The game
CHC runs5.0win 57%
BOS runs4.1win 43%
Total9.1no pre-game book line
No run, 1st inning49%research only
Game totals, win probability and the first inning are research only: in the backtest they don't beat the league-wide rate. Shown as projections, never as plays.
Park and air
- Carry
- – vs neutral air
- Weather
- 75°F · Roofed · roof dome
- Park factor
- Runs 95 · HR 110 100 = average
- Schedule
- CHC 2d rest; CHC traveled in; BOS 2d rest; BOS traveled in
Air density from observed temperature, dew point and pressure. It shapes batted balls, not the run total directly.
Neither starter has been announced.
Bullpens
Cubs bullpen#22 of 30
K%20.9%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%10.9%
SwStr%9.5%
wOBA allowed.337
Arms available16 / 16
No one pitched yesterday.
Ranked on a blend of K-BB% (60%) and wOBA allowed (40%) over the bullpen window. Tired arms are context: in our tests bullpen rest didn't improve run totals.
Red Sox bullpen#12 of 30
K%25.6%
BB%10.2%
K-BB%15.3%
SwStr%12.0%
wOBA allowed.328
Arms available17 / 17
No one pitched yesterday.
Ranked on a blend of K-BB% (60%) and wOBA allowed (40%) over the bullpen window. Tired arms are context: in our tests bullpen rest didn't improve run totals.
Cubs lineup
Projected · facing TBD| Spot | Hitter | 1+ hit | 2+ TB | HR | PA | Matchup (1+ hit) | wOBA vs hand | Talent grade | Type | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pete Crow-Armstrong CF · bats L | 63.9% | 45.1% | 22.3% | 4.0 | -0.1 | – | — | — | Normal |
| 2 | Seiya Suzuki RF · bats R | 62.0% | 39.7% | 17.5% | 3.9 | +0.3 | – | — | — | Normal |
| 3 | Alex Bregman DH · bats R | 64.5% | 40.7% | 15.0% | 3.8 | +0.1 | – | — | — | Normal |
| 4 | Tyrone Taylor LF · bats R | 63.8% | 39.7% | 13.2% | 3.8 | +0.1 | – | — | — | Normal |
| 5 | Nico Hoerner 2B · bats R | 67.6% | 36.2% | 4.7% | 3.7 | -0.3 | – | — | — | Normal |
| 6 | Matt Shaw 3B · bats R | 55.2% | 31.8% | 9.9% | 3.6 | -0.0 | – | — | — | Normal |
| 7 | Michael Busch 1B · bats L | 57.5% | 33.9% | 13.4% | 3.5 | -0.4 | – | — | — | Normal |
| 8 | Dansby Swanson SS · bats R | 58.6% | 36.3% | 14.5% | 3.4 | +0.2 | – | — | — | Normal |
| 9 | Miguel Amaya C · bats R | 50.8% | 28.5% | 10.3% | 3.3 | +0.1 | – | — | — | Normal |
Red Sox lineup
Projected · facing TBD| Spot | Hitter | 1+ hit | 2+ TB | HR | PA | Matchup (1+ hit) | wOBA vs hand | Talent grade | Type | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roman Anthony LF · bats L | 60.8% | 36.7% | 14.1% | 4.0 | -0.3 | – | — | — | Normal |
| 2 | Mickey Gasper C · bats S | 58.2% | 38.6% | 15.9% | 3.9 | -0.1 | – | — | — | Normal |
| 3 | Adley Rutschman DH · bats S | 56.7% | 34.0% | 9.4% | 3.8 | -0.3 | – | — | — | Normal |
| 4 | Wilyer Abreu RF · bats L | 58.9% | 39.3% | 17.1% | 3.8 | -0.4 | – | — | — | Normal |
| 5 | Caleb Durbin 3B · bats R | 56.9% | 28.6% | 6.0% | 3.7 | -0.3 | – | — | — | Normal |
| 6 | Nick Sogard 2B · bats S | 58.1% | 32.8% | 7.7% | 3.6 | -0.3 | – | — | — | Normal |
| 7 | Jarren Duran CF · bats L | 55.2% | 31.3% | 10.9% | 3.5 | -0.4 | – | — | — | Normal |
| 8 | Andruw Monasterio 1B · bats R | 57.3% | 30.1% | 8.1% | 3.4 | -0.2 | – | — | — | Normal |
| 9 | Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS · bats R | 53.0% | 24.0% | 3.0% | 3.3 | -0.3 | – | — | — | Normal |