MLBengine v14
← CLE at KC, Sep 27, 2026
2:10 PM CT · Kauffman Stadium · lineup projected
Hitter · CLE · batting 2José Ramírez
Switch hitterTalent grade BContactNormal
.317wOBA vs LHP.292xwOBA vs his mix3.9expected PA
Starter · KCDaniel Lynch IV
Throws leftBTB Stuff 92Trending Down
2.4projected K12%K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Daniel Lynch IV's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 34% usage, 93.8 mph, +7.2″ arm side, +15.5″ rise. José Ramírez: wOBA .381 vs league .357 (hitter's edge).Fastball 34%Slider: 26% usage, 86.3 mph, -1.0″ arm side, +3.2″ rise. José Ramírez: wOBA .360 vs league .334 (hitter's edge).Slider 26%Changeup: 20% usage, 85.0 mph, +13.4″ arm side, +7.8″ rise. José Ramírez: wOBA .345 vs league .317 (hitter's edge).Changeup 20%Sinker: 12% usage, 93.7 mph, +15.6″ arm side, +9.8″ rise. José Ramírez: wOBA .387 vs league .361 (hitter's edge).Sinker 12%Curveball: 7% usage, 81.7 mph, -2.6″ arm side, -2.9″ rise. José Ramírez: wOBA .344 vs league .318 (hitter's edge).Curveball 7%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is José Ramírez's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

José Ramírez's last 40 balls in playHit (13)Out (27)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 97.7 mph at 20°Out: 78.6 mph at 84°Out: 91.8 mph at 30°Out: 102.6 mph at -11°Single: 87.0 mph at 7°Single: 96.5 mph at -29°Out: 75.8 mph at 74°Single: 97.2 mph at 1°Out: 85.3 mph at -22°Out: 50.8 mph at -37°Out: 94.6 mph at 36°Out: 68.8 mph at 74°Out: 100.6 mph at -25°Single: 107.0 mph at 2°Out: 106.3 mph at -7°Out: 73.3 mph at 69°Double: 102.6 mph at 2°Single: 69.7 mph at 38°Out: 33.9 mph at 40°Out: 77.9 mph at 66°Out: 91.5 mph at 23°Single: 103.2 mph at -4°Single: 107.2 mph at 10°Single: 104.1 mph at -7°Out: 66.3 mph at 60°Out: 95.7 mph at 47°Home run: 102.4 mph at 29°Out: 32.4 mph at -30°Double: 110.6 mph at 14°Double: 106.8 mph at 16°Out: 89.9 mph at 3°Out: 79.1 mph at 6°Out: 93.9 mph at 46°Out: 78.2 mph at 33°Out: 98.2 mph at 14°Out: 70.7 mph at 46°Out: 89.7 mph at -9°Single: 83.0 mph at 17°Out: 81.7 mph at 83°Out: 71.5 mph at -2°
40% hit 95+ mph23% in the sweet spot33% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit66.5%64.0%+2.5
2+ total bases39.5%36.5%+2.9
Home run8.1%6.5%+1.6
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+2.1
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.5
Park
-0.0
2+ total bases
Starter
+2.7
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.5
Park
-0.3
Home run
Starter
+2.3
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.2
Park
-0.9

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where José Ramírez hits
Where they meet

.306 xwOBA for José Ramírez in the spots Daniel Lynch IV throws to righties

The average hitter in those same spots: .307 (-1 points). His best spot against lefties is down and left, outside, and Daniel Lynch IV puts 16% of his pitches there. Context only; the projection reads pitch type, not location.

Daniel Lynch IV · where he throws to right-handed hitters
1% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing1%1% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 25% per swing1%5% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 14% per swing5%4% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 13% per swing4%8% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing8%8% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 8% per swing8%4% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 20% per swing4%7% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 4% per swing7%8% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 14% per swing8%1% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing1%18% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 7% per swing18%16% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 42% per swing16%21% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 26% per swing21%
All · 488 pitches · catcher's view
1% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters1%1% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters1%6% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters6%3% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters3%7% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters7%10% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters10%3% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters3%7% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters7%7% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters7%0% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters12% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters12%17% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters17%27% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters27%
Changeup · 163 pitches · catcher's view
0% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters0% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters2% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters2%3% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters3%9% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters9%10% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters10%2% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters2%10% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters10%12% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters12%0% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters19% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters19%8% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters8%25% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters25%
Sinker · 124 pitches · catcher's view
1% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters1%5% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters5%5% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters5%7% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters7%11% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters11%5% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters5%1% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters1%1% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters1%2% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters2%2% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters2%38% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters38%11% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters11%11% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters11%
Fastball · 84 pitches · catcher's view
3% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters3%1% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters1%9% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters9%3% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters3%5% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters5%7% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters7%5% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters5%7% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters7%9% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters9%0% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters16% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters16%25% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters25%9% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters9%
Curveball · 75 pitches · catcher's view
0% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters0% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters0% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters5% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters5%5% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters5%2% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters2%10% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters10%7% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters7%5% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters5%2% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters2%2% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters2%31% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters31%31% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters31%
Slider · 42 pitches · catcher's view

