← CLE at KC, Sep 27, 2026
2:10 PM CT · Kauffman Stadium · lineup projected
Hitter · KC · batting 2Bobby Witt Jr.
Bats rightTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix3.9expected PA
Starter · CLETBD
Stable
4.3projected K–K%2.4trips vs this hitter
Bobby Witt Jr.'s last 40 balls in playHit (14)Out (26)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 100.2 mph at 18°Out: 85.3 mph at 55°Single: 78.3 mph at 20°Out: 99.3 mph at 37°Out: 98.0 mph at 8°Out: 102.9 mph at 22°Double: 109.4 mph at -5°Out: 80.8 mph at -13°Single: 95.9 mph at -10°Out: 101.6 mph at -8°Single: 106.3 mph at 6°Double: 109.9 mph at 21°Out: 107.1 mph at 13°Single: 97.3 mph at -4°Out: 96.8 mph at 17°Out: 86.6 mph at -28°Single: 76.3 mph at 6°Single: 54.5 mph at -46°Single: 88.4 mph at -4°Out: 78.6 mph at -9°Out: 104.3 mph at -18°Single: 107.5 mph at 1°Out: 91.5 mph at 45°Single: 77.3 mph at 18°Out: 98.7 mph at 17°Out: 70.5 mph at -22°Out: 78.4 mph at 46°Out: 94.0 mph at 61°Out: 94.6 mph at 58°Out: 72.6 mph at -14°Single: 111.4 mph at 12°Out: 94.1 mph at 23°Out: 93.7 mph at 40°Single: 101.5 mph at -9°Out: 100.6 mph at -31°Out: 87.1 mph at -4°Single: 99.4 mph at -18°Out: 103.3 mph at 39°Out: 103.1 mph at -11°Out: 85.6 mph at 74°
53% hit 95+ mph28% in the sweet spot35% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit66.3%66.8%-0.5
2+ total bases41.4%42.3%-0.9
Home run12.7%14.3%-1.6
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.0
Park
-0.4
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-0.9
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.0
Park
-1.7

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Bobby Witt Jr. hits
Bobby Witt Jr. · hot and cold vs RHP
xwOBA .282 shrunk (raw .293 on 9 PA) · league .274 · 24 pitches seen.282xwOBA .313 shrunk (raw .319 on 11 PA) · league .307 · 32 pitches seen.313xwOBA .388 shrunk (raw .762 on 4 PA) · league .263 · 22 pitches seen.388xwOBA .394 shrunk (raw .442 on 13 PA) · league .342 · 34 pitches seen.394xwOBA .493 shrunk (raw .565 on 18 PA) · league .386 · 49 pitches seen.493xwOBA .391 shrunk (raw .441 on 17 PA) · league .321 · 45 pitches seen.391xwOBA .300 shrunk (raw .289 on 8 PA) · league .308 · 24 pitches seen.300xwOBA .364 shrunk (raw .373 on 17 PA) · league .351 · 32 pitches seen.364xwOBA .251 shrunk (raw .210 on 12 PA) · league .292 · 43 pitches seen.251xwOBA .385 shrunk (raw .390 on 17 PA) · league .377 · 70 pitches seen.385xwOBA .308 shrunk (raw .358 on 8 PA) · league .274 · 44 pitches seen.308xwOBA .338 shrunk (raw .403 on 14 PA) · league .263 · 48 pitches seen.338xwOBA .288 shrunk (raw .292 on 40 PA) · league .274 · 231 pitches seen.288
vs RHP · 698 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 0% of 18 swings · league 22%0%Whiff 13% of 23 swings · league 20%13%Whiff 7% of 14 swings · league 19%7%Whiff 0% of 25 swings · league 10%0%Whiff 12% of 41 swings · league 9%12%Whiff 7% of 29 swings · league 11%7%Whiff 0% of 11 swings · league 14%0%Whiff 13% of 24 swings · league 13%13%Whiff 30% of 27 swings · league 17%30%Whiff 32% of 31 swings · league 28%32%Whiff 23% of 13 swings · league 24%23%Whiff 13% of 23 swings · league 32%13%Whiff 55% of 73 swings · league 49%55%
vs RHP · 698 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 75% of 24 pitches · league 62%75%Swings at 72% of 32 pitches · league 72%72%Swings at 64% of 22 pitches · league 66%64%Swings at 74% of 34 pitches · league 70%74%Swings at 84% of 49 pitches · league 76%84%Swings at 64% of 45 pitches · league 70%64%Swings at 46% of 24 pitches · league 65%46%Swings at 75% of 32 pitches · league 68%75%Swings at 63% of 43 pitches · league 60%63%Swings at 44% of 70 pitches · league 24%44%Swings at 30% of 44 pitches · league 34%30%Swings at 48% of 48 pitches · league 40%48%Swings at 32% of 231 pitches · league 32%32%
vs RHP · 698 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Bobby Witt Jr. · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G514.154.214.231.204.37621.4%7.1%14.3%96.2109.410.0%70.0%50.0%
Last 15 G1548.200.250.289.243.29418.8%6.2%20.2%91.5111.42.8%41.7%36.1%
Last 30 G2997.241.309.368.301.36813.4%8.2%19.9%91.5112.59.3%44.0%41.3%
90 days58189.278.349.444.348.37816.4%9.0%22.2%90.7112.59.4%45.3%36.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 139 balls in play
Ground 40%Line drive 22%Fly ball 27%Pop-up 11%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G37.714.714.857.693.5920.0%0.0%20.0%95.7109.914.3%71.4%28.6%
Last 15 G818.538.667.615.639.52011.1%27.8%25.0%96.2109.99.1%72.7%18.2%
Last 30 G1837.276.432.310.366.42224.3%21.6%25.7%93.1109.910.0%65.0%35.0%
90 days3890.253.367.360.345.39220.0%15.6%28.1%92.6112.08.6%58.6%36.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 58 balls in play
Ground 47%Line drive 24%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 9%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G521.350.381.450.367.44814.3%4.8%16.3%96.0109.911.8%70.6%41.2%
Last 15 G1566.276.364.362.332.34516.7%12.1%21.7%92.6111.44.3%48.9%31.9%
Last 30 G30134.250.343.353.316.38116.4%11.9%21.6%91.8112.59.5%48.4%40.0%
90 days63279.270.355.418.347.38217.6%11.1%24.0%91.2112.59.1%49.2%36.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 197 balls in play
Ground 42%Line drive 23%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 10%
Bobby Witt Jr. · percentile ranksvs 228 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating95Top tier
Last 100 pitches98steady
wOBA / xwOBA.351 / .383running 32 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit10/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25RHPSweeper86.9100.218.442Out
Sep 25RHPSlider89.885.355.013Out
Sep 25LHPSlider86.278.320.898Single
Sep 24RHPSweeper85.599.337.330Out
Sep 24RHPSinker95.498.08.639Out
Sep 24RHPFastball96.5102.922.927Out
Sep 24RHPCurveball85.1109.4-5.457Double
Sep 23LHPFastball93.780.8-13.095Force out
Sep 23LHPSweeper80.895.9-10.299Single
Sep 23LHPCurveball80.8101.6-8.348Double play
Sep 22LHPSweeper80.3106.36.553Single
Sep 22LHPFastball95.6109.9211.630Double
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25511011
Sep 24412000
Sep 23411001
Sep 22434000
Sep 20411001
Sep 19533000
Sep 18411000
Sep 17400012
Sep 16500021
Sep 15411000

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–

Against right-handers, last 90 days

0 PA
wOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces

Starter not announced.

The rest of the gameCLE @ KC →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Bobby Witt Jr.: every projection we've made →