MLBengine v14
← TEX at MIN, Sep 26, 2026
3:10 PM CT · Target Field · lineup projected
Hitter · TEX · batting 6Wyatt Langford
Bats rightTalent grade CBalancedNormal
.347wOBA vs RHP.334xwOBA vs his mix3.6expected PA
Starter · MINBailey Ober
Throws rightBTB Stuff 82Trending Up
4.4projected K18%K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Bailey Ober's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 32% usage, 87.5 mph, +5.6″ arm side, +15.1″ rise. Wyatt Langford: wOBA .377 vs league .368 (about even).Fastball 32%Changeup: 31% usage, 82.3 mph, +17.3″ arm side, +6.2″ rise. Wyatt Langford: wOBA .361 vs league .352 (about even).Changeup 31%Slider: 20% usage, 82.5 mph, -4.7″ arm side, +6.7″ rise. Wyatt Langford: wOBA .336 vs league .326 (about even).Slider 20%Sweeper: 14% usage, 75.7 mph, -12.6″ arm side, +1.9″ rise. Wyatt Langford: wOBA .315 vs league .306 (about even).Sweeper 14%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Wyatt Langford's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Wyatt Langford's last 40 balls in playHit (11)Out (29)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Single: 73.3 mph at 42°Single: 71.7 mph at -49°Out: 66.8 mph at 69°Out: 67.7 mph at 6°Out: 106.3 mph at 20°Single: 100.0 mph at -5°Out: 77.0 mph at 45°Double: 102.8 mph at 20°Out: 91.0 mph at 33°Single: 81.0 mph at 19°Out: 59.6 mph at -39°Out: 104.8 mph at 19°Out: 97.9 mph at 28°Single: 70.7 mph at 35°Out: 101.9 mph at 29°Out: 73.0 mph at 61°Out: 89.8 mph at -26°Out: 91.6 mph at 53°Out: 77.0 mph at 40°Home run: 105.5 mph at 24°Double: 102.7 mph at 22°Out: 82.7 mph at 56°Single: 93.5 mph at 13°Out: 72.0 mph at 36°Out: 78.6 mph at 29°Out: 82.5 mph at -4°Home run: 107.3 mph at 23°Out: 82.8 mph at 46°Out: 96.0 mph at 25°Out: 89.1 mph at 47°Out: 89.3 mph at -56°Out: 82.2 mph at 35°Out: 78.1 mph at 29°Out: 88.3 mph at 56°Out: 52.3 mph at -64°Out: 90.5 mph at 68°Double: 84.8 mph at 17°Out: 96.9 mph at 34°Out: 95.8 mph at 32°Out: 90.1 mph at 58°
30% hit 95+ mph38% in the sweet spot28% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit54.9%52.1%+2.8
2+ total bases32.7%30.7%+2.0
Home run11.8%11.3%+0.4
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+2.8
Pitch mix
-0.1
Bullpen
-0.2
Park
+0.3
2+ total bases
Starter
+2.1
Pitch mix
-0.1
Bullpen
-0.2
Park
+0.1
Home run
Starter
+1.1
Pitch mix
-0.0
Bullpen
-0.1
Park
-0.5

