Hitter · ARI · batting 5Corbin Carroll
Bats leftTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix3.7expected PA
1+ hit-0.0 pts matchup
2+ total bases+0.1 pts matchup
Home run+0.6 pts matchup
53% hit 95+ mph30% in the sweet spot33% fell for hits
| Market | BTB | Without the matchup | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ hit | 57.6% | 57.6% | -0.0 |
| 2+ total bases | 36.0% | 35.9% | +0.1 |
| Home run | 15.0% | 14.5% | +0.6 |
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen+0.1
Park-0.1
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen+0.0
Park+0.1
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen-0.0
Park+0.6
Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.
Zone battle
where he pitches, where Corbin Carroll hitsCorbin Carroll · hot and cold vs RHP
better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.
Statcast
opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonightCorbin Carroll · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 15 | .231 | .267 | .385 | .293 | .207 | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 89.5 | 105.6 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 25.0% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 47 | .220 | .255 | .439 | .292 | .291 | 27.7% | 6.4% | 26.5% | 92.2 | 110.7 | 6.7% | 46.7% | 23.3% |
| Last 30 G | 28 | 89 | .195 | .247 | .364 | .262 | .302 | 24.7% | 7.9% | 23.3% | 91.9 | 110.7 | 8.5% | 40.7% | 23.7% |
| 90 days | 71 | 228 | .183 | .268 | .376 | .288 | .317 | 22.8% | 10.5% | 23.0% | 92.2 | 112.0 | 9.3% | 47.3% | 30.0% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 150 balls in play
Ground 39%Line drive 13%Fly ball 29%Pop-up 19%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 4 | 6 | .200 | .333 | .400 | .325 | .572 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 102.5 | 105.7 | 50.0% | 100.0% | 50.0% |
| Last 15 G | 9 | 14 | .308 | .357 | .692 | .436 | .544 | 21.4% | 7.1% | 14.3% | 94.1 | 105.7 | 30.0% | 70.0% | 50.0% |
| Last 30 G | 18 | 36 | .235 | .278 | .500 | .353 | .422 | 27.8% | 5.6% | 25.0% | 94.8 | 108.8 | 20.8% | 66.7% | 45.8% |
| 90 days | 53 | 98 | .220 | .347 | .439 | .355 | .351 | 25.5% | 13.3% | 22.8% | 91.9 | 108.8 | 10.5% | 52.6% | 29.8% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 57 balls in play
Ground 49%Line drive 25%Fly ball 18%Pop-up 9%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 21 | .222 | .286 | .389 | .302 | .317 | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 92.8 | 105.7 | 12.5% | 50.0% | 31.2% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 61 | .241 | .279 | .500 | .326 | .351 | 26.2% | 6.6% | 24.4% | 92.6 | 110.7 | 12.5% | 52.5% | 30.0% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 125 | .207 | .256 | .405 | .289 | .337 | 25.6% | 7.2% | 23.7% | 92.8 | 110.7 | 12.0% | 48.2% | 30.1% |
| 90 days | 75 | 326 | .194 | .291 | .394 | .308 | .327 | 23.6% | 11.3% | 23.0% | 92.1 | 112.0 | 9.7% | 48.8% | 30.0% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 207 balls in play
Ground 42%Line drive 16%Fly ball 26%Pop-up 16%
xwOBA62.327
Avg EV9392.1
Max EV79112.0
Barrel%779.7%
Hard-hit%8948.8%
Sweet-spot%1130.0%
K%3523.6%
BB%8011.3%
Whiff%4323.0%
Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.
FormNormal
Contact rating68Above average
Last 100 pitches21trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.310 / .335running 25 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases4/12
Home run2/12
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
Recent contact
| Date | Pitcher | Pitch | Velo | EV | LA | xwOBA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | RHP | Fastball | 91.6 | 91.4 | 69 | .003 | Out |
| Sep 25 | LHP | Slider | 88.3 | 99.2 | -12 | .303 | Out |
| Sep 25 | RHP | Fastball | 93.1 | 93.0 | 24 | .140 | Sac fly |
| Sep 25 | RHP | Fastball | 98.8 | 83.3 | 53 | .013 | Out |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Fastball | 90.9 | 85.7 | 7 | .388 | Single |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Changeup | 83.8 | 80.5 | -12 | .080 | Out |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Fastball | 91.9 | 82.2 | 28 | .085 | Out |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Fastball | 93.8 | 95.6 | -3 | .335 | Triple |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Changeup | 85.5 | 94.9 | 22 | .243 | Out |
| Sep 23 | LHP | Fastball | 93.6 | 102.8 | -5 | .402 | Out |
| Sep 22 | LHP | Sinker | 89.9 | 105.7 | 21 | 1.271 | Out |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Fastball | 93.4 | 100.1 | -11 | .277 | Out |
Total bases, last 10 games★ home run
| Date | PA | H | TB | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 24 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sep 23 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 22 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 20 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Sep 18 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sep 14 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
The hitter
season-level talent readTalent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–
Against right-handers, last 90 days
0 PAwOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–
Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.
The starter he faces
Starter not announced.
The rest of the gameARI @ SD →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Corbin Carroll: every projection we've made →