MLBengine v14
← ATL at MIA, Sep 27, 2026
2:10 PM CT · loanDepot park · lineup projected
Hitter · MIA · batting 7Deyvison De Los Santos
Bats rightTalent grade DBalancedNormal
.248wOBA vs RHP.270xwOBA vs his mix3.5expected PA
Starter · ATLJR Ritchie
Throws rightBTB Stuff 97Stable
4.5projected K24%K%1.9trips vs this hitter
JR Ritchie's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Curveball: 27% usage, 83.0 mph, -13.2″ arm side, -11.8″ rise. Deyvison De Los Santos: wOBA .273 vs league .281 (about even).Curveball 27%Sinker: 21% usage, 94.3 mph, +15.8″ arm side, +6.4″ rise. Deyvison De Los Santos: wOBA .336 vs league .344 (about even).Sinker 21%Fastball: 19% usage, 94.7 mph, +9.2″ arm side, +14.3″ rise. Deyvison De Los Santos: wOBA .336 vs league .345 (about even).Fastball 19%Changeup: 17% usage, 88.0 mph, +13.9″ arm side, +0.2″ rise. Deyvison De Los Santos: wOBA .299 vs league .308 (about even).Changeup 17%Cutter: 9% usage, 89.0 mph, -1.7″ arm side, +7.2″ rise. Deyvison De Los Santos: wOBA .303 vs league .312 (about even).Cutter 9%Slider: 6% usage, 84.8 mph, -4.1″ arm side, +0.4″ rise. Deyvison De Los Santos: wOBA .286 vs league .294 (about even).Slider 6%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Deyvison De Los Santos's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Deyvison De Los Santos's last 20 balls in playHit (3)Out (17)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 106.1 mph at 10°Out: 86.6 mph at -8°Out: 90.1 mph at 6°Out: 88.2 mph at 0°Out: 94.4 mph at 45°Out: 81.9 mph at 67°Out: 39.5 mph at -57°Out: 89.0 mph at 54°Out: 87.4 mph at 37°Out: 86.9 mph at 62°Out: 69.4 mph at -9°Single: 78.9 mph at 23°Out: 88.0 mph at 43°Out: 98.1 mph at -12°Out: 84.9 mph at 63°Out: 92.2 mph at -19°Out: 60.3 mph at -46°Double: 103.8 mph at 18°Out: 66.2 mph at -9°Single: 70.5 mph at 13°
15% hit 95+ mph20% in the sweet spot15% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit51.4%53.4%-1.9
2+ total bases26.4%28.8%-2.4
Home run6.3%8.7%-2.4
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
-1.5
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-0.6
2+ total bases
Starter
-1.7
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.2
Park
-0.8
Home run
Starter
-1.6
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-0.9

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Deyvison De Los Santos hits
Where they meet

.292 xwOBA for Deyvison De Los Santos in the spots JR Ritchie throws to righties

The average hitter in those same spots: .308 (-15 points). His best spot against righties is up and left, outside, and JR Ritchie puts 11% of his pitches there. Context only; the projection reads pitch type, not location.

JR Ritchie · where he throws to right-handed hitters
6% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing6%7% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 29% per swing7%6% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 50% per swing6%5% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing5%8% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing8%5% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 17% per swing5%2% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing2%5% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 13% per swing5%8% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 20% per swing8%11% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing11%7% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 67% per swing7%3% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing3%28% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 30% per swing28%
All · 195 pitches · catcher's view
3% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters3%6% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters6%1% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters1%8% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters8%7% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters7%7% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters7%1% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters1%7% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters7%8% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters8%8% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters8%1% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters1%1% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters1%40% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters40%
Curveball · 72 pitches · catcher's view
9% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters9%6% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters6%6% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters6%4% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters4%10% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters10%4% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters4%2% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters2%4% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters4%4% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters4%15% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters15%7% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters7%6% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters6%22% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters22%
Sinker · 68 pitches · catcher's view
7% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters7%7% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters7%16% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters16%0% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters3% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters3%0% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters7% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters7%0% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters13% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters13%13% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters13%23% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters23%3% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters3%10% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters10%
Fastball · 31 pitches · catcher's view

Share of his pitches in each spot; darker is more. Last 90 days.

