MLBengine v14
← CLE at KC, Sep 27, 2026
2:10 PM CT · Kauffman Stadium · lineup projected
Hitter · CLE · batting 5Angel Martínez
Switch hitterTalent grade DBalancedHot
.421wOBA vs LHP.335xwOBA vs his mix3.7expected PA
Starter · KCDaniel Lynch IV
Throws leftBTB Stuff 92Trending Down
2.4projected K12%K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Daniel Lynch IV's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 34% usage, 93.8 mph, +7.2″ arm side, +15.5″ rise. Angel Martínez: wOBA .370 vs league .357 (about even).Fastball 34%Slider: 26% usage, 86.3 mph, -1.0″ arm side, +3.2″ rise. Angel Martínez: wOBA .347 vs league .334 (about even).Slider 26%Changeup: 20% usage, 85.0 mph, +13.4″ arm side, +7.8″ rise. Angel Martínez: wOBA .329 vs league .317 (about even).Changeup 20%Sinker: 12% usage, 93.7 mph, +15.6″ arm side, +9.8″ rise. Angel Martínez: wOBA .374 vs league .361 (about even).Sinker 12%Curveball: 7% usage, 81.7 mph, -2.6″ arm side, -2.9″ rise. Angel Martínez: wOBA .331 vs league .318 (about even).Curveball 7%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Angel Martínez's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Angel Martínez's last 40 balls in playHit (18)Out (22)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 86.5 mph at -6°Single: 105.1 mph at -7°Out: 62.9 mph at -43°Double: 94.1 mph at 11°Out: 96.3 mph at -8°Out: 63.6 mph at 84°Out: 88.9 mph at -34°Home run: 93.8 mph at 25°Out: 59.8 mph at -29°Out: 102.8 mph at 15°Single: 95.4 mph at 2°Double: 99.5 mph at 6°Single: 98.8 mph at -1°Out: 74.9 mph at -30°Double: 54.6 mph at 27°Home run: 102.9 mph at 32°Out: 100.4 mph at 21°Home run: 93.8 mph at 35°Single: 95.1 mph at 8°Out: 86.6 mph at 57°Out: 88.9 mph at 32°Out: 74.8 mph at 45°Out: 88.3 mph at 61°Double: 106.0 mph at 23°Double: 102.2 mph at 8°Out: 90.3 mph at 48°Single: 100.8 mph at 7°Out: 81.7 mph at -11°Out: 89.3 mph at 8°Out: 84.4 mph at 25°Double: 88.1 mph at 15°Home run: 106.2 mph at 28°Single: 90.5 mph at -9°Triple: 92.3 mph at -11°Out: 55.0 mph at -40°Single: 96.5 mph at 0°Out: 83.5 mph at 10°Out: 84.8 mph at 66°Out: 80.2 mph at 49°Out: 84.0 mph at 62°
35% hit 95+ mph38% in the sweet spot45% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit64.6%62.0%+2.6
2+ total bases37.5%35.8%+1.8
Home run9.6%10.0%-0.4
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+2.1
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.6
Park
-0.1
2+ total bases
Starter
+1.6
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.6
Park
-0.5
Home run
Starter
+0.4
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.3
Park
-1.1

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Angel Martínez hits
Where they meet

.302 xwOBA for Angel Martínez in the spots Daniel Lynch IV throws to righties

The average hitter in those same spots: .307 (-5 points). His best spot against lefties is down-middle, and Daniel Lynch IV puts 7% of his pitches there. Context only; the projection reads pitch type, not location.

Daniel Lynch IV · where he throws to right-handed hitters
1% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing1%1% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 25% per swing1%5% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 14% per swing5%4% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 13% per swing4%8% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing8%8% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 8% per swing8%4% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 20% per swing4%7% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 4% per swing7%8% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 14% per swing8%1% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing1%18% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 7% per swing18%16% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 42% per swing16%21% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 26% per swing21%
All · 488 pitches · catcher's view
1% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters1%1% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters1%6% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters6%3% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters3%7% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters7%10% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters10%3% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters3%7% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters7%7% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters7%0% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters12% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters12%17% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters17%27% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters27%
Changeup · 163 pitches · catcher's view
0% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters0% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters2% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters2%3% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters3%9% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters9%10% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters10%2% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters2%10% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters10%12% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters12%0% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters19% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters19%8% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters8%25% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters25%
Sinker · 124 pitches · catcher's view
1% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters1%5% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters5%5% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters5%7% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters7%11% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters11%5% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters5%1% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters1%1% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters1%2% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters2%2% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters2%38% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters38%11% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters11%11% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters11%
Fastball · 84 pitches · catcher's view
3% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters3%1% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters1%9% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters9%3% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters3%5% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters5%7% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters7%5% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters5%7% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters7%9% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters9%0% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters16% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters16%25% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters25%9% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters9%
Curveball · 75 pitches · catcher's view
0% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters0% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters0% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters5% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters5%5% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters5%2% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters2%10% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters10%7% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters7%5% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters5%2% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters2%2% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters2%31% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters31%31% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters31%
Slider · 42 pitches · catcher's view

