Hitter · BOS · batting 5Caleb Durbin
Bats rightTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix3.7expected PA
1+ hit-0.3 pts matchup
2+ total bases-0.1 pts matchup
Home run+0.3 pts matchup
| Market | BTB | Without the matchup | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ hit | 56.9% | 57.2% | -0.3 |
| 2+ total bases | 28.6% | 28.7% | -0.1 |
| Home run | 6.0% | 5.7% | +0.3 |
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen+0.1
Park-0.4
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen+0.2
Park-0.3
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen+0.1
Park+0.2
Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.
Statcast
opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonightNo pitch-level data for this hitter in the current window.
FormNormal
Contact rating52Average
Last 100 pitches67trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.345 / .317running 28 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit6/12
2+ total bases4/12
Home run1/12
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
The hitter
season-level talent readTalent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–
Against right-handers, last 90 days
0 PAwOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–
Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.
The starter he faces
Starter not announced.
The rest of the gameCHC @ BOS →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Caleb Durbin: every projection we've made →