Share of his pitches in each spot; darker is more. Last 90 days.

José Ramírez · hot and cold vs LHP
xwOBA .225 shrunk (raw .008 on 1 PA) · league .243 · 7 pitches seen.225xwOBA .284 shrunk (raw .234 on 3 PA) · league .296 · 8 pitches seen.284xwOBA .277 shrunk (raw .412 on 2 PA) · league .254 · 6 pitches seen.277xwOBA .246 shrunk (raw .000 on 3 PA) · league .308 · 8 pitches seen.246xwOBA .401 shrunk (raw .420 on 10 PA) · league .385 · 18 pitches seen.401xwOBA .339 shrunk (raw .338 on 7 PA) · league .340 · 20 pitches seen.339xwOBA .281 shrunk (raw .299 on 5 PA) · league .273 · 13 pitches seen.281xwOBA .324 shrunk (raw .295 on 11 PA) · league .350 · 22 pitches seen.324xwOBA .243 shrunk (raw .108 on 5 PA) · league .299 · 10 pitches seen.243xwOBA .261 shrunk (raw .016 on 2 PA) · league .302 · 14 pitches seen.261xwOBA .359 shrunk (raw .409 on 3 PA) · league .346 · 45 pitches seen.359xwOBA .329 shrunk (raw .398 on 7 PA) · league .289 · 43 pitches seen.329xwOBA .240 shrunk (raw .212 on 7 PA) · league .257 · 47 pitches seen.240
vs LHP · 261 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 0% of 3 swings · league 19%0%Whiff 40% of 5 swings · league 21%40%Whiff 33% of 3 swings · league 23%33%Whiff 0% of 5 swings · league 9%0%Whiff 0% of 13 swings · league 10%0%Whiff 0% of 13 swings · league 11%0%Whiff 0% of 8 swings · league 17%0%Whiff 7% of 14 swings · league 14%7%Whiff 0% of 6 swings · league 16%0%Whiff 0% of 2 swings · league 25%0%Whiff 0% of 6 swings · league 29%0%Whiff 7% of 15 swings · league 48%7%Whiff 0% of 12 swings · league 34%0%
vs LHP · 261 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 43% of 7 pitches · league 63%43%Swings at 63% of 8 pitches · league 71%63%Swings at 50% of 6 pitches · league 64%50%Swings at 63% of 8 pitches · league 67%63%Swings at 72% of 18 pitches · league 76%72%Swings at 65% of 20 pitches · league 72%65%Swings at 62% of 13 pitches · league 59%62%Swings at 64% of 22 pitches · league 68%64%Swings at 60% of 10 pitches · league 66%60%Swings at 14% of 14 pitches · league 30%14%Swings at 13% of 45 pitches · league 26%13%Swings at 35% of 43 pitches · league 31%35%Swings at 26% of 47 pitches · league 41%26%
vs LHP · 261 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