Deyvison De Los Santos · hot and cold vs RHP
xwOBA .274 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .274 · 1 pitches seenxwOBA .307 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .307 · 1 pitches seenxwOBA .263 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .263 · 3 pitches seenxwOBA .359 shrunk (raw .460 on 2 PA) · league .342 · 5 pitches seen.359xwOBA .357 shrunk (raw .005 on 1 PA) · league .386 · 5 pitches seen.357xwOBA .258 shrunk (raw .006 on 3 PA) · league .321 · 4 pitches seen.258xwOBA .308 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .308 · 2 pitches seenxwOBA .332 shrunk (raw .107 on 1 PA) · league .351 · 4 pitches seen.332xwOBA .280 shrunk (raw .139 on 1 PA) · league .292 · 1 pitches seen.280xwOBA .404 shrunk (raw .729 on 1 PA) · league .377 · 6 pitches seen.404xwOBA .274 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .274 · 2 pitches seenxwOBA .227 shrunk (raw .011 on 2 PA) · league .263 · 7 pitches seen.227xwOBA .235 shrunk (raw .000 on 2 PA) · league .274 · 15 pitches seen.235
vs RHP · 56 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff – of 0 swings · league 22%Whiff 0% of 1 swings · league 20%0%Whiff 0% of 2 swings · league 19%0%Whiff 0% of 4 swings · league 10%0%Whiff 0% of 3 swings · league 9%0%Whiff 0% of 2 swings · league 11%0%Whiff – of 0 swings · league 14%Whiff 0% of 2 swings · league 13%0%Whiff 0% of 1 swings · league 17%0%Whiff – of 0 swings · league 28%Whiff – of 0 swings · league 24%Whiff 40% of 5 swings · league 32%40%Whiff 100% of 3 swings · league 49%100%
vs RHP · 56 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 0% of 1 pitches · league 62%0%Swings at 100% of 1 pitches · league 72%100%Swings at 67% of 3 pitches · league 66%67%Swings at 80% of 5 pitches · league 70%80%Swings at 60% of 5 pitches · league 76%60%Swings at 50% of 4 pitches · league 70%50%Swings at 0% of 2 pitches · league 65%0%Swings at 50% of 4 pitches · league 68%50%Swings at 100% of 1 pitches · league 60%100%Swings at 0% of 6 pitches · league 24%0%Swings at 0% of 2 pitches · league 34%0%Swings at 71% of 7 pitches · league 40%71%Swings at 20% of 15 pitches · league 32%20%
vs RHP · 56 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

Deyvison De Los Santos against each of JR Ritchie's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Curveball27%83.0-13″ / -12″.273.28130.9%30.4%2Little history vs this shape
Sinker21%94.3+16″ / +6″.336.34410.2%11.8%4Little history vs this shape
Fastball19%94.7+9″ / +14″.336.34515.9%18.3%4Little history vs this shape
Changeup17%88.0+14″ / +0″.299.30832.4%31.9%2Little history vs this shape
Cutter9%89.0-2″ / +7″.303.31225.6%28.7%4Little history vs this shape
Slider6%84.8-4″ / +0″.286.29433.3%32.8%7Little history vs this shape
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Deyvison De Los Santos · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G48.000.125.000.088.22037.5%0.0%30.8%92.3106.10.0%25.0%25.0%
Last 15 G713.000.077.000.054.14930.8%0.0%21.7%88.2106.10.0%12.5%12.5%
Last 30 G713.000.077.000.054.14930.8%0.0%21.7%88.2106.10.0%12.5%12.5%
90 days713.000.077.000.054.14930.8%0.0%21.7%88.2106.10.0%12.5%12.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 8 balls in play
Ground 38%Line drive 13%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 25%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G47.000.000.000.000.14228.6%0.0%42.9%78.894.40.0%0.0%0.0%
Last 15 G815.200.200.267.203.20320.0%0.0%35.7%79.7103.80.0%16.7%25.0%
Last 30 G815.200.200.267.203.20320.0%0.0%35.7%79.7103.80.0%16.7%25.0%
90 days815.200.200.267.203.20320.0%0.0%35.7%79.7103.80.0%16.7%25.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 12 balls in play
Ground 50%Line drive 25%Fly ball 8%Pop-up 17%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G515.000.067.000.047.18333.3%0.0%37.0%84.8106.10.0%11.1%11.1%
Last 15 G1128.111.143.148.134.17825.0%0.0%29.4%83.1106.10.0%15.0%20.0%
Last 30 G1128.111.143.148.134.17825.0%0.0%29.4%83.1106.10.0%15.0%20.0%
90 days1128.111.143.148.134.17825.0%0.0%29.4%83.1106.10.0%15.0%20.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 20 balls in play
Ground 45%Line drive 20%Fly ball 15%Pop-up 20%
FormNormal
Contact rating–percentile of xwOBA
Last 100 pitches–
wOBA / xwOBA.138 / .188running 50 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit3/11
2+ total bases1/11
Home run0/11