Share of his pitches in each spot; darker is more. Last 90 days.

Angel Martínez · hot and cold vs LHP
xwOBA .314 shrunk (raw .526 on 4 PA) · league .243 · 8 pitches seen.314xwOBA .296 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .296 · 7 pitches seenxwOBA .277 shrunk (raw .418 on 2 PA) · league .254 · 8 pitches seen.277xwOBA .317 shrunk (raw .343 on 4 PA) · league .308 · 7 pitches seen.317xwOBA .393 shrunk (raw .443 on 2 PA) · league .385 · 13 pitches seen.393xwOBA .342 shrunk (raw .346 on 8 PA) · league .340 · 20 pitches seen.342xwOBA .255 shrunk (raw .227 on 8 PA) · league .273 · 14 pitches seen.255xwOBA .501 shrunk (raw .703 on 9 PA) · league .350 · 16 pitches seen.501xwOBA .264 shrunk (raw .211 on 8 PA) · league .299 · 12 pitches seen.264xwOBA .347 shrunk (raw .889 on 1 PA) · league .302 · 5 pitches seen.347xwOBA .298 shrunk (raw .182 on 5 PA) · league .346 · 37 pitches seen.298xwOBA .304 shrunk (raw .334 on 6 PA) · league .289 · 38 pitches seen.304xwOBA .215 shrunk (raw .158 on 9 PA) · league .257 · 36 pitches seen.215
vs LHP · 221 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 0% of 6 swings · league 19%0%Whiff 25% of 4 swings · league 21%25%Whiff 0% of 5 swings · league 23%0%Whiff 0% of 5 swings · league 9%0%Whiff 0% of 7 swings · league 10%0%Whiff 20% of 15 swings · league 11%20%Whiff 0% of 8 swings · league 17%0%Whiff 0% of 12 swings · league 14%0%Whiff 11% of 9 swings · league 16%11%Whiff 50% of 2 swings · league 25%50%Whiff 44% of 9 swings · league 29%44%Whiff 47% of 15 swings · league 48%47%Whiff 38% of 21 swings · league 34%38%
vs LHP · 221 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 75% of 8 pitches · league 63%75%Swings at 57% of 7 pitches · league 71%57%Swings at 63% of 8 pitches · league 64%63%Swings at 71% of 7 pitches · league 67%71%Swings at 54% of 13 pitches · league 76%54%Swings at 75% of 20 pitches · league 72%75%Swings at 57% of 14 pitches · league 59%57%Swings at 75% of 16 pitches · league 68%75%Swings at 75% of 12 pitches · league 66%75%Swings at 40% of 5 pitches · league 30%40%Swings at 24% of 37 pitches · league 26%24%Swings at 40% of 38 pitches · league 31%40%Swings at 58% of 36 pitches · league 41%58%
vs LHP · 221 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