José Ramírez against each of Daniel Lynch IV's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball34%93.8+7″ / +16″.381.3579.4%17.2%298About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Slider26%86.3-1″ / +3″.360.33415.9%27.4%175About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Changeup20%85.0+13″ / +8″.345.31719.0%29.7%173About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Sinker12%93.7+16″ / +10″.387.3618.8%15.2%240About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Curveball7%81.7-3″ / -3″.344.31818.1%30.7%137About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on left-handers, the hand he faces tonight
José Ramírez · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G313.333.308.333.346.19515.4%0.0%8.7%92.6107.00.0%63.6%9.1%
Last 15 G1131.267.258.333.284.2396.5%0.0%4.0%87.9110.63.4%34.5%27.6%
Last 30 G1844.238.250.310.265.2329.1%0.0%6.0%88.2110.62.6%33.3%30.8%
90 days3268.254.338.339.320.2995.9%8.8%4.8%89.5110.61.8%42.9%26.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 56 balls in play
Ground 45%Line drive 20%Fly ball 20%Pop-up 16%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G310.250.400.375.355.3240.0%20.0%5.0%75.2102.60.0%12.5%12.5%
Last 15 G1237.212.297.333.309.27716.2%10.8%17.1%82.2107.23.7%25.9%22.2%
Last 30 G2789.232.281.354.310.26116.9%6.7%14.7%84.8107.21.5%26.5%27.9%
90 days47157.227.287.298.287.28613.4%8.3%12.3%84.8107.20.8%26.0%37.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 123 balls in play
Ground 33%Line drive 24%Fly ball 28%Pop-up 14%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G523.300.348.350.350.2518.7%8.7%7.0%85.3107.00.0%42.1%10.5%
Last 15 G1568.238.279.333.298.25911.8%5.9%11.7%85.1110.63.6%30.4%25.0%
Last 30 G30133.234.271.339.295.25114.3%4.5%12.2%86.0110.61.9%29.0%29.0%
90 days51225.235.302.310.297.29011.1%8.4%10.3%86.3110.61.1%31.3%34.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 179 balls in play
Ground 37%Line drive 23%Fly ball 26%Pop-up 14%
José Ramírez · percentile ranksvs 228 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating42Below average
Last 100 pitches21trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.296 / .308results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases5/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25LHPCurveball80.597.720.358Sac fly
Sep 25LHPCutter88.978.684.000Out
Sep 25RHPChangeup89.791.830.076Out
Sep 25LHPCutter90.5102.6-11.249Error
Sep 25LHPCutter86.687.07.504Single
Sep 24LHPSinker89.796.5-29.078Single
Sep 24LHPSweeper80.275.874.000Out
Sep 24LHPChangeup81.697.21.357Single
Sep 23RHPSweeper83.685.3-22.099Force out
Sep 23RHPSweeper84.450.8-37.161Force out
Sep 23RHPFastball91.894.636.213Out
Sep 22LHPFastball96.368.874.003Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25611010
Sep 24422001
Sep 23400010
Sep 22511001
Sep 20423000
Sep 19522010
Sep 18525101
Sep 16424000
Sep 15400000
Sep 14411001

Two strikes

Daniel Lynch IV KC · LHPwith two strikes
Daniel Lynch IV with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Slider16%31%21.6%18.2%22.2%
Fastball14%24%13.0%9.5%18.4%
Changeup25%21%21.7%13.5%18.3%
Sinker34%19%10.0%14.7%17.8%
Curveball11%5%0.0%0.0%20.9%
José Ramírez bats Swith two strikes, vs this hand
José Ramírez with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. Makes contact on his two-strike stuff more than most
With two strikesHimLeague
K%25.0%41.4%
Whiff%13.5%22.0%
Contact%86.5%78.0%
Chase%46.6%40.7%
wOBA.309.248
Whiff vs his put-away shapes13.1%21.4%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeBContact type
wOBA.331
K%11.7%
BB%8.7%
Whiff%5.3%
Barrel%2.4%
Hard-hit%25.5%
Avg EV86.6

Against left-handers, last 90 days

68 PA
wOBA.317
xwOBA vs this mix.292against pitches like his
RV/100-0.21
Hard-hit%32.4%
K%9.9%
BB%8.4%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Daniel Lynch IVLHP · KC vs CLE
2.4projected strikeouts · likely 1 to 4 · 16.4 batters over 3.8 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 77.9%78%≤34 strikeouts: 12.5%13%45 strikeouts: 6.0%6%56 strikeouts: 2.4%2%67 strikeouts: 0.9%1%78 strikeouts: 0.2%0%89+ strikeouts: 0.1%0%9+book 2.5
Over 2.5: 43% (red bars) · under: 57%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%12.4%
BB%7.7%
Whiff%7.2%
Velo89.3
BTB Stuff92
Location98
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff%
Sinker33%9693.43.5%
Changeup26%8684.88.1%
Fastball16%8993.76.0%
Curveball14%8481.95.2%
Slider12%10587.33.8%
Last 3 startsTrending Down
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 22789%4%41%.580
Sep 167218%8%29%.168
Sep 98114%7%38%.332

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Daniel Lynch IV KC · LHPvsCLE lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

0 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against left-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.8%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameCLE @ KC →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.José Ramírez: every projection we've made →