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25RHPCurveball83.4106.110.867Out
Sep 25RHPSlider84.186.6-8.139Out
Sep 25LHPFastball94.490.16.444Double play
Sep 24LHPChangeup78.988.20.260Out
Sep 24LHPFastball95.594.445.005Out
Sep 24LHPChangeup81.581.967.000Out
Sep 22LHPSplitter82.939.5-57.282Out
Sep 20RHPSlider86.889.054.005Out
Sep 20RHPSinker98.387.437.021Out
Sep 18RHPFastball97.886.962.017Out
Sep 15RHPSinker93.169.4-9.052Out
Sep 15LHPCutter94.878.923.674Single
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25400001
Sep 24300000
Sep 22300001
Sep 20300001
Sep 19200002
Sep 18100000
Sep 15411001
Sep 8300001
Sep 5100000
Sep 4212000

Two strikes

JR Ritchie ATL · RHPwith two strikes
JR Ritchie with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Curveball31%45%21.6%21.8%20.7%
Changeup16%21%38.5%24.0%18.4%
Fastball19%17%36.4%28.6%18.3%
Sinker26%10%25.0%25.0%17.7%
Cutter8%6%20.0%14.3%18.7%
Slider1%2%0.0%50.0%21.4%
Deyvison De Los Santos bats Rwith two strikes, vs this hand
Deyvison De Los Santos with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. Little two-strike history vs these shapes
With two strikesHimLeague
K%44.9%43.3%
Whiff%24.1%23.5%
Contact%75.9%76.5%
Chase%40.0%39.4%
wOBA.229.235
Whiff vs his put-away shapes25.8%25.2%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeDBalanced type
wOBA.300
K%23.3%
BB%7.0%
Whiff%10.9%
Barrel%4.5%
Hard-hit%24.0%
Avg EV87.8

Against right-handers, last 90 days

13 PA
wOBA.248
xwOBA vs this mix.270against pitches like his
RV/100-1.40
Hard-hit%21.0%
K%24.5%
BB%5.1%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
JR RitchieRHP · ATL vs MIA
4.5projected strikeouts · likely 2 to 7 · 21.3 batters over 4.9 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 34.2%34%≤34 strikeouts: 18.8%19%45 strikeouts: 17.0%17%56 strikeouts: 12.8%13%67 strikeouts: 8.3%8%78 strikeouts: 4.7%5%89+ strikeouts: 4.2%4%9+book 4.5
Over 4.5: 47% (red bars) · under: 53%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%23.8%
BB%13.1%
Whiff%9.1%
Velo89.3
BTB Stuff97
Location99
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff%
Curveball31%10383.013.7%
Sinker24%8694.14.4%
Fastball23%10695.17.0%
Changeup18%8887.411.9%
Cutter5%10588.95.6%
Last 3 startsStable
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 228636%13%9%.309
Sep 168223%11%36%.577
Aug 28120%6%35%.320

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

JR Ritchie ATL · RHPvsMIA lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

3 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.8%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameATL @ MIA →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Deyvison De Los Santos: every projection we've made →