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Pitch by pitch

Wyatt Langford against each of Bailey Ober's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball32%87.5+6″ / +15″.377.36816.8%16.2%42About league average vs these
Changeup31%82.3+17″ / +6″.361.35230.6%28.2%16About league average vs these
Slider20%82.5-5″ / +7″.336.32625.4%25.5%20About league average vs these
Sweeper14%75.7-13″ / +2″.315.30643.7%44.2%5Little history vs this shape
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Wyatt Langford · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G312.222.417.333.354.29125.0%25.0%27.8%84.2102.80.0%33.3%16.7%
Last 15 G1240.267.450.533.428.43430.0%25.0%37.9%89.0107.316.7%38.9%50.0%
Last 30 G2678.217.397.400.364.36719.2%23.1%24.8%84.4107.36.7%22.2%37.8%
90 days61176.221.358.421.352.33923.3%16.5%24.4%88.5107.35.8%36.5%39.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 104 balls in play
Ground 26%Line drive 27%Fly ball 27%Pop-up 20%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G38.333.375.333.312.27250.0%12.5%40.0%83.8106.333.3%33.3%33.3%
Last 15 G822.111.227.111.218.24745.5%13.6%31.2%80.7106.322.2%22.2%22.2%
Last 30 G2051.205.373.282.330.33829.4%19.6%27.4%87.1108.38.0%36.0%36.0%
90 days47109.207.321.315.317.32323.9%13.8%23.2%89.0109.47.5%38.8%31.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 67 balls in play
Ground 37%Line drive 16%Fly ball 30%Pop-up 16%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G520.267.400.333.338.28335.0%20.0%33.3%84.1106.311.1%33.3%22.2%
Last 15 G1562.208.371.375.353.36835.5%21.0%35.1%86.2107.318.5%33.3%40.7%
Last 30 G30129.212.388.354.350.35623.3%21.7%26.1%85.4108.37.1%27.1%37.1%
90 days67285.215.344.380.339.33323.5%15.4%23.9%88.7109.46.4%37.4%36.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 171 balls in play
Ground 30%Line drive 23%Fly ball 28%Pop-up 19%
Wyatt Langford · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating75Above average
Last 100 pitches50trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.337 / .342results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24LHPCutter90.273.342.278Single
Sep 24LHPFastball98.071.7-49.242Single
Sep 23RHPCurveball83.366.869.000Out
Sep 23RHPCurveball80.767.76.219Out
Sep 22LHPFastball91.6106.320.961Sac fly
Sep 20RHPSinker96.7100.0-5.316Single
Sep 20RHPChangeup86.577.045.083Out
Sep 19RHPCurveball85.4102.820.713Double
Sep 19RHPFastball96.991.033.062Out
Sep 18RHPSlider85.081.019.910Single
Sep 18LHPChangeup77.659.6-39.126Error
Sep 17RHPSinker91.1104.819.717Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24322001
Sep 23400002
Sep 22400003
Sep 20511021
Sep 19412020
Sep 18511030
Sep 17400020
Sep 16411012
Sep 15400001
Sep 13400002

Two strikes

Bailey Ober MIN · RHPwith two strikes
Bailey Ober with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Changeup31%34%15.3%11.5%18.6%
Fastball32%26%10.7%8.8%18.0%
Sweeper14%22%41.7%25.4%19.3%
Slider20%16%17.2%18.0%21.0%
Sinker3%1%0.0%0.0%16.9%
Curveball1%0%–0.0%20.1%
Wyatt Langford bats Rwith two strikes, vs this hand
Wyatt Langford with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. About league average vs his two-strike stuff
With two strikesHimLeague
K%43.7%42.4%
Whiff%22.0%22.2%
Contact%78.0%77.8%
Chase%34.6%39.8%
wOBA.248.238
Whiff vs his put-away shapes25.2%25.4%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeCBalanced type
wOBA.340
K%23.7%
BB%14.8%
Whiff%10.8%
Barrel%4.8%
Hard-hit%23.2%
Avg EV88.9

Against right-handers, last 90 days

176 PA
wOBA.347
xwOBA vs this mix.334against pitches like his
RV/1000.84
Hard-hit%22.1%
K%23.3%
BB%15.1%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Bailey OberRHP · MIN vs TEX
4.4projected strikeouts · likely 2 to 7 · 22.1 batters over 5.2 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 35.8%36%≤34 strikeouts: 19.0%19%45 strikeouts: 16.8%17%56 strikeouts: 12.4%12%67 strikeouts: 7.9%8%78 strikeouts: 4.4%4%89+ strikeouts: 3.7%4%9+book 4.5
Over 4.5: 45% (red bars) · under: 55%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%17.7%
BB%7.1%
Whiff%9.2%
Velo83.1
BTB Stuff82
Location109
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff
Fastball32%7787.56.3%
Changeup31%8382.28.9%
Slider20%8882.47.0%
Sweeper14%8875.619.9%
Sinker2%5988.40.0%
Curveball1%8672.611.1%
Last 3 startsTrending Up
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 1510111%7%41%.393
Sep 68429%13%24%.338
Aug 298025%5%15%.222

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Bailey Ober MIN · RHPvsTEX lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

5 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.6%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameTEX @ MIN →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Wyatt Langford: every projection we've made →