| Last 30 G | 19 | 39 | .211 | .231 | .263 | .221 | .215 | 20.5% | 2.6% | 23.8% | 85.9 | 106.7 | 3.3% | 30.0% | 26.7% |
| 90 days | 45 | 87 | .256 | .299 | .402 | .317 | .300 | 23.0% | 5.7% | 28.5% | 87.5 | 109.6 | 9.7% | 37.1% | 37.1% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 62 balls in play
Ground 32%Line drive 26%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 18%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 21 | .238 | .238 | .286 | .274 | .229 | 28.6% | 0.0% | 35.6% | 87.1 | 106.7 | 0.0% | 26.7% | 33.3% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 59 | .158 | .169 | .193 | .176 | .226 | 30.5% | 1.7% | 32.5% | 89.1 | 107.4 | 2.5% | 32.5% | 30.0% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 120 | .184 | .208 | .246 | .217 | .252 | 23.3% | 3.3% | 28.6% | 87.6 | 109.6 | 4.5% | 30.7% | 29.5% |
| 90 days | 73 | 300 | .232 | .283 | .377 | .298 | .306 | 23.7% | 6.7% | 30.3% | 89.7 | 110.0 | 8.2% | 38.9% | 34.1% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 208 balls in play
Ground 36%Line drive 22%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 20%
xwOBA42.306
Avg EV7189.7
Max EV56110.0
Barrel%658.2%
Hard-hit%5238.9%
Sweet-spot%4234.1%
K%4123.7%
BB%296.7%
Whiff%930.3%
Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.
FormNormal
Contact rating62Average
Last 100 pitches2trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.301 / .329running 27 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases2/12
Home run0/12
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
Recent contact
| Date | Pitcher | Pitch | Velo | EV | LA | xwOBA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | LHP | Fastball | 91.7 | 82.3 | 77 | .009 | Out |
| Sep 23 | LHP | Changeup | 87.7 | 93.0 | 11 | .676 | Single |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Cutter | 89.5 | 67.6 | 13 | .329 | Force out |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Slider | 88.0 | 95.4 | 8 | .576 | Out |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Fastball | 96.1 | 73.8 | 77 | .003 | Out |
| Sep 20 | LHP | Fastball | 88.5 | 82.6 | 18 | .903 | Single |
| Sep 20 | LHP | Cutter | 89.0 | 81.0 | -15 | .059 | Out |
| Sep 19 | LHP | Slider | 87.6 | 106.7 | -2 | .426 | Double |
| Sep 19 | LHP | Sweeper | 79.3 | 97.0 | 33 | .335 | Out |
| Sep 19 | RHP | Curveball | 84.7 | 85.6 | 12 | .654 | Single |
| Sep 19 | RHP | Fastball | 101.2 | 88.4 | 51 | .012 | Double play |
| Sep 18 | RHP | Slider | 84.6 | 74.7 | -3 | .088 | Out |
Total bases, last 10 games★ home run
| Date | PA | H | TB | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 20 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Sep 19 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 18 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 17 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Sep 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 15 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
The hitter
season-level talent readTalent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–
Against right-handers, last 90 days
0 PAwOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–
Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.
The starter he faces
Starter not announced.
The rest of the gameTEX @ MIN →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Royce Lewis: every projection we've made →