Angel Martínez against each of Daniel Lynch IV's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball34%93.8+7″ / +16″.370.35711.3%17.2%93About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Slider26%86.3-1″ / +3″.347.33419.2%27.4%44About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Changeup20%85.0+13″ / +8″.329.31722.2%29.7%64About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Sinker12%93.7+16″ / +10″.374.36110.3%15.2%94About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Curveball7%81.7-3″ / -3″.331.31822.0%30.7%38About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on left-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Angel Martínez · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G413.417.462.750.512.2887.7%7.7%19.0%90.0105.10.0%54.5%18.2%
Last 15 G1330.379.400.759.487.31623.3%3.3%20.3%89.0106.29.1%54.5%31.8%
Last 30 G2245.386.400.750.484.34420.0%2.2%18.8%88.9108.18.6%54.3%40.0%
90 days3167.375.394.688.461.34919.4%3.0%21.2%87.1108.49.6%50.0%42.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 52 balls in play
Ground 44%Line drive 25%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 8%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G25.200.200.400.250.19640.0%0.0%50.0%77.394.10.0%0.0%33.3%
Last 15 G1128.296.321.630.429.27921.4%3.6%25.0%85.7106.04.8%14.3%47.6%
Last 30 G2466.250.318.450.358.27019.7%6.1%20.5%86.0106.02.1%23.4%34.0%
90 days3698.231.278.407.316.27723.5%4.1%22.3%85.2106.44.3%23.2%36.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 69 balls in play
Ground 42%Line drive 28%Fly ball 14%Pop-up 16%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G518.353.389.647.439.26216.7%5.6%27.6%87.3105.10.0%42.9%21.4%
Last 15 G1558.339.362.696.459.29822.4%3.4%22.5%87.4106.27.0%34.9%39.5%
Last 30 G30111.308.351.577.409.30019.8%4.5%19.8%87.2108.14.9%36.6%36.6%
90 days43165.290.325.523.375.30621.8%3.6%21.9%86.1108.46.6%34.7%38.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 121 balls in play
Ground 43%Line drive 26%Fly ball 18%Pop-up 12%
Angel Martínez · percentile ranksvs 228 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormHot
Contact rating46Average
Last 100 pitches48steady
wOBA / xwOBA.361 / .312running 49 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit9/12
2+ total bases7/12
Home run3/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25LHPFastball89.886.5-6.129Out
Sep 25LHPSinker92.4105.1-7.332Single
Sep 25RHPSlider86.362.9-43.181Out
Sep 25RHPSinker92.594.111.762Double
Sep 25LHPChangeup84.096.3-8.170Out
Sep 24LHPFastball90.363.684.000Out
Sep 24LHPSweeper79.388.9-34.047Force out
Sep 24LHPChangeup79.093.825.214Home run
Sep 24LHPChangeup81.259.8-29.063Out
Sep 22LHPSinker93.8102.815.675Out
Sep 22LHPSinker93.295.42.415Single
Sep 22LHPCutter89.899.56.598Double
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25623010
Sep 24414100
Sep 23100001
Sep 22434000
Sep 20300002
Sep 195411200
Sep 14300001
Sep 13524001
Sep 12411001
Sep 11426100

Two strikes

Daniel Lynch IV KC · LHPwith two strikes
Daniel Lynch IV with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Slider16%31%21.6%18.2%22.2%
Fastball14%24%13.0%9.5%18.4%
Changeup25%21%21.7%13.5%18.3%
Sinker34%19%10.0%14.7%17.8%
Curveball11%5%0.0%0.0%20.9%
Angel Martínez bats Swith two strikes, vs this hand
Angel Martínez with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. About league average vs his two-strike stuff
With two strikesHimLeague
K%36.3%41.4%
Whiff%19.3%22.0%
Contact%80.7%78.0%
Chase%48.0%40.7%
wOBA.249.248
Whiff vs his put-away shapes18.6%21.4%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeDBalanced type
wOBA.331
K%22.1%
BB%4.2%
Whiff%11.4%
Barrel%3.8%
Hard-hit%24.2%
Avg EV86.1

Against left-handers, last 90 days

67 PA
wOBA.421
xwOBA vs this mix.335against pitches like his
RV/1001.81
Hard-hit%34.8%
K%20.4%
BB%3.9%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Daniel Lynch IVLHP · KC vs CLE
2.4projected strikeouts · likely 1 to 4 · 16.4 batters over 3.8 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 77.9%78%≤34 strikeouts: 12.5%13%45 strikeouts: 6.0%6%56 strikeouts: 2.4%2%67 strikeouts: 0.9%1%78 strikeouts: 0.2%0%89+ strikeouts: 0.1%0%9+book 2.5
Over 2.5: 43% (red bars) · under: 57%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%12.4%
BB%7.7%
Whiff%7.2%
Velo89.3
BTB Stuff92
Location98
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff%
Sinker33%9693.43.5%
Changeup26%8684.88.1%
Fastball16%8993.76.0%
Curveball14%8481.95.2%
Slider12%10587.33.8%
Last 3 startsTrending Down
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 22789%4%41%.580
Sep 167218%8%29%.168
Sep 98114%7%38%.332

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Daniel Lynch IV KC · LHPvsCLE lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

0 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against left-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.8%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameCLE @ KC →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Angel Martínez: every projection we've made →